Canola drifts lower as loonie rises on crude rally

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Published: December 13, 2016

January canola futures spent much of the morning slightly higher, but weakness toward the close caused the price to settle in negative territory.

January was down $2.10 or 0.41 percent at $516 per tonne.

March closed at $521.70, down $2.

It was the fourth straight loss for the March canola contract leaving it only slightly higher than its 50-day moving average. A fall below that average could trigger technical selling, a trader told Reuters.

The stronger Canadian dollar contributed to canola’s weakness. The loonie is rallying along with crude oil.

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All markets are eagerly anticipating the conclusion of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting tomorrow when the Fed is widely expected to announce an increase in American interest rates.

They are also looking for clarity from the central bank on the pace of future rate hikes.

A rate increase this week would be the first since last December.

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U.S. crop futures barely moved today. Oats saw the biggest increase, climbing almost one percent on support from tight supplies of milling grade product.

Markets are keeping an eye on dryness in Argentina. Rain is forecast for next week, but if it does not materialize, then crops could start to deteriorate.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 15 cents to US$52.98 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US76.22 cents, up from 76.10 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3120.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 97.57 points, or 0.64 percent, at 15,385.27.

American indexes hit new records.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 114.78 points, or 0.58 percent, to 19,911.21, the S&P 500 gained 14.76 points, or 0.653977 percent, to 2,271.72 and the Nasdaq Composite added 51.29 points, or 0.95 percent, to 5,463.83.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2017   516.00   -2.10   -0.41%

Canola Mar 2017   521.70   -2.00   -0.38%

Canola May 2017   526.20   -1.70   -0.32%

Canola Jul 2017   529.20   -1.10   -0.21%

Canola Nov 2017   499.10   -0.90   -0.18%

Canola Jan 2018   501.20   -1.10   -0.22%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2017   235.00   -4.00   -1.67%

Milling Wheat May 2017   239.00   -4.00   -1.65%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017   239.00   -5.00   -2.05%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2017   319.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2017   322.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017   327.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2017   142.00   unch   0.00%

Barley May 2017   144.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2017   145.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2017   1028.00   -3.00   -0.29%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1039.50   -3.00   -0.29%

Soybeans May 2017   1048.00   -2.50   -0.24%

Soybeans Jul 2017   1053.25   -2.75   -0.26%

Soybeans Aug 2017   1050.75   -2.50   -0.24%

Soybeans Sep 2017   1034.25   -2.00   -0.19%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2016   313.50   -1.30   -0.41%

Soybean Meal Jan 2017   315.10   -1.10   -0.35%

Soybean Meal Mar 2017   319.70   -0.80   -0.25%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2016   36.57   -0.19   -0.52%

Soybean Oil Jan 2017   36.78   -0.19   -0.51%

Soybean Oil Mar 2017   37.04   -0.20   -0.54%

 

Corn Dec 2016   356.25   +1.75   +0.49%

Corn Mar 2017   361.00   +0.50   +0.14%

Corn May 2017   367.75   +0.50   +0.14%

Corn Jul 2017   374.75   +0.50   +0.13%

Corn Sep 2017   381.25   +0.25   +0.07%

 

Oats Dec 2016   218.25   +2.50   +1.16%

Oats Mar 2017   232.50   +2.25   +0.98%

Oats May 2017   234.50   +2.50   +1.08%

Oats Jul 2017   237.50   +3.50   +1.50%

Oats Sep 2017   242.75   unch   0.00%

 

Wheat Dec 2016   398.00   -3.25   -0.81%

Wheat Mar 2017   417.50   +0.25   +0.06%

Wheat May 2017   428.25   +0.50   +0.12%

Wheat Jul 2017   440.00   +0.25   +0.06%

Wheat Sep 2017   453.00   -0.25   -0.06%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   540.75   -1.00   -0.18%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   537.75   +0.75   +0.14%

Spring Wheat May 2017   538.50   -0.75   -0.14%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   542.50   -1.50   -0.28%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   547.75   -1.25   -0.23%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   399.25   unch   0.00%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   415.25   +0.50   +0.12%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017 426.75   +0.50   +0.12%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   438.75   unch   0.00%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   454.00   unch   0.00%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Dec 2016   111.12   +0.77   +0.70%

Live Cattle (P) Feb 2017   113.98   +1.03   +0.91%

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017   113.22   +1.02   +0.91%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Jan 2017   128.98   +0.43   +0.33%

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017   126.10   +1.10   +0.88%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017   125.35   +1.22   +0.98%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Dec 2016   57.18   -0.20   -0.35%

Lean Hogs (P) Feb 2017   61.75   -0.42   -0.68%

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017   66.95   +0.28   +0.42%

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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