Canola futures fail to break above $470

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Published: March 14, 2016

Canola faded after making a good start Monday, losing ground to soybean products, but still posting a gain on the day.

“Canola turned quite a bit weaker going into the close,” said Ken Ball, broker with P.I. Financial in Winnipeg.

“It started out two, three, four dollars ahead (of soybean product values) and finished a couple or three dollars weaker than they were.”

A weak Canadian dollar in overnight trade helped push up canola near the $470 per tonne resistance level, but then the loonie rallied during the day.

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Feed Grains Weekly: Price likely to keep stepping back

As the harvest in southern Alberta presses on, a broker said that is one of the factors pulling feed prices lower in the region. Darcy Haley, vice-president of Ag Value Brokers in Lethbridge, added that lower cattle numbers in feedlots, plentiful amounts of grass for cattle to graze and a lacklustre export market also weighed on feed prices.

May canola closed up $3 per tonne, at $466.40. July was up $1.40, closing at $467.30.

Canola has had a nice rebound since the beginning of March, climbing to near $470 per tonne from less than $450, but has not been able to break through resistance in recent days.

Ball said spread traders have played a big role in the recent softness, with many appearing to favour soybeans to canola.

Corn prices rose a few cents per bushel Monday, with some speculating that the Friday news that funds had continued to expand their record short position led to some short-covering.

Heavy rain fell in the U.S. Delta region in recent days, damaging prospects for some crops such as soft red winter wheat.

The melting of snow cover in Western Canada is a worry for winter wheat growers, leaving their crop exposed to a deep freeze that could yet return in late March or early April. Snow is expected in northeastern Saskatchewan on Tuesday

Warm weather on the Canadian Prairies has brought much talk about how early farmers might begin to seed. Farmers are always keen to get an early start, but equally keen to avoid the risk of spring frosts. Even if the danger of freezing temperatures can be avoided, seeding some crops like soybeans too early can damage yields if seeds sit in wet ground for too long.

In India, more inclement weather on the weekend damaged wheat, chickpea and canola, raising fears of a repeat of last year’s disastrous harvest season. More rain is expected midweek.

ed.white@producer.com

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 66 cents to US$38.50 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US75.67 cents, up from 74.78 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3215.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2016   466.40   +3.00   +0.65%

Canola Jul 2016   467.30   +1.40   +0.30%

Canola Nov 2016   468.20   +0.70   +0.15%

Canola Jan 2017   471.70   +0.30   +0.06%

Canola Mar 2017   474.30   +0.30   +0.06%

 

Milling Wheat May 2016   234.00   +1.00   +0.43%

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   237.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   237.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat May 2016   290.00   -3.00   -1.02%

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   278.00   -3.00   -1.07%

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   266.00   -3.00   -1.12%

 

Barley May 2016   176.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2016   180.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2016   180.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2016   895.75   unch   0.00%

Soybeans Jul 2016   902   +0.5   +0.06%

Soybeans Aug 2016   904   +0.5   +0.06%

Soybeans Sep 2016   904   +0.5   +0.06%

Soybeans Nov 2016   907   +0.25   +0.03%

Soybeans Jan 2017   911.25   +0.25   +0.03%

 

Soybean Meal May 2016   271.5   -2   -0.73%

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   274.2   -2   -0.72%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   275.3   -1.9   -0.69%

 

Soybean Oil May 2016   32.45   +0.32   +1.00%

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   32.68   +0.31   +0.96%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   32.75   +0.3   +0.92%

 

Corn May 2016   368.75   +3.75   +1.03%

Corn Jul 2016   373.5   +4   +1.08%

Corn Sep 2016   378.5   +4.25   +1.14%

Corn Dec 2016   387   +4.25   +1.11%

Corn Mar 2017   395.5   +4.25   +1.09%

 

Oats May 2016   196   +4.5   +2.35%

Oats Jul 2016   205.5   +5   +2.49%

Oats Sep 2016   212.25   +4.75   +2.29%

Oats Dec 2016   219.75   +4.25   +1.97%

Oats Mar 2017   219.75   +4.25   +1.97%

 

Wheat May 2016   478.75   +3   +0.63%

Wheat Jul 2016   485.75   +3   +0.62%

Wheat Sep 2016   495   +3   +0.61%

Wheat Dec 2016   508.25   +2.75   +0.54%

Wheat Mar 2017   521.25   +2.5   +0.48%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2016   521.25   +6   +1.16%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   529.5   +6   +1.15%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   538.75   +5.5   +1.03%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   552.25   +5.5   +1.01%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   564.75   +5   +0.89%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   489   +6   +1.24%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   499   +6   +1.22%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   512.25   +6.25   +1.24%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   531.25   +6   +1.14%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   543.5   +5.5   +1.02%

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Ed White

Ed White

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