Trouble in the West

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Published: February 22, 2010

Western Producer markets reporter Ed White will provide session-by-session coverage of the Canadian Wheat Board’s GrainWorld conference Feb. 22 and 23 on his blog.

The conference is the forum where the CWB will release its first Pool Return Outlook for the 2010-11 crop year.

Conference topics include wheat, barley, oilseeds and special crops market outlooks, the global economic outlook, the long term weather forecast and the ocean freight situation.

White’s blog can be found here, as well as on your handheld device at www.producermobile.com.

A leading weather analyst is predicting dry weather for the northwest

Saskatchewan and central and northern Alberta (including the Peace

River country) growing areas this spring.

Drew Lerner of World Weather Inc. in Kansas City, Missouri told the

Canadian Wheat Board’s GrainWorld conference this morning that he

expects “trouble in the west.”

That’s because certain weather patterns are suggesting that the crucial

spring seeding period will see farmers in the areas I mentioned above

get below average precipitation until into the summer. That would

reduce the potential of those crops.

Across most of the prairies conditions should be good, with a cool, wet

spring expected for Manitoba. Generally, conditions including a

likelihood for a late frost this coming autumn, suggest most farmers

should get a good crop, Lerner said.

Elsewhere, this winter has seen great growing conditions in South

America, North Africa and India. Those are competitors to us, so that’s

not great news. Don’t believe stories about troubles in Brazil and

Argentina, he said about recent reports of harvest problems. “All you

need to know is that everything’s wonderful (there).”

About the author

Ed White

Ed White

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