Canola rises Tuesday on weaker loonie and seeding rain delay

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Published: May 14, 2013

Canola futures rose on Tuesday, supported by slightly stronger soy oil and a weaker loonie.

Support for canola also came from forecasts that show rain over much of the Prairies Saturday and Sunday, delaying seeding.

Corn was under pressure by expectation of rapid seeding progress in the Midwest, until rain hits that region later this week.

Otherwise, there was not a lot of market moving news.

Concerns are growing about dry weather in Russia and Ukraine. If the weather stays dry for another week, it will start hurting yield potential. So farm he head of analytical firm SovEcon is keeping his forecast for Russia’s grain crop at 83-89 million tonnes, up from last year’s 71 million. But continued hot dry weather will first hurt the spring crop and then if it lingers will hurt the larger winter crop.

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U.S. grains: Soy futures top one-week high, US crop outlook limits gains

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures hit their highest level in more than a week on Thursday as technical buying helped the market recover from a three-month low reached on Monday, analysts said.

Temperatures in grain producing areas around the Black Sea are hitting the high 20s to mid 30s C this week.

Eastern part of Australia received showers over the weekend to help alleviate dry conditions but after some additional rain this week it is expected to turn dry again.

It was an up day in equity markets, buoyed by signs of strengthening global economy, although perhaps not in China. The Dow and S&P 500 posted new record highs.

The equities rally is being helped by stimulus programs being implements by many of the central banks of the leading economies.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2013       626.20       +2.40       +0.38%

Canola Nov 2013       542.40       +4.40       +0.82%

Canola Jan 2014       544.30       +5.00       +0.93%

Canola Mar 2014       539.80       +5.00       +0.93%

Canola May 2014       534.40       +4.60       +0.87%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2013       301.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       294.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       299.40       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2013       244.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2013       194.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2013       1414.75       -4.5       -0.32%

Soybeans Aug 2013       1346.25       +1.25       +0.09%

Soybeans Sep 2013       1268       +5       +0.40%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1214       +4.25       +0.35%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1221.75       +4.25       +0.35%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1227.75       +4.25       +0.35%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2013       411.8       -3.3       -0.79%

Soybean Meal Aug 2013       388.6       unch       0.00%

Soybean Meal Sep 2013       363.6       +1.5       +0.41%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2013       49.76       +0.15       +0.30%

Soybean Oil Aug 2013       49.51       +0.15       +0.30%

Soybean Oil Sep 2013       49.23       +0.15       +0.31%

 

Corn Jul 2013       652.5       -3       -0.46%

Corn Sep 2013       569.75       +1.25       +0.22%

Corn Dec 2013       538       -1.25       -0.23%

Corn Mar 2014       547.75       -1.5       -0.27%

Corn May 2014       555.5       -1.5       -0.27%

 

Oats Jul 2013       384.25       +2.25       +0.59%

Oats Sep 2013       369.25       +0.75       +0.20%

Oats Dec 2013       361.5       +1.75       +0.49%

Oats Mar 2014       365.5       -0.25       -0.07%

Oats May 2014       367.75       -0.25       -0.07%

 

Wheat Jul 2013       710.75       +1       +0.14%

Wheat Sep 2013       719.5       +1.5       +0.21%

Wheat Dec 2013       735.5       +0.5       +0.07%

Wheat Mar 2014       752.5       unch       0.00%

Wheat May 2014       758       unch       0.00%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2013       811.25       -1.25       -0.15%

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       806.5       -2       -0.25%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       814.75       -2.25       -0.28%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       826.5       -1.25       -0.15%

Spring Wheat May 2014       834.25       -1.25       -0.15%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2013       767       +0.5       +0.07%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       775       +0.25       +0.03%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       791.75       -1       -0.13%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       804.75       -1.75       -0.22%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       807.25       -1.25       -0.15%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York down 96 cents at $94.21 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 98.54 cents US, down from 98.93 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0148 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index rose 47.50 points, or 0.38 percent, to 12,577.05.

Dow Jones industrial average gained 123.57 points, or 0.82 percent, to a record 15,215.25 at the close.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 16.57 points, or 1.01 percent, to end at a record 1,650.34.

The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 23.82 points, or 0.69 percent, to 3,462.61, its highest close since November 2000.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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