Canola falls on rapid seeding, wheat gains on US rain

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Published: May 26, 2016

Canola futures fell Thursday on weaker soybeans, on ideas that canola’s recent rally was over done and on rapid seeding progress.

A stronger loonie also weighed on canola.

Wheat, usually the laggard in crop markets this year, rose sharply on concerns about excess rain in the U.S. Plains and Midwest and on ideas that cheap wheat will replace corn in some U.S. livestock feed rations this summer. Short covering also supported wheat.

Unlike Wednesday, spring wheat also rose today, trying to catch up to gains in Kansas and Chicago wheat.

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The Saskatchewan crop report today said that 81 percent of crops had been seeded as of May 23, slightly behind last year’s pace but ahead of the five-year average of 59 percent.

Crops are generally developing nicely.

Rain is expected in many regions of the Prairies over the next few days. The largest accumulation, approaching an inch, could fall in the southwestern corner of Saskatchewan on Saturday.

The oilseed market was pressured as the red hot soy meal market fell early on profit taking after posting the highest prices since September 2014.

Declining production forecasts from Argentina, which suffered extreme rains in April, had driven the soy meal rally.

While soy meal was down at the opening of trade, it rallied back through the morning but then weakened again right before the close.

On the day, soy meal finished slightly higher.

Stock markets were mixed Thursday after good gains earlier in the week. Investors have become more comfortable with the idea that the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates at its June meeting.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down eight cents to US$49.48 per barrel. Earlier in the day, the July crude contract topped $50 for the first time since Oct. 12.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US77.04 cents, up from 76.39 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2981.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 4.54 points, or 0.03 percent, at 14,049.20.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 23.22 points, or 0.13 percent, to 17,828.29, the S&P 500 lost 0.44 points, or 0.02 percent, to 2,090.1 and the Nasdaq Composite added 6.88 points, or 0.14 percent, to 4,901.77.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2016   515.60   -9.20   -1.75%

Canola Nov 2016   515.20   -6.60   -1.26%

Canola Jan 2017   518.10   -5.70   -1.09%

Canola Mar 2017   519.10   -5.30   -1.01%

Canola May 2017   520.20   -4.50   -0.86%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   238.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   233.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2016   238.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   305.00   +1.00   +0.33%

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   297.00   +1.00   +0.34%

Durum Wheat Dec 2016   299.00   +1.00   +0.34%

 

Barley Jul 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2016   171.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2016   1079.75   -5.75   -0.53%

Soybeans Aug 2016   1077.25   -4.5   -0.42%

Soybeans Sep 2016   1061.75   -3.75   -0.35%

Soybeans Nov 2016   1050.5   -3.75   -0.36%

Soybeans Jan 2017   1047   -1.75   -0.17%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1025.75   unch   0.00%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   409.6   +2.4   +0.59%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   393.1   +2.7   +0.69%

Soybean Meal Sep 2016   381.4   +2.1   +0.55%

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   31.04   -0.3   -0.96%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   31.16   -0.3   -0.95%

Soybean Oil Sep 2016   31.3   -0.3   -0.95%

 

Corn Jul 2016   408.25   +3.5   +0.86%

Corn Sep 2016   410.5   +3.25   +0.80%

Corn Dec 2016   409.75   +1.25   +0.31%

Corn Mar 2017   416.5   +1.25   +0.30%

Corn May 2017   419.75   +2   +0.48%

 

Oats Jul 2016   191.25   +1.25   +0.66%

Oats Sep 2016   203.5   +1   +0.49%

Oats Dec 2016   216.75   +0.5   +0.23%

Oats Mar 2017   226   +0.5   +0.22%

Oats May 2017   226   +0.5 +0.22%

 

Wheat Jul 2016   481.25   +15.25   +3.27%

Wheat Sep 2016   491.75   +14.5   +3.04%

Wheat Dec 2016   508.5   +13.5   +2.73%

Wheat Mar 2017   524   +11.75   +2.29%

Wheat May 2017   533.75   +12   +2.30%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   534.5   +12.5   +2.39%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   542.25   +12.5   +2.36%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   555.25   +13.25   +2.44%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   566.25   +13.25   +2.40%

Spring Wheat May 2017   573   +13   +2.32%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   462.25   +11.25   +2.49%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   478.5   +11.75   +2.52%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   501.5   +11.75   +2.40%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   517.75   +12   +2.37%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   527.75   +12.25   +2.38%

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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