Canola drops Friday, but gains three percent on week

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Published: March 28, 2014

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Canola futures dipped on Friday but rose three percent on the week after a four-day rally.

For a full wrap of the week’s agricultural markets and news in video form, turn to Producer.com later this weekend.

Weakness in canola today was associated with farmer selling, commercial hedging and weaker soybeans.

May canola closed at $453.50 per tonne, down $5.30.

November closed at $478.70, down $5.70.

For the week, May canola rose $13 per tonne and November climbed $12.20.

U.S. markets were adjusting ahead of the U.S. Department of Agriculture reports on quarterly stocks and seeding intentions on Monday.

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U.S. grains: Soybean futures jump on hopes for US export demand

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures jumped on hopes for U.S. export demand on Wednesday, while corn futures rose for a third day to extend a recovery from contract lows, analysts said.

Wheat fell on new weather forecasts that increased the expected coverage of rain next week in the southern Plains.

Although the outlook for rain improved a little, about 40 percent of the hard red winter belt will still face “significant dryness” afterwards, a meteorologist told Reuters.

Exports from Ukraine are still uninterrupted despite the tensions there. It shipped about 2.5 million tonnes so far this month, the agriculture ministry said.

Spring wheat futures were pressured by expectations that improved rail movement in Canada will increase the export pace.

For the week, Chicago soft winter wheat rose 0.25 percent, its fourth straight weekly advance. Kansas City hard red winter wheat fell 0.97 percent and Minneapolis spring wheat dropped 0.44 percent.

Corn futures dipped on positioning ahead of the USDA reports and on weaker wheat.

Chicago May corn rose about three percent for the week.

Soybeans also edged lower Friday but on the week the May contract rose 1.9 percent.

Traders expect that high prices for soybeans will encourage farmers in the U.S. to seed a record soybean crop of about 81.8 million acres. Corn area is expected slightly decrease.

Soyoil today edged higher on bargain buying, snapping a seven day losing streak that saw the May contract fall 4.4 percent.

Brazilian analysts Safras & Mercado today pegged the soybean crop there at a record 86.924 million tonnes, up from the previous estimate of 86.144 million.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola May 2014         453.50         -5.30         -1.16%

Canola Jul 2014         463.10         -5.10         -1.09%

Canola Nov 2014         478.70         -5.70         -1.18%

Canola Jan 2015         486.20         -5.70         -1.16%

Canola Mar 2015         493.50         -5.70         -1.14%

 

Milling Wheat May 2014         222.00         -5.00         -2.20%

Milling Wheat Jul 2014         219.00         -6.00         -2.67%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014         221.00         -5.00         -2.21%

 

Durum Wheat May 2014         250.00         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2014         250.00         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014         252.00         unch         0.00%

 

Barley May 2014         130.50         unch         0.00%

Barley Jul 2014         128.50         unch         0.00%

Barley Oct 2014         128.50         unch         0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2014         1436.5         unch         0.00%

Soybeans Jul 2014         1407.75         +0.75         +0.05%

Soybeans Aug 2014         1351.5         +4         +0.30%

Soybeans Sep 2014         1247         -1.5         -0.12%

Soybeans Nov 2014         1190.5         -2.25         -0.19%

Soybeans Jan 2015         1195.5         -2.25         -0.19%

 

Soybean Meal May 2014         468.4         -2.1         -0.45%

Soybean Meal Jul 2014         453.7         -0.9         -0.20%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014         430.9         +0.4         +0.09%

 

Soybean Oil May 2014         40.48         +0.05         +0.12%

Soybean Oil Jul 2014         40.71         +0.06         +0.15%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014         40.66         +0.04         +0.10%

 

Corn May 2014         492         unch         0.00%

Corn Jul 2014         496.25         unch         0.00%

Corn Sep 2014         491.25         -0.25         -0.05%

Corn Dec 2014         487.25         -0.75         -0.15%

Corn Mar 2015         495.25         -0.5         -0.10%

 

Oats May 2014         402         -4.75         -1.17%

Oats Jul 2014         358.75         -1.25         -0.35%

Oats Sep 2014         343.25         +2.5         +0.73%

Oats Dec 2014         339         +4         +1.19%

Oats Mar 2015         334.25         +1.5         +0.45%

 

Wheat May 2014         695.5         -15         -2.11%

Wheat Jul 2014         699.25         -15.25         -2.13%

Wheat Sep 2014         706.75         -15.5         -2.15%

Wheat Dec 2014         716.25         -16         -2.19%

Wheat Mar 2015         723.75         -15         -2.03%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2014         739.75         -14.5         -1.92%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014         739         -14         -1.86%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014         742.25         -14.25         -1.88%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014         750.25         -14.5         -1.90%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015         755.25         -14.75         -1.92%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat May 2014         763.5         -20.25         -2.58%

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014         763.75         -20.25         -2.58%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014         766.75         -21         -2.67%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014         775.5         -19.75         -2.48%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015         776.75         -18.5         -2.33%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 39 cents at $101.67 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 90.38 cents US, down from 90.44 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1064 Cdn.

Expectations the Chinese government will come up with a stimulus package to support the economy lifted the Toronto Stock Exchange composite.

Blackberry shares initially rose on quarterly losses that were not as bad as expected, but then fell hard and closed down 6.5 percent on the weak quarterly report.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index  closed up 81.88 points, or 0.58 percent, at 14,260.72

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 58.83 points or 0.36 percent, to end at 16,323.06.

The S&P 500 gained 8.58 points or 0.46 percent, to finish at 1,857.62.

The Nasdaq Composite added 4.526 points or 0.11 percent, to close at 4,155.759.

For the week, the TSX composite was down 0.5 percent, the Dow rose 0.1 percent, while the S&P 500 was off 0.5 percent and the Nasdaq was down 2.8 percent.

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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