Canola futures drop with rest of market; loonie rises

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: March 1, 2016

Environment Canada expects a warmer than normal March in B.C, Alberta and much of Saskatchewan

Crop futures fell generally on Tuesday on the continuing expectation on ample world grain and oilseed supplies.

The Canadian dollar gained about 0.65 US cent, adding to the downward pressure on canola futures.

March canola closed at $444.80 per tonne down $1.20.

May closed at $446.80 down $2.90 or 0.64 percent.

The progress of the South American harvest and exports also kept pressure on crop markets.

Environment Canada forecasts a warmer than normal March for Alberta and much of Saskatchewan. This could lead to a rapid melt of the little snow that is left and an early start to field operations. Also, drying soils could become a problem again in Alberta.

Manitoba is expected to have normal March temperatures.

About the only new news was the monthly U.S. winter wheat condition report from the USDA, issued late Monday afternoon.

The report showed crop condition ratings in Kansas, the top U.S. winter wheat producer, improved in February.

The government rated 59 percent of the Kansas winter wheat crop in good to excellent condition at the end of February, up from 55 percent in its previous monthly report and up from last year at the same time..

Ratings fell from the month before in several other states.

However, despite the dip the crop was still in better shape than a year ago in Oklahoma and Montana, the No. 3 and 4 winter wheat states last year.

“Crop conditions are some of the best we’ve seen in Lord knows how long. When was the last time you saw a rating for Oklahoma wheat as high as it is now, even though it did come down (from last month)?” Tom Fritz, a partner with EFG Group in Chicago, told Reuters.

The USDA rated 68 percent of Oklahoma’s winter wheat as good to excellent at the end of February.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 65 cents to US$34.40 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US74.59 cents, up from 73.95 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3407.

Strong economic reports in the U.S. lifted American stock indexes. U.S.construction spending in January surged to the highest since 2007, while strong auto sales also boosted sentiment.

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all rose more than two percent while the TSX composite climbed about 0.9 percent

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2016   444.80   -1.20   -0.27%

Canola May 2016   446.80   -2.90   -0.64%

Canola Jul 2016   450.60   -3.90   -0.86%

Canola Nov 2016   457.80   -3.70   -0.80%

Canola Jan 2017   462.20   -3.90   -0.84%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2016   219.00   -1.00   -0.45%

Milling Wheat May 2016   222.00   -1.00   -0.45%

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   226.00   -1.00   -0.44%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2016   294.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2016   299.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   286.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2016   183.00   unch   0.00%

Barley May 2016   185.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2016   187.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2016   850.75   -2.25   -0.26%

Soybeans May 2016   858   -3   -0.35%

Soybeans Jul 2016   863.75   -3.75   -0.43%

Soybeans Aug 2016   866   -3.75   -0.43%

Soybeans Sep 2016   866.5   -3.75   -0.43%

Soybeans Nov 2016   870   -3.5   -0.40%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2016   258.1   -1.2   -0.46%

Soybean Meal May 2016   261.5   -1   -0.38%

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   264.1   -1.1   -0.41%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2016   30.32   -0.32   -1.04%

Soybean Oil May 2016   30.54   -0.33   -1.07%

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   30.78   -0.33   -1.06%

 

Corn Mar 2016   353.75   +0.25   +0.07%

Corn May 2016   355.75   -1.25   -0.35%

Corn Jul 2016   360.25   -1.5   -0.41%

Corn Sep 2016   365.5   -1.75   -0.48%

Corn Dec 2016   373.75   -2   -0.53%

 

Oats Mar 2016   165.25   -4   -2.36%

Oats May 2016   178.25   -4.5   -2.46%

Oats Jul 2016   188.25   -3.25   -1.70%

Oats Sep 2016   194.75   -2.75   -1.39%

Oats Dec 2016   202.25   -3.25   -1.58%

 

Wheat Mar 2016   438.5   -6.5   -1.46%

Wheat May 2016   446   -7.25   -1.60%

Wheat Jul 2016   452.5   -7.75   -1.68%

Wheat Sep 2016   462.5   -7.5   -1.60%

Wheat Dec 2016   477.5   -7.75   -1.60%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2016   486   -6   -1.22%

Spring Wheat May 2016   485.25   -3.5   -0.72%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   493   -3.75   -0.75%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   502.5   -4   -0.79%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   517.75   -3.5 -0.67%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016   437.5   -7.5   -1.69%

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   449.5   -8   -1.75%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   459.25   -8   -1.71%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   473   -7.75   -1.61%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   493.25   -8   -1.60%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

explore

Stories from our other publications