Canola erases Friday losses; US wheat deteriorates

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Published: April 7, 2014

Canola futures closed higher on Monday, lifted by technical buying, improved commercial demand and concerns about the potential for late seeding.

The gains made up for the losses on Friday. Canola price movements plotted on a chart are mostly moving sideways in a about a $10 per tonne range between $453 and $463.

Late in the  trading day May rallied as high as $464.40 for a short time, but was hammered back into the range by the close.

May closed at $460.80, or $10.45 a bushel.

Old crop soybeans fell on the arrival of a shipment of Brazilian soybeans to the U.S. Gulf Coast on the weekend. More South American soybeans are expected to go to the United States to addess the shortages there.

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Worries that cool, wet spring weather will delay seeding in the Midwest were relieved somewhat by a forecast for  warmer, drier weather.

Wheat edged higher on weekend rains in the southern Plains that were less than expected.

After the close, state crop progress reports showed the hard red winter wheat crop deteriorated in the past week.

Kansas good-to-excellent 29 percent (32 percent last week). Fair 44 percent (43). Poor-to-very poor 27 percent (25).

Oklahoma good-to-excellent 15 percent (17 percent). Fair 37 percent (39). Poor-to-very poor 48 percent (44).

Texas good-to-excellent 13 percent (11). Fair 26 percent (30). Poor-to-very poor 61 percent (59).

The first national assessment of the winter wheat crop was delayed until Tuesday.

USDA will release its monthly supply and demand report on Wednesday. Traders expect the report will reduce  the estimate of year end soybean stocks.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2014       461.00       +6.80       +1.50%

Canola Jul 2014       470.80       +6.40       +1.38%

Canola Nov 2014       485.70       +5.50       +1.15%

Canola Jan 2015       493.10       +5.60       +1.15%

Canola Mar 2015       500.00       +5.40       +1.09%

 

Milling Wheat May 2014       217.00       +2.00       +0.93%

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       215.00       +2.00       +0.94%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       218.00       +2.00       +0.93%

 

Durum Wheat May 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       252.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley May 2014       130.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2014       1464.25       -9.5       -0.64%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1448.25       -6.75       -0.46%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1372.75       -1.75       -0.13%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1257       unch       0.00%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1208.25       -0.25       -0.02%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1213.25       unch       0.00%

 

Soybean Meal May 2014       474.3       -4.8       -1.00%

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       464.7       -2.2       -0.47%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014       436.1       -1.3       -0.30%

 

Soybean Oil May 2014       41.43       -0.14       -0.34%

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       41.65       -0.12       -0.29%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014       41.53       -0.02       -0.05%

 

Corn May 2014       499.25       -2.5       -0.50%

Corn Jul 2014       505.25       -2.25       -0.44%

Corn Sep 2014       505.5       -1.5       -0.30%

Corn Dec 2014       505.5       -1.25       -0.25%

Corn Mar 2015       512       -1       -0.19%

 

Oats May 2014       419       +8.25       +2.01%

Oats Jul 2014       362.5       -3       -0.82%

Oats Sep 2014       351.75       -2.5       -0.71%

Oats Dec 2014       340.5       -5.5       -1.59%

Oats Mar 2015       339       -5.5       -1.60%

 

Wheat May 2014       676.25       +6.5       +0.97%

Wheat Jul 2014       683.5       +7       +1.03%

Wheat Sep 2014       692.75       +7.5       +1.09%

Wheat Dec 2014       706.25       +8       +1.15%

Wheat Mar 2015       718       +9       +1.27%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2014       722.25       +0.75       +0.10%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       725.5       +4       +0.55%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       732       +5.75       +0.79%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       742.5       +6.25       +0.85%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       749.25       +6.25       +0.84%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat May 2014       739.5       +5.75       +0.78%

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014       746       +7.5       +1.02%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014       753.5       +9       +1.21%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014       764.75       +9.75       +1.29%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015       769.25       +10       +1.32%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped 70 cents at $100.44 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 91.15 cents US, up from 91.09 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0971 Cdn.

Stock markets  fell as traders wondered if the United States economy is healthy enough to warrant high stock prices .

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 122.77 points, or 0.85 percent, at 14,270.33

Shares of internet  business stocks fell hard in the U.S.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 166.84 points or 1.02 percent, to 16,245.87, the S&P 500 lost 20.05 points or 1.08 percent, to 1,845.04 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 47.973 points or 1.16 percent, to 4,079.753.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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