Canola falls after failing to hold above $500

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Published: May 14, 2014

July canola futures topped the technically and psychologically important $500 per tonne mark in overnight trade but could not hang on.

July closed down $4.40 at $492.80.

The July’s premium over new crop November widened further.

November dropped $7.40 to close at $485.30.

Canola dropped even with support from soybeans and soy oil, which both edged higher at the close on stronger cash prices. However both were down earlier in morning trade.

Farmers in most parts of the Prairies should be making seeding progress today but there could be light rain Thursday and Friday with less than half inch accumulation, most of it in the western half of Saskatchewan.

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Alberta crop conditions improve: report

Varied precipitation and warm temperatures were generally beneficial for crop development across Alberta during the week ended July 8, according to the latest provincial crop report released July 11.

There could be larger accumulations of rain Sunday and Monday across the southern parts of all three Prairie provinces.

All wheat contracts fell more than two percent and corn fell more than one percent.

Wheat has been under pressure since the USDA reported on Friday that global production is expected to be ample. The drought problems in the U.S. winter wheat area are offset by good conditions in Europe and the Black Sea region. North American prices had to fall to avoid being priced out of the global market.

Feedlots in southern Alberta have used up a lot of the local feed barley supply and a shortage of trucks is making it hard to bring in grain from farther away. The squeezing is lifting feed barley prices.

Prices posted at the Alberta Canola Producers website show the Lethbridge average feed barley price as of May 5 was $210 per tonne, up from $196 two weeks before.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Jul 2014       492.80       -4.40       -0.88%

Canola Nov 2014       485.30       -7.40       -1.50%

Canola Jan 2015       488.70       -7.10       -1.43%

Canola Mar 2015       490.70       -8.00       -1.60%

Canola May 2015       491.40       -9.00       -1.80%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       240.00       -6.00       -2.44%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       240.00       -7.00       -2.83%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       243.00       -7.00       -2.80%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       252.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       243.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       243.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2014       145.70       +4.20       +2.97%

Barley Oct 2014       145.70       +4.20       +2.97%

Barley Dec 2014       145.70       +4.20       +2.97%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2014       1486.75       +3       +0.20%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1416       +0.5       +0.04%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1277       +0.25       +0.02%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1222.5       +3.5       +0.29%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1228.75       +3.25       +0.27%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1233.5       +3.25       +0.26%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       486.5       +1.8       +0.37%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014       459.4       +0.5       +0.11%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014       421.2       +0.3       +0.07%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       41.38       +0.17       +0.41%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014       41.29       +0.15       +0.36%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014       41.15       +0.14       +0.34%

 

Corn Jul 2014       495.5       -7.25       -1.44%

Corn Sep 2014       490.75       -5.75       -1.16%

Corn Dec 2014       489       -6       -1.21%

Corn Mar 2015       497       -6       -1.19%

Corn May 2015       503       -6       -1.18%

 

Oats Jul 2014       356.25       +0.75       +0.21%

Oats Sep 2014       342.75       +4.5       +1.33%

Oats Dec 2014       334.5       +1.5       +0.45%

Oats Mar 2015       331.25       +2.25       +0.68%

Oats May 2015       324.5       +0.75       +0.23%

 

Wheat Jul 2014       690.25       -19       -2.68%

Wheat Sep 2014       699       -19       -2.65%

Wheat Dec 2014       715       -18.25       -2.49%

Wheat Mar 2015       729.75       -17.5       -2.34%

Wheat May 2015       737.5       -15.75       -2.09%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       778.25       -16.5       -2.08%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       783.5       -17.75       -2.22%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       792.75       -18.75       -2.31%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       798.25       -19.5       -2.38%

Spring Wheat May 2015       799       -18.75       -2.29%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014       806.25       -18.5       -2.24%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014       810.75       -18.25       -2.20%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014       821.25       -19       -2.26%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015       823.75       -19.75       -2.34%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015       816.5       -18.25       -2.19%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 67 cents at $102.37 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 91.85 cents US, up from 91.81 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0887 Cdn.

In early tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 6.08 points, or 0.04 percent, at 14,673.73.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 101.53 points or 0.61 percent, to 16,613.91, the S&P 500 lost 8.94 points or 0.47 percent, to 1,888.51 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 29.54 points or 0.72 percent, to 4,100.63.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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