Canola punched above its weight in the oilseed ring, with nearby soybeans losing slightly, while November canola gained $7.70 on the day.
Early trading July 31 saw profit taking dropping the canola price from the opening bell. Influences from a bearish American soybean market clawed at the $623.60, $14.17 per bushel, canola price, falling to $671.50 before regaining strength. The smaller oilseed decided to follow its own path, and went up as the day wore on, while November soybeans were flat to down slightly finishing the day at $16.42 per bu.
Canola’s basis remained about $1 under November.
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Harvest operations advanced to 96 per cent complete in Alberta as of Oct. 7, with only a few late-seeded cereal and canola fields remaining, according to the latest provincial crop report.
Western barley was unchanged with October at $257. Wheat took a markets rally break, following corn lower. The little cereals were off between 1.5 and three percent on the day, however that is after a July run-up of nearly 20 percent.
December Chicago corn was off 8 ¾ cents, but held above the magical $8 mark. Still that is after a 26 percent rise in the month of July, so small pullbacks might be expected in such a hot market.
Speaking of heat, the American Midwest is still getting it, as is Ontario. Localized showers in Ohio, Indiana, Pennsylvania and parts of southern Illinois softened the drought, but failed to raise expectations about corn yields, according to the daily chatter of American traders and markets watchers. Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Kansas and the U.S. South and West all failed to get rain and that has wiped out any overall corn yield gains that might have accrued to central Midwest showers.
Supply and demand numbers didn’t move, but the calendar did, as commodity-trading fund managers moved to take some of their significant July profits out the market and put them back into the their clients’ trading accounts or onto the firms’ balance sheets.
A Reuters markets analysts survey confirmed that soybean production fell again in the past week, with a projection of 2.83 billion bushels being harvested sometime between now and Christmas.
Crude oil fell by $2 over the day based on expectations that global economies might soften and with reports that despite narrowing crude stocks diesel and gasoline inventories are rising.
Winnipeg (per tonne)
Canola Nov 12Â Â Â $631.30, up $7.70Â Â Â +1.23%
Canola Jan 13Â Â Â $633.50, up $7.20Â Â Â +1.15%
Canola Mar 13Â Â Â $635.00, up $7.50Â Â Â +1.20%
Canola May 13Â Â Â $619.30, up $6.00Â Â Â +0.98%
Western Barley Oct 12Â Â Â $257.00, unchanged
Western Barley Dec 12Â Â Â $262.00, unchanged
Milling Wheat Oct 12 Â Â Â Â $317.50, down $10.00Â Â Â -3.05%
Milling Wheat Dec 12 Â Â Â $325.00, down $10.00Â Â Â -2.99%
Milling Wheat Mar 13Â Â Â $335.00, down $10.00Â Â Â -2.90%
Durum Wheat Oct 12 Â Â Â Â $325.50, down $4.90Â Â Â -1.48%
Durum Wheat Dec 12 Â Â Â $330.00, down $4.90Â Â Â -1.46%
Durum Wheat Mar 13Â Â Â $336.60, down $4.90Â Â Â -1.43%
Barley Oct 12Â Â Â $264.50, unchanged
Barley Dec 12Â Â Â $269.50, unchanged
Barley Mar 13Â Â Â $272.50, unchanged
Chicago (per bushel)
Soybeans (P) Aug 12   $17.2100, down 4.75 cents   -0.28%
Soybeans (P) Sep 12Â Â Â $16.5675, down 10.50Â Â Â -0.63%
Soybeans (P) Nov 12Â Â Â $16.4100, down 2.50Â Â Â -0.15%
Soybeans (P) Jan 13Â Â Â $16.3225, down 0.25Â Â Â -0.02%
Corn (P) Sep 12 Â Â Â $8.0650, down 13.50
Corn (P) Dec 12 Â Â Â $8.0525, down 8.75
Corn (P) Mar 13Â Â Â $8.0125, down 5.25Â Â Â -0.65%
Oats (P) Sep 12 Â Â Â Â $3.8025, down 4.00Â Â Â -1.04%
Oats (P) Dec 12 Â Â Â Â $3.8275, down 5.00Â Â Â -1.29%
Oats (P) Mar 13 Â Â Â $3.8775, down 5.00Â Â Â -1.27%
Minneapolis (per bushel)
Spring Wheat Sep 12    $9.5375, down 23.00 cents   -2.35%
Spring Wheat Dec 12 Â Â Â $9.6250, down 23.25 Â Â Â -2.36%
Spring Wheat Mar 13Â Â Â $9.6800, down 22.00 Â Â Â -2.22%
Spring Wheat May 13Â Â Â $9.7300, down 16.50 Â Â Â -1.67%
The previous day’s best canola basis was $1 under the November contract according to ICE Futures Canada in Winnipeg.
Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $1.72 at $88.06 US per barrel.
The Canadian dollar at noon was 99.86 cents US, up from 99.67 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0014 Cdn.