Canola holds near $500, rain forecast weighs on winter wheat

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Published: March 22, 2017

Old crop canola futures threatened to slip below the $500 per tonne level on Wednesday but new crop November edged slightly higher for the second day.

It looks like the market is trying to keep new crop canola close to the psychologically important $500 level.

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In both canola and soybeans, the May and November contracts are almost the same, with canola very close to $500 a tonne and soybean right around US$10 a bushel.

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WHEAT

Winter wheat contracts fell about one percent but spring wheat was little changed.

Rain expected over the next seven days in the U.S. Plains and Midwest is expected to improve the condition of winter wheat crops.

Crop futures are generally under downward pressure from the record large South American crops and expectations of a record large seeded area of American soybeans.

Reuters reported that soybean crush margins in China have turned negative and that could slow the pace of its imports.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 20 cents to US$48.04 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.01 cents, up from 74.93 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3331.

On Wall Street, traders were watching to see if Congress will be able to pass the new health care law.

In Canada, the Liberal government released its annual budget. It made minor changes to some programs and taxes but had no major initiatives.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 35.33 points, or 0.23 percent, at 15,348.46.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.03 percent to end at 20,661.3 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.19 percent to 2,348.45.

The Nasdaq Composite added 0.48 percent to 5,821.64.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2017   501.60   -3.30   -0.65%

Canola Jul 2017   507.80   -2.70   -0.53%

Canola Nov 2017   496.30   +1.40   +0.28%

Canola Jan 2018   501.70   +1.50   +0.30%

Canola Mar 2018   506.00   +1.50   +0.30%

 

Milling Wheat May 2017   231.00   -1.00   -0.43%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017   232.00   -1.00   -0.43%

Milling Wheat Oct 2017   226.00   -1.00   -0.44%

 

Durum Wheat May 2017   281.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017   280.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2017   268.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley May 2017   137.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2017   138.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2017   140.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2017   999.75   -1.75   -0.17%

Soybeans Jul 2017   1010.25   -1.50   -0.15%

Soybeans Aug 2017   1012.25   -1.50   -0.15%

Soybeans Sep 2017   1005.00   -0.25   -0.02%

Soybeans Nov 2017   998.75   +0.50   +0.05%

Soybeans Jan 2018   1003.75   +0.50   +0.05%

 

Soybean Meal May 2017   323.50   -2.30   -0.71%

Soybean Meal Jul 2017   326.90   -2.30   -0.70%

Soybean Meal Aug 2017   327.00   -2.00 -0.61%

 

Soybean Oil May 2017   33.52   +0.38   +1.15%

Soybean Oil Jul 2017   33.78   +0.38   +1.14%

Soybean Oil Aug 2017   33.84   +0.36   +1.08%

 

Corn May 2017   358.75   -2.50   -0.69%

Corn Jul 2017   366.50   -2.25   -0.61%

Corn Sep 2017   374.00   -2.25   -0.60%

Corn Dec 2017   382.00   -2.50   -0.65%

Corn Mar 2018   391.75   -2.25   -0.57%

 

Oats May 2017   251.50   -2.25   -0.89%

Oats Jul 2017   240.75   -2.50   -1.03%

Oats Sep 2017   235.25   -2.00   -0.84%

Oats Dec 2017   235.25   -1.50   -0.63%

Oats Mar 2018   235.25   unch   0.00%

 

Wheat May 2017   422.25   -4.25   -1.00%

Wheat Jul 2017   437.50   -4.75   -1.07%

Wheat Sep 2017   453.50   -4.75   -1.04%

Wheat Dec 2017   473.25   -4.25   -0.89%

Wheat Mar 2018   487.50   -4.50   -0.91%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2017   537.75   -0.50   -0.09%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   544.25   +0.50   +0.09%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   549.75   +0.25   +0.05%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017   558.50   -1.00   -0.18%

Spring Wheat Mar 2018   569.25   -1.25   -0.22%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   432.50   -5.75   -1.31%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   444.75   -5.50   -1.22%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   459.75   -5.00   -1.08%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017   481.25   -4.50   -0.93%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2018   496.50   -4.25   -0.85%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017   122.45   +2.55   +2.13%

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017   113.78   +2.73   +2.46%

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2017   108.95   +2.38   +2.23%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017   134.00   +2.00   +1.52%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017   136.35   +3.72   +2.80%

Feeder Cattle (P) May 2017   135.27   +3.77   +2.87%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017   68.15   +0.15   +0.22%

Lean Hogs (P) May 2017   72.52   -0.28   -0.38%

Lean Hogs (P) Jun 2017   75.75   -0.58   -0.76%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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