Canola and wheat futures supported by weather challenges

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Published: June 19, 2014

Canola futures were up slightly most of the trading day, but closed mixed with July dropping $2 per tonne and November up 90 cents.

Trade was in a narrow range after fairly strong gains on Wednesday.

Support came from concerns about unseeded acreage, damage from excess rains in several areas of Western Canada and slow crop development.

If you are looking to sell canola to a crusher, make sure to shop around because of wide variations in basis levels. Today the Louis Dreyfus crushing plant at Yorkton posted a +$5 basis for immediate delivery.

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Canola and wheat futures supported by weather challenges

Prairie Wheat Weekly Spring wheat prices decline

Western Canadian spring wheat prices were mostly lower, while those for durum were relatively steady during the week ended Aug. 14, 2025.

Support for canola futures also came from rising soybeans and corn futures.

The U.S. has its own excess moisture concerns with parts of Iowa, Minnesota, South Dakota and Nebraska that received five to 10 inches of rain in the past week, the equivalent of about two months of rainfall. More rain is expected in the coming days.

Some of the rise in corn and soybeans was also simply a technical rebound from oversold levels.

Saskatchewan Agriculture’s weekly crop report said that about 95 percent of the province’s crop was seeded as of June 16, up from 93 percent last week.

Last year, 98 percent of the crop was in the ground at this time.

Unfortunately there are pockets in the southeast where less than half the crop has been seeded due to the excess rain.

Reuters reports that the drought-reduced U.S. hard red winter wheat crop will likely mean U.S. millers will continue to show good demand for spring wheat from the northern Plains and Western Canada.

Old crop wheat prices advanced today.

 

The USDA forecasts U.S. wheat imports in the current crop year will be the largest ever at 170 million bushels or 4.63 million tonnes, almost all of it from Canada.

Statistics Canada figures show that this crop year, to the end of April, Canada has exported 2.44 million tonnes of wheat (ex durum), up 733,000 tonnes or 43 percent over the same period in 2012-13.

Durum exports to the U.S. stand at 597,425 tonnes, up 70 percent over the same period in the previous crop year.

Early harvest results from U.S. hard red winter crop show lower than expected yields in Texas, Oklahoma and southern Kansas and very high protein. However, there are concerns that recent and forecasted rain could hurt quality.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Jul 2014         476.80         -2.00         -0.42%

Canola Nov 2014         464.10         +0.90         +0.19%

Canola Jan 2015         469.10         +0.20         +0.04%

Canola Mar 2015         471.40         -0.50         -0.11%

Canola May 2015         473.20         -1.00         -0.21%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2014         205.00         unch         0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014         206.00         unch         0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014         210.00         unch         0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2014         239.00         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014         230.00         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014         232.00         unch         0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2014         125.00         unch         0.00%

Barley Oct 2014         132.50         unch         0.00%

Barley Dec 2014         134.50         unch         0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2014         1420.75         +11.75         +0.83%

Soybeans Aug 2014         1369         +11.75         +0.87%

Soybeans Sep 2014         1263         +13.5         +1.08%

Soybeans Nov 2014         1227.25         +14.25         +1.17%

Soybeans Jan 2015         1234.25         +14.25         +1.17%

Soybeans Mar 2015         1240.5         +14.25         +1.16%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2014         451.2         -2         -0.44%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014         436.1         -0.1         -0.02%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014         414         +3.4         +0.83%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2014         40.61         +0.48         +1.20%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014         40.71         +0.47         +1.17%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014         40.69         +0.44         +1.09%

 

Corn Jul 2014         450.5         +9         +2.04%

Corn Sep 2014         444.25         +8.75         +2.01%

Corn Dec 2014         447.5         +8         +1.82%

Corn Mar 2015         457.75         +8         +1.78%

Corn May 2015         464.75         +7.5         +1.64%

 

Oats Jul 2014         347.25         +4.5         +1.31%

Oats Sep 2014         340.25         +8.5         +2.56%

Oats Dec 2014         339.25         +7.5         +2.26%

Oats Mar 2015         335.25         +6.5         +1.98%

Oats May 2015         328.75         +3         +0.92%

 

Wheat Jul 2014         593.5         +6.5         +1.11%

Wheat Sep 2014         602.5         +6.25         +1.05%

Wheat Dec 2014         623.75         +6         +0.97%

Wheat Mar 2015         642.75         +6         +0.94%

Wheat May 2015         654.5         +5.25         +0.81%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2014         703         +5.75         +0.82%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014         701.75         +1         +0.14%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014         712         -0.75         -0.11%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015         721.5         +0.25         +0.03%

Spring Wheat May 2015         726         -0.25         -0.03%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014         729.25         +1.5         +0.21%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014         726.75         -0.5         -0.07%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014         733         -0.75         -0.10%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015         735.25         -0.75         -0.10%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015         731.25         -1.5         -0.20%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 46 cents at $106.43 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 92.35 cents US, up from 92 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0828 Cdn.

The TSX composite edged higher to a new record high, with support from Blackberry, which posted a quarterly profit, and stronger gold mining company shares.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 2.97 points, or 0.02 percent, at 15,112.22.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 14.84 points or 0.09 percent, to end at 16,921.46.

The S&P 500 gained 2.50 points or 0.13 percent, to close at a record high 1,959.48.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 3.51 points or 0.08 percent, to 4,359.33.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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