Canola edged lower on Tuesday

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Published: October 10, 2017

Canola futures closed a little lower as trading in canola resumed Tuesday at ICE Futures Canada after the Thanksgiving holiday.

Canola is trading in a narrow range, which the downside limited by strong exports and domestic uses and concern about the amount of canola not yet harvested in northern areas. The potential for a rally is limited by the ongoing US harvest and expected adequate supply of competing soybeans and other oilseeds.

The loonie traded a little higher but was still just under US80 cents.

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Corn and soybean futures were slightly lower Tuesday.

Kansas and Chicago winter wheat were little changed but Minneapolis spring wheat fell about one percent.

Prairie farmers are hoping for dry weather to finish the remaining harvest.

Wednesday is forecast warm and sunny, but Thursday returns to single digits and the potential for showers, mostly in central Alberta and northern Saskatchewan.

Following that, it remains cool but the potential for rain declines.

In the U.S. Midwest rain could continue to delay harvest this week.

Brazil’s Conab agricultural forecaster expects farmers to shift acres into soybeans and away from corn, but total production of both crops is expected to back down a little from last year because weather is unlikely to be as ideal as it was.

Conab’s soybean and corn production forecast are similar to USDA’s forecasts.

US CROP PROGRESS

After the market closed the USDA said that 22 percent of the corn crop was harvested as of Sunday, behind the five year average of 37 percent. For soybeans 36 percent was harvested, behind the five year average of 43 percent.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up $1.34 at US$50.92 per barrel.

Saudi Arabia announced it would cut oil exports in November. Oil was also supported by slow production of U.S. wells in the Gulf of Mexico due to Hurricane Nate.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US79.90 cents, up from 79.56 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2516.

The Dow Industrial reached a new record high, helped by strong gains in Wal-Mart after it forecast U.S. online sales would rise by about 40 percent in the next fiscal year and unveiled a $20-billion share buyback.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index rose 42.04 points, or 0.27 per cent, to close at 15,770.36.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.31 percent to 22,830.68 points. It is up 15.5 percent in 2017.

The S&P 500 gained 0.23 percent to 2,550.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.11 percent to 6,587.25.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17   495.20s   -1.50   -0.30%

Canola Jan 18   500.10s   -2.00   -0.40%

Canola Mar 18   504.90s   -2.10   -0.41%

Canola May 18   507.40s   -2.00   -0.39%

Canola Jul 18   508.50s   -1.80   -0.35%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 17   232.00s   -1.00   -0.43%

Milling Wheat Dec 17   234.00s   -1.00   -0.43%

Milling Wheat Mar 18   240.00s   -1.00   -0.41%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 17   277.00s   -2.00   -0.72%

Durum Wheat Dec 17   281.00s   unch   unch

Durum Wheat Mar 18   286.00s   unch   unch

 

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   unch   unch

Barley Dec 17   148.00s   unch   unch

Barley Mar 18   151.00s   unch   unch

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 17   966-0s   -0-6   -0.08%

Soybeans Jan 18   976-2s   -1-0   -0.10%

Soybeans Mar 18   985-6s   -1-0 -0.10%

Soybeans May 18   995-0s   -0-6   -0.08%

Soybeans Jul 18   1003-4s   -0-2   -0.02%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 17   312.5s   +1.0   +0.32%

Soybean Meal Dec 17   316.2s   +0.7   +0.22%

Soybean Meal Jan 18   318.3s   +0.7   +0.22%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 17   32.86s  -0.16   -0.48%

Soybean Oil Dec 17   33.11s   -0.15   -0.45%

Soybean Oil Jan 18   33.29s   -0.15   -0.45%

 

Corn Dec 17   349-2s   -0-2   -0.07%

Corn Mar 18   362-6s   unch   unch

Corn May 18   371-4s   -0-2   -0.07%

Corn Jul 18   379-2s   -0-4   -0.13%

Corn Sep 18   386-0s   -0-6   -0.19%

 

Oats Dec 17   249-4s   +1-2   +0.50%

Oats Mar 18   251-4s   -0-6   -0.30%

Oats May 18   250-2s   -0-6   -0.30%

Oats Jul 18   247-6s   -1-4   -0.60%

Oats Sep 18   247-6s   -1-4   -0.60%

 

Wheat Dec 17   435-2s   -0-6   -0.17%

Wheat Mar 18   455-2s   -0-6   -0.16%

Wheat May 18   468-6s   -1-2   -0.27%

Wheat Jul 18   482-6s   -1-0   -0.21%

Wheat Sep 18   498-4s   -0-6   -0.15%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 17   617-4s   -5-6   -0.92%

Spring Wheat Mar 18   631-4s   -5-6   -0.90%

Spring Wheat May 18   638-4s   -4-6   -0.74%

Spring Wheat Jul 18   642-4s   -4-4   -0.70%

Spring Wheat Sep 18   638-2s   -5-4   -0.85%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   431-2s   +0-4   +0.12%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   449-2s   +0-4   +0.11%

Hard Red Wheat May 18   463-4s   +0-4   +0.11%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   481-6s   +0-6   +0.16%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 18   500-6s   +1-0   +0.20%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Oct 17   113.700s   +2.275   +2.04%

Live Cattle Dec 17   118.800s   +1.875   +1.60%

Live Cattle Feb 18   122.375s   +1.225   +1.01%

 

Feeder Cattle Oct 17   154.075s   +0.300   +0.20%

Feeder Cattle Nov 17   156.150s   +0.650   +0.42%

Feeder Cattle Jan 18   154.450s   +0.700   +0.46%

 

Lean Hogs Oct 17   60.175s   +1.150   +1.95%

Lean Hogs Dec 17   61.550s   +0.600   +0.98%

Lean Hogs Feb 18   67.400s   +0.575   +0.86%

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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