Canola futures rise as hot meal market drives oilseeds higher

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: May 25, 2016

Canola closed higher Wednesday with support from soybeans, which were led higher by a very strong soy meal market.

July and November canola closed up almost one percent, but soybeans rose close to three percent, led higher by a 4.7 percent increase in soy meal.

Clearly some meal users are caught short and are worried about increasingly negative reports from Argentina about flood damage to its crop.

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Analysts in Argentina say the flooding at harvest cut four to eight million tonnes from expected production.

Argentina is the world’s largest soy meal exporter.

Soy meal was also supported by the maintenance temporary shutdown of an Archer Daniels Midland crushing plant in Indiana,

The rally in soy meal has pushed it into oversold territory, raising the potential for a pull back in the price.

The 14-day relative strength index for July meal is 82.1 percent.

Nearby corn futures closed up 1.8 percent following soybeans and also on worries that rain this week in the U.S. Midwest could make it difficult to seed the final corn acres.

Wheat edged up a few cents higher, supported by corn but also on concerns that the rain, which will extend into the hard red winter wheat area, could lead to disease and quality problems in the crop, which is more than 75 percent headed.

Kansas July wheat rose 4.5 cents, Chicago rose two cents and Minneapolis was unchanged.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 94 cents to US$49.56 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US76.39 cents, up from 76.23 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3090.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 100.89 points, or 0.72 percent, at 14,053.74. It touched its highest since August 19 at 14,093.29.

The index has rallied 22 percent from its low in January.

The Dow Jones industrial average added 0.82 percent to end at 17,851.51 points and the S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 2,090.54.

The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.7 percent to 4,894.89.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2016   524.80   +5.00   +0.96%

Canola Nov 2016   521.80   +4.90   +0.95%

Canola Jan 2017   523.80   +3.60   +0.69%

Canola Mar 2017   524.40   +3.80   +0.73%

Canola May 2017   524.70   +3.40 +0.65%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   238.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   233.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2016   238.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   305.00   +1.00   +0.33%

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   297.00   +1.00   +0.34%

Durum Wheat Dec 2016   299.00   +1.00   +0.34%

 

Barley Jul 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2016   1085.5   +30.75   +2.92%

Soybeans Aug 2016   1081.75   +28.75   +2.73%

Soybeans Sep 2016   1065.5   +26   +2.50%

Soybeans Nov 2016   1054.25   +25   +2.43%

Soybeans Jan 2017   1048.75   +22.25   +2.17%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1025.75   +16.25   +1.61%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   407.2   +18.3   +4.71%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   390.4   +14   +3.72%

Soybean Meal Sep 2016   379.3   +9.7   +2.62%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   31.34   +0.45   +1.46%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   31.46   +0.44   +1.42%

Soybean Oil Sep 2016   31.6   +0.47   +1.51%

 

Corn Jul 2016   404.75   +7.25   +1.82%

Corn Sep 2016   407.25   +7.25   +1.81%

Corn Dec 2016   408.5   +5.75   +1.43%

Corn Mar 2017   415.25   +5.75   +1.40%

Corn May 2017   417.75   +5.5   +1.33%

 

Oats Jul 2016  190   +1.25   +0.66%

Oats Sep 2016   202.5   +1.25   +0.62%

Oats Dec 2016   216.25   unch   0.00%

Oats Mar 2017   225.5   unch   0.00%

Oats May 2017   225.5   unch   0.00%

 

Wheat Jul 2016   466   +2   +0.43%

Wheat Sep 2016   477.25   +2.25   +0.47%

Wheat Dec 2016   495   +1.75   +0.35%

Wheat Mar 2017   512.25   +1.75   +0.34%

Wheat May 2017   521.75   +2.5   +0.48%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   522   unch   0.00%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   529.75   -0.25   -0.05%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   542   +0.25   +0.05%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   553   unch   0.00%

Spring Wheat May 2017   560   +1   +0.18%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   451   +4.5   +1.01%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   466.75   +4   +0.86%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   489.75   +3.25   +0.67%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   505.75   +3   +0.60%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   515.5   +3   +0.59%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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