Canola, oats up in general rally on weather and USDA report hopes

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Published: March 27, 2013

Most crop futures including canola rose on Wednesday, with position jockeying ahead of Thursday’s USDA reports a key trading feature, but also support from weather issues.

Oats have caught fire the past few sessions with the May contract closing up 18.75 cents since the open on Monday and December up about 9.75 cents on concerns about the late spring and heavy snow pack in the Canadian Prairies and northern U.S.

Steady commercial demand and slower farmer sales helped support canola futures. Support also came from tight remaining stocks of canola.

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Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures touched a two-week high on Friday on worries that heat may threaten U.S. crops and expectations that the country’s biofuel policy would boost demand for soyoil, analysts said.

Traders were also positioning ahead of Thursday’s USDA reports on stocks and prospective planting. Watch for our tweets soon after the reports are released @darcemcmillan and @westernproducer.

Canola and wheat received some support from cold weather in Western Europe that is delaying and stressing crops in France and Britain.

May canola closed at $638, up $6.60 and November closed at $565, up $5.

Wheat was also supported by concerns about the severe cold on the weekend and on Monday that hit U.S. hard red winter wheat, potentially damaging more advanced crops. On the other hand, some recent world wheat tenders went to non-U.S. suppliers, indicating American wheat prices might be becoming overpriced again.

Falling U.S. ethanol stocks, indicating a rise in demand, supported corn prices.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada in dollars per tonne

Canola May 2013       638.00       +6.60       +1.05%

Canola Jul 2013       622.20       +5.80       +0.94%

Canola Nov 2013       565.00       +5.00       +0.89%

Canola Jan 2014       566.00       +5.00       +0.89%

Canola Mar 2014       563.00       +5.00       +0.90%

 

Milling Wheat May 2013       292.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Jul 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat May 2013       311.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2013       314.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       299.30       unch       0.00%

 

Barley May 2013       243.50       +0.50       +0.21%

Barley Jul 2013       244.00       +0.50       +0.21%

Barley Oct 2013       244.00       +0.50       +0.21%

 

U.S. crops in dollars per bushel, soybean meal in dollars per short ton, soybean oil in cents per pound.

Chicago

Soybeans May 2013       1453.75       +6       +0.41%

Soybeans Jul 2013       1431       +4.5       +0.32%

Soybeans Aug 2013       1385.5       +3.25       +0.24%

Soybeans Sep 2013       1315.25       +3.25       +0.25%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1278.25       +1.75       +0.14%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1282.5       +1.5       +0.12%

 

Soybean Meal May 2013       423.1       +2.9       +0.69%

Soybean Meal Jul 2013       418.3       +2.8       +0.67%

Soybean Meal Aug 2013       400.3       +2.4       +0.60%

 

Soybean Oil May 2013       50.82       unch       0.00%

Soybean Oil Jul 2013       51.03       -0.03       -0.06%

Soybean Oil Aug 2013       50.94       -0.03       -0.06%

 

Corn May 2013       735.25       +5       +0.68%

Corn Jul 2013       716       +3.75       +0.53%

Corn Sep 2013       603       -0.75       -0.12%

Corn Dec 2013       571       unch       0.00%

Corn Mar 2014       580       -0.25       -0.04%

 

Oats May 2013       412.5       +12.75       +3.19%

Oats Jul 2013       407       +12.25       +3.10%

Oats Sep 2013       386       +12.25       +3.28%

Oats Dec 2013       369.25       +3.5       +0.96%

Oats Mar 2014       377.75       +3.5       +0.94%

 

Chicago soft red winter

Wheat May 2013       736.75       +5.25       +0.72%

Wheat Jul 2013       736       +3.75       +0.51%

Wheat Sep 2013       742.5       +3.75       +0.51%

Wheat Dec 2013       753.25       +3       +0.40%

Wheat Mar 2014       764.25       +2.25       +0.30%

 

Minneapolis hard red spring

Spring Wheat May 2013       813       +2.5       +0.31%

Spring Wheat Jul 2013       812.75       +2.5       +0.31%

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       813       +3.25       +0.40%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       821       +4.25       +0.52%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       834       +3.75       +0.45%

 

Kansas City hard red winter wheat

KCBT Red Wheat May 2013       774       +5.5       +0.72%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2013       779       +5.25       +0.68%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       790       +5.25       +0.67%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       804.75       +5.75       +0.72%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       816.75       +6       +0.74%

 

The Bank of Canada noon rate for the loonie was 98.33 cents US, little changed from 98.37 on Tuesday. The U.S. buck was $1.0170 Cdn.

 

Crude oil in New York rose 24 cents to $96.58 per barrel.

Financial institutions in Cyprus reopen on Thursday and there were worries about a possible run on banks as people try to get their money out. Withdrawals will be limited. There are concerns people in other European countries might also start withdrawing money, fearing that what happened in Cyprus might be repeated in other countries.

Inflation in Canada jumped by a surprisingly strong 1.2 percent in February fueled by a hike in gasoline. It was the biggest month-to-month increase since January 1991 when Ottawa introduced the GST. That increased the year on year rate to 1.2 percent from 0.5 percent in January, which was the lowest in three years.

In early tallies _

The S&P/TSX composite index ended down 6.73 points to 12,699.65.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 33.41 points, or 0.23 percent, at 14,526.24.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 0.85 points, or 0.05 percent, at 1,562.92.

The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 4.04 points, or 0.12 percent, at 3,256.52.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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