Canola futures’ connection to soybean oil rather than soybeans was obvious today, with soybeans rising, soybean oil falling and canola falling.
The decline in canola was slight, however, at only a few cents per bushel, but it was enough to drag January canola back to around the $500 per tonne mark.
January canola has had trouble rallying above $500, even if recent days have seen a stabilization and slight rebound in prices after an awful July and early August.
The November canola futures rebound has repeatedly stalled at $495.
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Soybean futures for most new crop markets rose 10-12 cents per bushel Monday, but soybean oil fell 27-32 cents per pound.
Corn rose between seven and 10 cents per bu. depending on the contract month, while most wheat futures rose between one and four cents per bu.
The Monday U.S. Department of Agriculture reports have been a bullish event for the crop futures markets, but only in arresting the previous sharp declines and offering a mild retracement.
Big crops are growing across the U.S. and Canada and there is little fear in the market.
Soybeans still need good rains so that pod filling reaches the crop’s existing potential, while most crops are still vulnerable to an early frost.
However, every day of average weather brings the crop closer to mature and takes away one day in which the crop could fall further behind or experience problems.
Equity markets were mixed.
Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne
Canola Nov 2013Â Â Â 494.20Â Â Â -1.20Â Â Â -0.24%
Canola Jan 2014Â Â Â 500.00Â Â Â -1.70Â Â Â -0.34%
Canola Mar 2014Â Â Â 505.70Â Â Â -2.20Â Â Â -0.43%
Canola May 2014Â Â Â 511.80Â Â Â -2.40Â Â Â -0.47%
Canola Jul 2014Â Â Â 517.50Â Â Â -2.20Â Â Â -0.42%
Milling Wheat Oct 2013Â Â Â 251.00Â Â Â +1.00
Milling Wheat Dec 2013Â Â Â 256.00Â Â Â +1.00
Milling Wheat Mar 2014Â Â Â 261.00Â Â Â +1.00
Durum Wheat Oct 2013   286.00   unch   0.00%
Durum Wheat Dec 2013   290.00   unch   0.00%
Durum Wheat Mar 2014   300.00   unch   0.00%
Barley Oct 2013   189.00   unch   0.00%
Barley Dec 2013   194.00   unch   0.00%
Barley Mar 2014   194.00   unch   0.00%
American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound
Chicago
Soybeans Sep 2013Â Â Â 1269.5Â Â Â +11.75Â Â Â +0.93%
Soybeans Nov 2013Â Â Â 1239Â Â Â +11.25Â Â Â +0.92%
Soybeans Jan 2014Â Â Â 1243.25Â Â Â +10.75Â Â Â +0.87%
Soybeans Mar 2014Â Â Â 1239.75Â Â Â +6.75Â Â Â +0.55%
Soybeans May 2014Â Â Â 1233Â Â Â +5Â Â Â +0.41%
Soybeans Jul 2014Â Â Â 1236.5Â Â Â +5.5Â Â Â +0.45%
Soybean Meal Sep 2013Â Â Â 407.9Â Â Â +6.1Â Â Â +1.52%
Soybean Meal Oct 2013Â Â Â 382.6Â Â Â +5.9Â Â Â +1.57%
Soybean Oil Sep 2013Â Â Â 42.34Â Â Â -0.28Â Â Â -0.66%
Soybean Oil Oct 2013Â Â Â 42.4Â Â Â -0.27Â Â Â -0.63%
Soybean Oil Dec 2013Â Â Â 42.63Â Â Â -0.32Â Â Â -0.75%
Corn Sep 2013Â Â Â 464.75Â Â Â +9.5Â Â Â +2.09%
Corn Dec 2013Â Â Â 455.25Â Â Â +8Â Â Â +1.79%
Corn Mar 2014Â Â Â 468.25Â Â Â +7.5Â Â Â +1.63%
Corn May 2014Â Â Â 476.5Â Â Â +7.5Â Â Â +1.60%
Corn Jul 2014Â Â Â 482.75Â Â Â +7.5Â Â Â +1.58%
Oats Sep 2013Â Â Â 365.75Â Â Â +5Â Â Â +1.39%
Oats Dec 2013Â Â Â 328.5Â Â Â +1.25Â Â Â +0.38%
Oats Mar 2014   332.5   unch   0.00%
Oats May 2014   332.75   unch   0.00%
Oats Jul 2014   337   unch   0.00%
Wheat Sep 2013Â Â Â 630.5Â Â Â +2.25Â Â Â +0.36%
Wheat Dec 2013Â Â Â 642.75Â Â Â +1.25Â Â Â +0.19%
Wheat Mar 2014   655.5   unch   0.00%
Wheat May 2014Â Â Â 663.5Â Â Â -0.5Â Â Â -0.08%
Wheat Jul 2014Â Â Â 661.5Â Â Â -1Â Â Â -0.15%
Minneapolis
Spring Wheat Sep 2013Â Â Â 736Â Â Â +3.5Â Â Â +0.48%
Spring Wheat Dec 2013Â Â Â 740.25Â Â Â +2Â Â Â +0.27%
Spring Wheat Mar 2014Â Â Â 751.75Â Â Â +1.5Â Â Â +0.20%
Spring Wheat May 2014Â Â Â 758.25Â Â Â +2.25Â Â Â +0.30%
Spring Wheat Jul 2014Â Â Â 762.75Â Â Â +2.75Â Â Â +0.36%
Kansas City
KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013Â Â Â 698.75Â Â Â +2.5Â Â Â +0.36%
KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013Â Â Â 703Â Â Â +1Â Â Â +0.14%
KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014Â Â Â 711Â Â Â +0.25Â Â Â +0.04%
KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014Â Â Â 699Â Â Â +1.75Â Â Â +0.25%
Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose two cents at $106.85 US per barrel.
The Canadian dollar at noon was 96.88 cents US, up from 96.67 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0322 Cdn.