Canola down as soy falls on profit taking ahead of USDA report

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Published: December 8, 2016

Canola futures fell, pressured by falling soybeans as American traders rebalanced positions ahead of Friday’s monthly USDA report.

Wheat edged slightly higher after India dropped its tariff on wheat to make it easier to import needed supply after two short crops.

However, India’s increased imports will be offset by the bigger than expected Australian production so the potential for wheat to climb much higher will likely be limited.

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Alberta crop conditions improve: report

Varied precipitation and warm temperatures were generally beneficial for crop development across Alberta during the week ended July 8, according to the latest provincial crop report released July 11.

Soybeans fell as concern about dry weather in Argentina moderated with U.S. and Australian forecasters saying that a La Nina is unlikely to grip the Pacific this winter. La Ninas can cause dry weather in South America and the forecast for a neutral situation lessens the likelihood for drought in Argentina.

Crop conditions are good in Brazil right now

The trade thinks that the U.S. might start penciling in a bumper soy harvest in South America in its monthly reports.

American soybean exports to China this fall have been very strong and that has helped to support oilseed prices.

Some of the buying might be attributed to demand from Chinese hog feeders gearing up production for the annual spring festival, also called the lunar new year holiday.

This year the holiday falls in late January. In some years it can be as late a mid February.

There is also potential that Chinese importers were buying early to mitigate risk of a Donald Trump presidency causing trade friction with China.

The European Central Bank announced today that its stimulus 80 billion euro bond buying program would be cut back to 60 billion but would continue to December 2017 instead of ending in September.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 57.45 points, or 0.38 percent, at 15,295.20.

 

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 64.37 points, or 0.33 percent, to 19,613.99, the S&P 500 gained 4.76 points, or 0.21 percent, to 2,246.11 and the Nasdaq Composite added 23.59 points, or 0.44 percent, to 5,417.36.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up $1.07 to US$50.84 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US75.64 cents, up from 75.46 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3221.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2017   522.20   -7.10   -1.34%

Canola Mar 2017   527.90   -7.30   -1.36%

Canola May 2017   532.20   -8.00   -1.48%

Canola Jul 2017   534.40   -7.50   -1.38%

Canola Nov 2017   502.20   -4.00   -0.79%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2016   229.00   -2.00   -0.87%

Milling Wheat Mar 2017   236.00   -1.00   -0.42%

Milling Wheat May 2017   239.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2016   315.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2017   323.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2017   326.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2016   138.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Mar 2017   142.00   unch   0.00%

Barley May 2017   144.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2017   1027.00   -22.00   -2.10%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1037.75   -21.75   -2.05%

Soybeans May 2017   1045.25   -21.50   -2.02%

Soybeans Jul 2017   1050.50   -21.50   -2.01%

Soybeans Aug 2017   1047.75   -20.75   -1.94%

Soybeans Sep 2017   1028.75   -20.25   -1.93%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2016   312.40   -6.80   -2.13%

Soybean Meal Jan 2017   313.70   -6.80   -2.12%

Soybean Meal Mar 2017   317.80   -6.70   -2.06%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2016   37.05   -0.67   -1.78%

Soybean Oil Jan 2017   37.26   -0.67   -1.77%

Soybean Oil Mar 2017   37.54   -0.67   -1.75%

 

Corn Dec 2016   346.50   -4.00   -1.14%

Corn Mar 2017   353.50   -4.50   -1.26%

Corn May 2017   360.25   -4.50   -1.23%

Corn Jul 2017   367.75   -4.00   -1.08%

Corn Sep 2017   375.00   -3.75   -0.99%

 

Oats Dec 2016   214.00   +0.50   +0.23%

Oats Mar 2017   223.00   +0.25   +0.11%

Oats May 2017   226.75   +0.25   +0.11%

Oats Jul 2017   230.25   +0.25   +0.11%

Oats Sep 2017   235.50   +0.25   +0.11%

 

Wheat Dec 2016   390.75   +4.50   +1.17%

Wheat Mar 2017   408.25   +7.25   +1.81%

Wheat May 2017   418.75   +6.25   +1.52%

Wheat Jul 2017   430.25   +5.50   +1.29%

Wheat Sep 2017   444.25   +5.50   +1.25%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   535.75   +1.75   +0.33%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   531.00   +2.00   +0.38%

Spring Wheat May 2017   533.75   +1.50   +0.28%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   537.25   +1.50   +0.28%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   543.25   +1.50   +0.28%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   387.00   +5.00   +1.31%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   404.75   +4.75   +1.19%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   416.25   +4.50   +1.09%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   428.50   +4.75   +1.12%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   444.25   +5.25   +1.20%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Dec 2016   109.05   -0.33   -0.30%

Live Cattle (P) Feb 2017   110.65   -0.13   -0.12%

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017   110.42   -0.38   -0.34%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Jan 2017   126.60   -0.38   -0.30%

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017   123.15   -0.65   -0.53%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017   122.72   -0.83   -0.67%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Dec 2016   55.68   +0.98   +1.79%

Lean Hogs (P) Feb 2017   60.82   +1.07   +1.79%

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017   66.35   +0.57   +0.87%

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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