Canola dips Monday on weaker soy oil, rain forecast lowers wheat

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Published: March 13, 2017

Canola futures fell Monday, but stayed well within the trading band futures have been inside since mid-October.

May fell $5 per tonne, or about one percent, to $517.90. That wasn’t a great way to begin a week, but the price is still above recent lows of around $512 set in mid-February and late-January.

New crop November canola dipped below the psychologically important $500 level.

Canola’s decline was led by an almost two percent slump in the value of soybean oil, with soybeans slightly weakening. Soybean meal, however, rose.

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Canola, being an oil-based crop, was more affected by the falling of oil values than the strengthening of meal.

The slight rise of the loonie also put pressure on canola versus soybeans.

Rising forecasts of South American soybean production and weak U.S. soybean exports in the past week helped soften the North American vegoil outlook.

WHEAT

Wheat futures fell too, with losses concentrated in Kansas City winter wheat, followed by Chicago wheat and then Minneapolis spring wheat.

Some forecasters expect rain in the southern plains that might improve the outlook for the wheat crop going into spring.

There was a slight decline in the condition of the Kansas wheat crop over the past week. Kansas is the biggest winter wheat producer.

Today’s report said the amount considered good to excellent has fallen to 40 percent from 43 percent last week.

The amount that is fair rose to 37 percent from 35 and the amount poor to very-poor rose to 23 percent from 22 percent last week.

Kansas topsoil moisture is rated 26 percent very short and 41 percent short, while only 33 percent is rated adequate.

Wheat crop conditions in neighbouring Oklahoma were little changed this week.

CORN

Corn fell slightly, regardless of generally good exports including last week’s best export pace for the past nine months.

The strong U.S. export number was overshadowed by expectations of increasing South American corn production.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down nine cents to US$48.40 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US74.38 cents, up from 74.33 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3444.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 38.14 points, or 0.25 percent, at 15,544.82.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 21.3 points, or 0.1 percent, to 20,881.68, the S&P 500 gained 0.93 points, or 0.04 percent, to 2,373.53 and the Nasdaq Composite added 14.06 points, or 0.24 percent, to 5,875.78.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2017   517.90   -5.00   -0.96%

Canola Jul 2017   521.70   -3.90   -0.74%

Canola Nov 2017   499.50   -3.20   -0.64%

Canola Jan 2018   504.90   -3.30   -0.65%

Canola Mar 2018   509.20   -3.30   -0.64%

 

Milling Wheat May 2017   232.00   -3.00   -1.28%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017   234.00   -3.00   -1.27%

Milling Wheat Oct 2017   226.00   -3.00   -1.31%

 

Durum Wheat May 2017   282.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017   281.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2017   268.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley May 2017   137.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2017   138.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2017   138.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2017   996.25   -1.00   -0.10%

Soybeans May 2017   1006.00   -1.25   -0.12%

Soybeans Jul 2017   1015.75   -1.25   -0.12%

Soybeans Aug 2017   1017.00   -1.00   -0.10%

Soybeans Sep 2017   1007.75   +1.00   +0.10%

Soybeans Nov 2017   1002.25   +1.75   +0.17%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2017   326.90   +1.90   +0.58%

Soybean Meal May 2017   330.90   +1.80   +0.55%

Soybean Meal Jul 2017   334.40   +1.80   +0.54%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2017   31.87   -0.64   -1.97%

Soybean Oil May 2017   32.12   -0.52   -1.59%

Soybean Oil Jul 2017   32.39   -0.52   -1.58%

 

Corn Mar 2017   354.50   -4.25   -1.18%

Corn May 2017 361.00   -3.75   -1.03%

Corn Jul 2017   368.50   -4.25   -1.14%

Corn Sep 2017   375.75   -4.25   -1.12%

Corn Dec 2017   383.50   -3.75   -0.97%

 

Oats Mar 2017   269.50   +0.25   +0.09%

Oats May 2017   246.00   -1.50   -0.61%

Oats Jul 2017   239.75   +3.75   +1.59%

Oats Sep 2017   236.25   unch   0.00%

Oats Dec 2017   235.00   +1.00   +0.43%

 

Wheat Mar 2017   412.25   -11.50   -2.71%

Wheat May 2017   430.50   -10.25   -2.33%

Wheat Jul 2017   446.50   -9.50   -2.08%

Wheat Sep 2017   461.50   -9.25   -1.96%

Wheat Dec 2017   479.75   -8.75   -1.79%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   523.50   -12.50   -2.33%

Spring Wheat May 2017   531.25   -6.00   -1.12%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   539.00   -6.25   -1.15%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   546.00   -6.25   -1.13%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017   555.75   -5.50   -0.98%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   432.50   -13.75   -3.08%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   442.75   -12.50   -2.75%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   454.75   -12.25   -2.62%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   470.00   -12.00   -2.49%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017   490.25   -11.25   -2.24%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017   117.75   +0.20   +0.17%

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017   108.10   +0.50   +0.46%

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2017   103.55   +0.50   +0.49%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017   128.60   +1.05   +0.82%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017   128.10   +1.30   +1.03%

Feeder Cattle (P) May 2017   127.00   +1.12   +0.89%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017   70.22   +1.72   +2.51%

Lean Hogs (P) May 2017   74.75   +1.40   +1.91%

Lean Hogs (P) Jun 2017   78.72   +1.74   +2.26%

 

 

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Ed White

Ed White

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