Canola edges higher as loonie falls almost one cent

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Published: September 27, 2017

The loonie fell almost one cent on Wednesday, helping to lift canola futures into positive territory, but the oilseed’s rally was limited.

November canola was up just 70 cents a tonne, to close at $492.70.

Showers in northwestern Saskatchewan and eastern Manitoba in the previous 24 hours slowed harvest progress. Showers also showed up on the radar south of Saskatoon this afternoon.

WATCH OUR VIDEO CROP MARKET ANALYSIS

But other areas should have been able to post some progress.

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File photo of a potato field in Alberta’s Lacombe County. (COrthner/iStock/Getty Images)

Alberta Crop Report: Rains in the south, dryness in the north

Rain fell onto the southern half of Alberta last week, while hot and dry conditions persisted in the northern half, according to the province’s crop report released on July 18.

Weather in the U.S. Midwest was mostly ideal for harvesting.

CURRENCY

The Canadian dollar fell the most in eight months following a speech by Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz. He said there was no “predetermined path” for interest rates and the bank would closely watch economic data to guide its future moves.

The market had increasingly expected a further interest hike in coming months, but Poloz’s words were interpreted to mean that more tightening was not a certainty and was dependant on things such as the housing market, employment, bond values and the loonie.

US MARKETS

American crop futures were mostly higher but the ideal harvest weather limited gains.

The trade was balancing positions ahead of the USDA’s quarterly stocks report on Friday.

The wheat market has seen a modest but sustained rally.

Support is coming from the idea that big funds are selling off their short positions, as they figure the market no longer has much more down side.

Also dry weather in the U.S. Midwest is raising concern for the soft red winter wheat crop now being seeded.

BLACK SEA WHEAT

Major Black Sea grain producers Russia and Ukraine are likely to keep their winter grain sowing area stable this autumn, paving the way for another large crop in 2018, analysts told Reuters.

Plantings in both countries are running ahead of last year’s pace with almost two-thirds of the winter grains area sown in Russia and more than a third in Ukraine.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 26 cents at US$52.14 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US80.17 cents, down from 80.97 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2473.

The Trump administration announced its tax reduction plan, cutting rates on corporations and high income earners. The administration believes the cuts will stimulate economic expansion enough to generate the tax revue lost from the cuts, but others believe the cuts would add trillions of dollars to the U.S. deficit over the coming years.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index rose 135.54 points, or 0.88 percent, to close at 15,609.66.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 56.39 points, or 0.25 percent, to 22,340.71, the S&P 500 gained 10.2 points, or 0.41 percent, to 2,507.04 and the Nasdaq Composite added 73.10 points, or 1.15 percent, to 6,453.26.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17   492.70s   +0.70   +0.14%

Canola Jan 18   499.20s   +0.60   +0.12%

Canola Mar 18   503.80s   +0.70   +0.14%

Canola May 18   506.00s   +0.50   +0.10%

Canola Jul 18   506.80s   +0.20   +0.04%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 17   236.00s   +1.00   +0.43%

Milling Wheat Dec 17   238.00s   +1.00   +0.42%

Milling Wheat Mar 18   244.00s   +1.00   +0.41%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 17   279.00s   unch   unch

Durum Wheat Dec 17   283.00s   unch   unch

Durum Wheat Mar 18   286.00s   unch   unch

 

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   unch   unch

Barley Dec 17   148.00s   unch   unch

Barley Mar 18   151.00s   unch   unch

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 17   965-4s   +2-0   +0.21%

Soybeans Jan 18   976-2s   +2-2   +0.23%

Soybeans Mar 18   985-4s   +2-0   +0.20%

Soybeans May 18   993-6s   +1-6   +0.18%

Soybeans Jul 18   1001-0s   +1-4   +0.15%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 17   308.8s   unch   unch

Soybean Meal Dec 17   313.3s   +0.2   +0.06%

Soybean Meal Jan 18   315.5s   +0.2   +0.06%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 17   33.02s   -0.21   -0.63%

Soybean Oil Dec 17   33.22s   -0.23   -0.69%

Soybean Oil Jan 18   33.39s   -0.23   -0.68%

 

Corn Dec 17   354-0s   +1-6 +0.50%

Corn Mar 18   366-6s   +1-4   +0.41%

Corn May 18   375-6s   +2-0   +0.54%

Corn Jul 18   383-2s   +2-2   +0.59%

Corn Sep 18   390-0s   +2-2   +0.58%

 

Oats Dec 17   248-0s   -2-2   -0.90%

Oats Mar 18   252-2s   -2-4   -0.98%

Oats May 18   251-2s   -2-4   -0.99%

Oats Jul 18   249-2s   -0-4   -0.20%

Oats Sep 18   249-2s   -0-4   -0.20%

 

Wheat Dec 17   461-4s   +7-6   +1.71%

Wheat Mar 18   480-6s   +7-2   +1.53%

Wheat May 18   493-4s   +6-4   +1.33%

Wheat Jul 18   504-4s   +6-0   +1.20%

Wheat Sep 18   518-6s   +6-2   +1.22%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 17   649-6s   +3-6   +0.58%

Spring Wheat Mar 18   662-0s   +3-2   +0.49%

Spring Wheat May 18   665-2s   +3-4   +0.53%

Spring Wheat Jul 18   663-0s   +3-6   +0.57%

Spring Wheat Sep 18   647-2s   +3-4   +0.54%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   459-0s   +6-6   +1.49%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   477-0s   +7-0   +1.49%

Hard Red Wheat May 18   490-2s   +7-2   +1.50%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   506-6s   +6-6   +1.35%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 18   525-0s   +6-4   +1.25%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Oct 17   108.575s   +0.300   +0.28%

Live Cattle Dec 17   114.900s   +1.425   +1.26%

Live Cattle Feb 18   118.500s   +1.225   +1.04%

 

Feeder Cattle Sep 17   152.400s   +1.825   +1.21%

Feeder Cattle Oct 17   152.700s   +2.050   +1.36%

Feeder Cattle Nov 17   154.525s   +2.250   +1.48%

 

Lean Hogs Oct 17   55.400s   +0.150   +0.27%

Lean Hogs Dec 17   59.650s   +1.550   +2.67%

Lean Hogs Feb 18   64.400s   +1.250   +1.98%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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