Canola up for seventh day

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Published: January 24, 2017

March canola futures rose for a seventh straight trading session even as the loonie rose.

Canola enjoyed support from slightly stronger soybeans and soy oil.

March canola closed at $523.40 per tonne, up $3.60.

New crop November closed at $507 per tonne, up $2.10.

Since the rally in the March contract began Jan. 16, it has risen almost $24 a tonne but the new crop November contract has climbed only $15.

Today’s gain in March canola was largely technically driven, but the contract is supported by strong demand from the domestic crush and export sectors.

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The biggest declines today were in Chicago corn, which saw a round of profit taking. Weakness in corn trickled into wheat and it too fell.

The U.S. crop market was generally on edge about the new Trump administration’s trade actions. Trump formally severed America’s connection to the TransPacific Partnership agreement, killing it.

Several U.S. farm groups said they want to hear the new administration’s alternative vision for increasing trade to Pacific Rim countries, which are major customers for American agricultural goods.

Trump also wants to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement. U.S. agricultural groups have generally viewed NAFTA favourably. Mexico is the number one or two buyer of American corn, accounting for more than 25 percent of the export total.

PLANTING FORECAST

Private analytical firm Informa Economics raised its projection of U.S. 2017 corn plantings to 90.489 million acres, from 90.151 million last month.

Informa trimmed its 2017 soybean plantings forecast to 88.647 million acres, from 88.862 million previously.

PALM OIL FORECAST

Reuters reported that analyst Thomas Mielke of Oil World believes palm oil prices will fall this year by 20 percent or more as production in Indonesia and Malaysia recovers from last year’s drought.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 43 cents to US$53.18 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US76.03 cents, up from 75.25 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3152.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2017       523.40       +3.60       +0.69%

Canola May 2017       530.40       +3.60       +0.68%

Canola Jul 2017       534.70       +4.10       +0.77%

Canola Nov 2017       507.00       +2.10       +0.42%

Canola Jan 2018       509.70       +2.60       +0.51%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2017       238.00       -1.00       -0.42%

Milling Wheat May 2017       242.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017       243.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2017       306.00       -4.00       -1.29%

Durum Wheat May 2017       309.00       -4.00       -1.28%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017       314.00       -6.00       -1.88%

 

Barley Dec 2017       132.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2018       134.50       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2018       135.50       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2017       1058.50       +0.75       +0.07%

Soybeans May 2017       1068.00       +1.25       +0.12%

Soybeans Jul 2017       1073.75       +0.75       +0.07%

Soybeans Aug 2017       1069.25       +0.75       +0.07%

Soybeans Sep 2017       1047.25       +0.75       +0.07%

Soybeans Nov 2017       1026.00       +0.75       +0.07%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2017       343.00       -0.50       -0.15%

Soybean Meal May 2017       346.10       -0.50       -0.14%

Soybean Meal Jul 2017       348.00       -0.40       -0.11%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2017       35.28       +0.15       +0.43%

Soybean Oil May 2017       35.53       +0.15       +0.42%

Soybean Oil Jul 2017       35.75       +0.13       +0.36%

 

Corn Mar 2017       363.25       -6.25       -1.69%

Corn May 2017       370.50       -6.00       -1.59%

Corn Jul 2017       377.50       -5.75       -1.50%

Corn Sep 2017       384.00       -5.50       -1.41%

Corn Dec 2017       391.00       -5.00       -1.26%

 

Oats Mar 2017       256.75       -3.25       -1.25%

Oats May 2017       247.25       -1.25       -0.50%

Oats Jul 2017       243.50       -2.50       -1.02%

Oats Sep 2017       238.50       -2.25       -0.93%

Oats Dec 2017       232.00       -4.00       -1.69%

 

Wheat Mar 2017       426.75       -6.50       -1.50%

Wheat May 2017       441.00       -6.00       -1.34%

Wheat Jul 2017       456.00       -5.50       -1.19%

Wheat Sep 2017       471.00       -4.75       -1.00%

Wheat Dec 2017       488.75       -4.50       -0.91%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2017       560.75       -3.50       -0.62%

Spring Wheat May 2017       556.75       -0.50       -0.09%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017       555.75       unch       0.00%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017       556.75       +0.50       +0.09%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017       563.25       unch       0.00%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017       441.75       -3.00       -0.67%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017       453.75       -3.25       -0.71%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017       465.50       -3.00       -0.64%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017       480.00       -2.25       -0.47%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017       500.00       -2.75       -0.55%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Feb 2017       119.68       -0.57       -0.47%

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017       118.40       -0.77       -0.65%

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017       108.15       -0.45       -0.41%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Jan 2017       132.42       -0.36       -0.27%

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017       130.18       -0.50       -0.38%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017       129.60       -0.33       -0.25%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Feb 2017       65.22       +0.22       +0.34%

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017       67.62       -0.16       -0.24%

Lean Hogs (P) May 2017       73.05       +0.08       +0.11%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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