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Crop estimates erroneous

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Published: March 24, 2011

Canaryseed growers should disregard an erroneous production estimate contained in a Saskatchewan Agriculture publication when making their seeding plans, say department officials.

A chart on page 13 of the 2010 Specialty Crop Report pegs 2010-11 production at 169,500 tonnes. That is incorrect.

“There was a typo in there,” said Terry Bedard, a statistician with Saskatchewan Agriculture’s income and statistics unit.

The correct number is 110,600 tonnes, the same as that in Agriculture Canada’s March 15 pulse and special crops supply and disposition report.

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The 58,900 tonne discrepancy means the carryout at the end of the 2010-11 crop year will be a lot smaller than the 38,200 tonnes forecast by Saskatchewan Agriculture. That means a lower stocks-to-use ratio and a rosier outlook for prices.

If the province didn’t adjust its disposition numbers, the new July 31 stocks number would be -20,700 tonnes, which is impossible.

“Obviously we’ll be doing some internal changing to come up with a better number,” said Bedard.

She apologized to growers for any confusion caused and said it will be corrected on the web version of the report by the end of the month.

Most of the hard copies of the report were handed out to farmers during Crop Production Week in Saskatoon in January, so it is impossible to mail out a correction.

About the author

Sean Pratt

Sean Pratt

Reporter/Analyst

Sean Pratt has been working at The Western Producer since 1993 after graduating from the University of Regina’s School of Journalism. Sean also has a Bachelor of Commerce degree from the University of Saskatchewan and worked in a bank for a few years before switching careers. Sean primarily writes markets and policy stories about the grain industry and has attended more than 100 conferences over the past three decades. He has received awards from the Canadian Farm Writers Federation, North American Agricultural Journalists and the American Agricultural Editors Association.

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