Crop futures edge lower Tuesday on favourable weather

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Published: August 29, 2017

It was a mildly negative day on crop markets thanks to mostly good weather in major growing areas and expectations of ample global crop production.

Canola edged lower, with November settling below $500. It lost $3.20 to close at $498.80 per tonne.

The market awaits the first official forecast of Canadian crop production. Statistics Canada will release its farmer survey on Thursday morning.

There were minor adjustments in wheat markets with Kansas and Chicago winter wheat rising while Minneapolis spring wheat dipped.

Corn and soybeans were little changed.

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The torrential rain associated with Tropical Storm Harvey it expected to move northeast in the coming days into the Mississippi River Delta region, delivering heavy amount of moisture in eastern Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Tennesee.

The rain is expected to mostly miss the Midwest and southern Plains.

U.S. CROP CONDITIONS

The U.S. Department of Agriculture late on Monday said the U.S. spring wheat harvest was 76 percent complete, ahead of the five-year average of 66 percent.

The USDA late Monday rated 62 percent of the U.S. corn crop in good to excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week. Analysts had expected a slight improvement.

The USDA late Monday rated 61 percent of the U.S. soybean crop in good to excellent condition, up from 60 percent the previous week. Analysts had expected no change.

 

INDIA

Dry areas of central India that had been missing monsoon rains are getting moisture this week

AUSTRALIA

Rainfall amounts in dry areas of Australia have also improved this month.

DURUM

Although dry weather took a heavy toll on the crop in North America, durum cash prices are taking it on the chin in recent days.

In southeast Saskatchewan No. 1 durum 13.0 protein yesterday fell 46 cents a bushel to $7.73. the price peaked Aug. 11 at $8.97.

The weakness is likely linked to the start of harvest and the falling spring wheat price. Also current demand is not strong

According to a survey by Commodity News Service, the trade in Canada expects a durum crop of between 4.2 million to 5.3 million tonnes, down from last year’s 7.76 million

The USDA August report forecast U.S. durum production at 51 million bushels or 1.39 million tonnes. That was about half of what was produced last year.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 13 cents US$46.44 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US79.81 cents, down from 79.94 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2530.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 30.67 points, or 0.2 percent, at 15,082.7.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 56.97 points, or 0.26 percent, to 21,865.37, the S&P 500 gained 2.06 points, or 0.08 percent, to 2,446.3 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.87 points, or 0.3 percent, to 6,301.89

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17   498.80s   -3.20   -0.64%

Canola Jan 18   505.50s   -2.40   -0.47%

Canola Mar 18   511.30s   -1.00   -0.20%

Canola May 18   514.10s   +0.30   +0.06%

Canola Jul 18   515.30s   +0.70   +0.14%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 17   245.00s   -4.00   -1.61%

Milling Wheat Dec 17   248.00s   -4.00   -1.59%

Milling Wheat Mar 18   256.00s   -3.00   -1.16%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 17   299.00s   -7.00   -2.29%

Durum Wheat Dec 17   300.00s   -7.00   -2.28%

Durum Wheat Mar 18   305.00s   +5.00   +1.67%

 

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   unch   unch

Barley Dec 17   148.00s   unch   unch

Barley Mar 18   151.00s   unch   unch

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Sep 17   930-6s   -4-4   -0.48%

Soybeans Nov 17   937-2s   -4-0   -0.42%

Soybeans Jan 18   946-4s   -3-6   -0.39%

Soybeans Mar 18   955-4s   -3-6   -0.39%

Soybeans May 18   963-6s   -3-4   -0.36%

 

Soybean Meal Sep 17   294.6s   -0.9   -0.30%

Soybean Meal Oct 17   296.6s   -0.6   -0.20%

Soybean Meal Dec 17   299.2s   -0.2   -0.07%

 

Soybean Oil Sep 17   34.28s   -0.31   -0.90%

Soybean Oil Oct 17   34.40s   -0.31   -0.89%

Soybean Oil Dec 17   34.65s   -0.31   -0.89%

 

Corn Sep 17   333-4s   -2-4   -0.74%

Corn Dec 17   348-6s   -2-2   -0.64%

Corn Mar 18   361-4s   -2-4   -0.69%

Corn May 18   369-0s   -2-2   -0.61%

Corn Jul 18   375-6s -2-2   -0.60%

 

Oats Sep 17   235-0s   -3-4   -1.47%

Oats Dec 17   246-4s   -5-2   -2.09%

Oats Mar 18   252-0s   -5-0   -1.95%

Oats May 18   251-0s   -6-2   -2.43%

Oats Jul 18   244-2s   -6-0   -2.40%

 

Wheat Sep 17   402-6s   +2-6   +0.69%

Wheat Dec 17   429-6s   +1-6   +0.41%

Wheat Mar 18   453-4s   +2-0   +0.44%

Wheat May 18   467-4s   +1-4   +0.32%

Wheat Jul 18   480-0s   +0-4   +0.10%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 17   637-4s   -7-2   -1.12%

Spring Wheat Dec 17   660-2s   -4-0   -0.60%

Spring Wheat Mar 18   667-4s   -3-0   -0.45%

Spring Wheat May 18   662-6s   -2-2   -0.34%

Spring Wheat Jul 18   655-2s   -3-2   -0.49%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Sep 17   397-2s   +0-4   +0.13%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   426-2s   +0-6   +0.18%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   444-4s  +0-4   +0.11%

Hard Red Wheat May 18   458-6s   +0-4   +0.11%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   476-6s   +0-2   +0.05%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Aug 17   105.250s   -0.950   -0.89%

Live Cattle Oct 17   106.100s   -2.275   -2.10%

Live Cattle Dec 17   109.175s   -2.200   -1.98%

 

Feeder Cattle Aug 17   142.600s   +0.175   +0.12%

Feeder Cattle Sep 17   143.025s   -2.850   -1.95%

Feeder Cattle Oct 17   143.525s   -2.875   -1.96%

 

Lean Hogs Oct 17   60.225s   -1.400   -2.27%

Lean Hogs Dec 17   56.150s   -1.425   -2.48%

Lean Hogs Feb 18   60.900s   -1.575   -2.52%

 

 

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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