Canola rally stalls on weaker veg oil values

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Published: September 15, 2015

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November canola snapped its five-day winning streak by closing lower but was slightly higher through most of the trading day.

January canola still posted a small gain.

Farmers are not rushing to deliver from the combine and that is helping to keep support under canola. Also, rain in a large part of Saskatchewan today and tomorrow is delaying harvest.

Soybean futures were slightly higher on a decline in the U.S. weekly crop rating.

USDA late Monday rated 61 percent of the U.S. soybean crop as good to excellent, down from 63 percent a week earlier, Reuters reported.

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U.S. soybean futures fell to a 1-1/2 week low on Tuesday as China continued to shun purchases from the United States and as forecasts for improved rains in the coming days reinforced expectations for a sizeable Midwest harvest.

But soybean oil fell about 1.7 percent on losses in palm oil. Palm fell after soaring to a two month high earlier in the day

Corn was also lower on profit taking after the recent multi day rally. The weekly corn crop condition rating did not change.

Wheat followed corn lower.

The USDA said the American spring wheat crop was 97 percent harvested, ahead of the five-year average of 86 percent.

Weather is favourable for seeding winter wheat in the U.S. southern plains. About nine percent of the crop has been seeded.

Wheat supply and demand fundamentals remain weak with 2015-16 year end stocks expected to be the largest ever.

Generally, markets are a little jittery as the U.S. Federal Reserve meets this week and the potential of an interest rate hike is on the table, although most think it will come later in the fall or early winter.

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 59 cents to US$44.59 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US75.40 cents, up from 75.36 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3263.

Stock markets were generally up in late session trading.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2015   471.10   -0.70   -0.15%

Canola Jan 2016   475.80   +0.40   +0.08%

Canola Mar 2016   478.70   +1.10   +0.23%

Canola May 2016   479.30   +1.30   +0.27%

Canola Jul 2016   479.00   +1.60   +0.34%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2015   225.00   -5.00   -2.17%

Milling Wheat Dec 2015   225.00   -5.00   -2.17%

Milling Wheat Mar 2016   229.00   -5.00   -2.14%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2015   340.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2015   340.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2016   345.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2015   184.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2015   184.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Mar 2016   186.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2015   889   +4.75   +0.54%

Soybeans Jan 2016   892.25   +4.75   +0.54%

Soybeans Mar 2016   893.5   +4.5   +0.51%

Soybeans May 2016   894.75   +5.5   +0.62%

Soybeans Jul 2016   898.75   +6   +0.67%

Soybeans Aug 2016   897.5   +5.75   +0.64%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2015   318.6   +4.3   +1.37%

Soybean Meal Dec 2015   317.4   +4.6   +1.47%

Soybean Meal Jan 2016   315.4   +4.6   +1.48%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2015   26.47   -0.46   -1.71%

Soybean Oil Dec 2015   26.66   -0.47   -1.73%

Soybean Oil Jan 2016   26.97   -0.47   -1.71%

 

Corn Dec 2015   390.5   -3   -0.76%

Corn Mar 2016   401.75   -3   -0.74%

Corn May 2016   409   -2.75   -0.67%

Corn Jul 2016   413.5   -2.5   -0.60%

Corn Sep 2016   405.25   -3.25   -0.80%

 

Oats Dec 2015   235.75   +3   +1.29%

Oats Mar 2016   237.5   +4.75   +2.04%

Oats May 2016   239.25   +4.75   +2.03%

Oats Jul 2016   240.25   +4.75   +2.02%

Oats Sep 2016   240.25   +4.75   +2.02%

 

Wheat Dec 2015   494.75   -6.5   -1.30%

Wheat Mar 2016   502.5   -7.5   -1.47%

Wheat May 2016   507.75   -7.25   -1.41%

Wheat Jul 2016   511.75   -7   -1.35%

Wheat Sep 2016   520.5   -6.75   -1.28%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2015   520.5   -4.25   -0.81%

Spring Wheat Mar 2016   534   -4.25   -0.79%

Spring Wheat May 2016   544   -4   -0.73%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   554   -4   -0.72%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   564   -4   -0.70%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015   492.5   -3.75   -0.76%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016   507   -3   -0.59%

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   517   -3   -0.58%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   526.25   -3.25   -0.61%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   540.5   -3   -0.55%

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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