Weekend market wrap: July canola gains $7.90 on the week

Reading Time: 4 minutes

Published: May 22, 2015

,

A weaker Canadian dollar rode to the rescue of canola futures on Friday, offsetting the effects of a 1.4 percent drop in soybean futures.

U.S. crop futures generally fell on Friday, pressured by the rapid pace of seeding, excellent Midwest weather and the stronger U.S. dollar. U.S. markets will be closed Monday for Memorial Day. Canadian markets will be open.

Canola barely changed today.

July canola closed today at $463.20 a tonne, up 60 cents.

November closed at $454.90, down 40 cents.

Canola is supported by expectations for tighter supplies by the end of 2015-16 and dry weather over a large part of the Western Prairies.

Click on this map to see rainfall from April 1 to May 17.

April 1 to May 17 rainfall.
April 1 to May 17 rainfall.

But large global supplies of soybeans are keeping a lid on canola rallies.

Over the week, July canola rose $7.90 per tonne while November rose $5.70.

Soybeans fell today as the U.S. dollar hit a three week high after Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen was clearer than ever in a speach that the central bank is poised to raise interest rates this year,

Also U.S. soybeans are struggling to compete against the large supply of South American beans. Argentina’s government and a private Brazilian forecaster each increased soybean production forecasts on Thurday.

For the week, Chicago Board of Trade soybeans for July delivery fell three percent. July soymeal rose 0.4 percent and July soyoil fell 4.4 percent.

Read Also

Detail from the front of the CBOT building in Chicago. (Vito Palmisano/iStock/Getty Images)

U.S. grains: Soybean futures set two-week high on US weather worry, soyoil rally

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures touched a two-week high on Friday on worries that heat may threaten U.S. crops and expectations that the country’s biofuel policy would boost demand for soyoil, analysts said.

Wheat futures dipped on profit taking after rising earlier in the week on concerns about excess rain in Oklahoma and Texas. Also traders are looking for confirmation of weather damage before pushing prices any higher.

The weekly USDA crop condition report will come out on Tuesday because of the Monday holiday in the U.S.

Oklahoma State University crop marketing specialist Kim Anderson, speaking on the Radio Oklahoma Network farm report weekend edition, said the improved moisture situation will lead to a larger state crop than he expected a few weeks ago, but with the heavy rain there are concerns with lodging, along with sucker heads and how farmers will harvest a crop with two different maturity levels.

For the week, July Chicago soft wheat rose 0.7 percent, the third straight week of gains for the front-month contract, its longest stretch since December.

Kansas City hard red winter wheat was up 0.7 percent and MGEX spring wheat rose 1.3 percent this week.

In France, farm office FranceAgriMer said 91 percent of soft wheat was in good or excellent condition as of May 18, an unchanged rating from the previous week and still the highest level in five years.

Chicago Board of Trade corn futures fell 1.3 percent on Friday, as the dollar climbed, wheat fell and traders took profits on earlier gains.

Corn lost 1.4 percent for the week as plentiful existing supplies, speedy U.S. plantings and overall favourable weather conditions for the new crop continued to weigh on prices.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down $1 to US$59.72 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US81.38 cents, down from 81.96 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2288.

The TSX composite barely changed, falling 2.85 points of 0.02 percent to 15,200.76.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 52.92 points, or 0.29 percent, to 18,232.82.

The S&P 500 lost 4.64 points, or 0.22 percent, to 2,126.18.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.43 points, or 0.03 percent, to 5,089.36.

For the week, the TSX climbed 0.6 percent, the Dow was down 0.2 percent, the S&P 500 was down 0.2 percent and the Nasdaq was up 0.8 percent.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2015       463.20       +0.60       +0.13%

Canola Nov 2015       454.90       -0.40       -0.09%

Canola Jan 2016       454.90       -0.20       -0.04%

Canola Mar 2016       453.90       -1.20       -0.26%

Canola May 2016       452.90       -2.50       -0.55%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       219.00       -3.00       -1.35%

Milling Wheat Oct 2015       221.00       -3.00       -1.34%

Milling Wheat Dec 2015       221.00       -3.00       -1.34%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       298.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2015       298.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2015       303.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2015       191.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2015       177.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2015       182.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2015       924.25       -14.25       -1.52%

Soybeans Aug 2015       916.25       -13.5       -1.45%

Soybeans Sep 2015       907.5       -12.75       -1.39%

Soybeans Nov 2015       907       -11.5       -1.25%

Soybeans Jan 2016       914.75       -10.75       -1.16%

Soybeans Mar 2016       920.75       -10.25       -1.10%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       304.2       +0.1       +0.03%

Soybean Meal Aug 2015       299.9       -1.1       -0.37%

Soybean Meal Sep 2015       297.1       -1.5       -0.50%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       31.64       -0.61       -1.89%

Soybean Oil Aug 2015       31.69       -0.61       -1.89%

Soybean Oil Sep 2015       31.73       -0.59       -1.83%

 

Corn Jul 2015       360       -5       -1.37%

Corn Sep 2015       366.75       -4.75       -1.28%

Corn Dec 2015       377.75       -4.5       -1.18%

Corn Mar 2016       388.25       -4.5       -1.15%

Corn May 2016       395.25       -4.75       -1.19%

 

Oats Jul 2015       242.5       -1.75       -0.72%

Oats Sep 2015       248.25       -1.75       -0.70%

Oats Dec 2015       257       -1.5       -0.58%

Oats Mar 2016       263       -1.25       -0.47%

Oats May 2016       269.75       -1.25       -0.46%

 

Wheat Jul 2015       515.25       -6.75       -1.29%

Wheat Sep 2015       523       -6.5       -1.23%

Wheat Dec 2015       537       -5.5       -1.01%

Wheat Mar 2016       551.5       -4.25       -0.76%

Wheat May 2016       560.25       -3.5       -0.62%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       568.75       -9.5       -1.64%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       580       -9.25       -1.57%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       593.25       -9.25       -1.54%

Spring Wheat Mar 2016       605.75       -9.5       -1.54%

Spring Wheat May 2016       614.25       -7.25       -1.17%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       546.5       -11.25       -2.02%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       557       -10.75       -1.89%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       573.5       -10.25       -1.76%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016       586.25       -9.25       -1.55%

Hard Red Wheat May 2016       594       -9       -1.49%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

Markets at a glance

explore

Stories from our other publications