Canola dips while soy and corn climb on good exports

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: October 9, 2014

By D’Arce McMillan

Markets editor

Twitter @ darcemcmillan

November canola edged down $1.70 per tonne even though soybeans were slightly higher.

Soy oil was steady-to-down as traders pursued long soymeal-short soyoil spreads. Falling crude oil also weighed on soyoil.

Although there were minor moves in crop prices, reflecting concern about wet weather harvest delays in the U.S., the market was largely marking time ahead of Friday’s U.S. Department of Agriculture supply and demand report.

The market generally expects the USDA will raise its forecast of corn and soybean crops. The question is the size of the increase.

Read Also

Photo: Geralyn Wichers

U.S. livestock: Cattle, hogs rise

Chicago cattle and lean hog futures continued to climb on Wednesday.

The market on average believes the increase in soy production will be greater than in corn production. Corn continued its modest rally today as traders balanced their corn-soy spreads.

Look for our coverage of the USDA report at Producer.com and on Twitter @ westernproducer.

The weekly U.S. crop export report today put soybean sales at 923,400 tonnes, topping expectations. Soymeal exports were 343,200 tonnes, also topping expectations.

Ukraine revised its rapeseed production and export estimates. It pegged the crop at 2.15 million tonnes, down nine percent from last year and exports at 1.94 million tonnes, down 12.7 percent.

Almost all of its exports go to the European Union.

USDA reported 784,800 tonnes of corn sold for export in the week ending Oct. 2, above analyst expectations that ranged from 550,000 to 750,000 tonnes.

Chicago wheat ended its multiday rally with the USDA report wheat export sales of 372,374 tonnes, falling short of what traders had expected.

Chicago wheat was down more than 2.5 percent while the losses in Minneapolis and Kansas wheat were slightly less.

Stock markets retreated after Wednesday’s sharp gains.

Yesterday the trade focused on expectations that U.S. interest rates would stay low while the economy struggles to expand. Today, the focus was on the struggling world economy and its potential to reduce corporate earnings.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2014         404.60         -1.70         -0.42%

Canola Jan 2015         411.30         -1.40         -0.34%

Canola Mar 2015         418.40         -1.30         -0.31%

Canola May 2015         424.00         -1.20         -0.28%

Canola Jul 2015         428.00         -1.20         -0.28%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2014         207.00         -4.00         -1.90%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014         211.00         -4.00         -1.86%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015         219.00         -5.00         -2.23%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2014         350.00         +10.00         +2.94%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014         356.50         +10.00         +2.89%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015         357.50         +10.00         +2.88%

 

Barley Oct 2014         115.50         unch         0.00%

Barley Dec 2014         117.50         unch         0.00%

Barley Mar 2015         120.50         unch         0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2014         942         +7         +0.75%

Soybeans Jan 2015         950         +6.5         +0.69%

Soybeans Mar 2015         958.5         +6.5         +0.68%

Soybeans May 2015         966.75         +6.25         +0.65%

Soybeans Jul 2015         974         +6.25         +0.65%

Soybeans Aug 2015         976.75         +6.25         +0.64%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2014         333         +3.2         +0.97%

Soybean Meal Dec 2014         313.5         +3.7         +1.19%

Soybean Meal Jan 2015         311.1         +3.1         +1.01%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2014         32.88         unch         0.00%

Soybean Oil Dec 2014         33.01         -0.01         -0.03%

Soybean Oil Jan 2015         33.29         -0.01         -0.03%

 

Corn Dec 2014         344.75         +1.5         +0.44%

Corn Mar 2015         357.75         +1.25         +0.35%

Corn May 2015         366.5         +1.25         +0.34%

Corn Jul 2015         374         +0.75         +0.20%

Corn Sep 2015         381.5         +0.75         +0.20%

 

Oats Dec 2014         343.75         +0.5         +0.15%

Oats Mar 2015         328.75         +0.5         +0.15%

Oats May 2015         323.5         +0.5         +0.15%

Oats Jul 2015         318.75         +0.25         +0.08%

Oats Sep 2015         325         unch         0.00%

 

Wheat Dec 2014         493.25         -14.5         -2.86%

Wheat Mar 2015         505.25         -14         -2.70%

Wheat May 2015         511.75         -14.25         -2.71%

Wheat Jul 2015         519.5         -14.5         -2.72%

Wheat Sep 2015         530.75         -14.75         -2.70%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2014         553.5         -11.5         -2.04%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015         566         -12.75         -2.20%

Spring Wheat May 2015         575.5         -12.75         -2.17%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015         585.75         -12.25         -2.05%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015         596.25         -12.25         -2.01%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014         572.75         -13.75         -2.34%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015         575.25         -13.75         -2.33%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015         576.25         -14.75         -2.50%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015         571.75         -14.25         -2.43%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015         583.75         -14         -2.34%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $1.54 at $85.77 US per barrel.

Brent broke below $90 a barrel on Thursday for the first time since the summer of 2012.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 89.69 cents US, up from 89.43 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1149 Cdn.

In early, unofficial tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index fell 205.87 points or 1.40 percent to 14,460.60.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 334.97 points, or 1.97 percent, to 16,659.25, the S&P 500 lost 40.67 points, or 2.07 percent, to 1,928.22 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 90.26 points, or 2.02 percent, to 4,378.34.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

Markets at a glance

explore

Stories from our other publications