U.S. biofuel change pressures soy oil and canola

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Published: January 28, 2015

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A rule change in the United States that makes it easier for biofuel makers in Argentina to selll their product in the United States slammed soy oil future down and canola also fell hard.

The Argentine biodiesel will more easily compete with American biodiesel and reduce the demand for soy oil. Soy oil fell about 2.7 percent to the lowest level in nearly six years.

Canola follows soy oil closely and, as it fell it triggered further speculative selling. The weak loonie limited the decline.

It was a generally down day on crop markets.

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Photo: iStock/Getty Images

ICE Canada Weekly: Canola looking at C$580

Without the Chinese market, it’s only a matter of time before canola futures are poised to break below C$600 per tonne in its November contract, said Phil Speiss, trader with RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg.

Nearby wheat futures fell two percent or more on forecasts for beneficial rain in the southern Plains where hard red winter wheat is grown.

Also, the strong American dollar is making U.S. wheat uncompetitive on the world market.

The same issue weighs on corn futures, which also fell more than two percent. U.S. corn faces strong competition from Ukraine.

Also, falling gasoline prices are reducing demand for ethanol.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down $1.78 to US$44.45 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US80.31 cents, down from US80.62 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2451.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2015       449.80       -9.80       -2.13%

Canola May 2015       445.40       -9.70       -2.13%

Canola Jul 2015       441.50       -7.40       -1.65%

Canola Nov 2015       428.20       -6.90       -1.59%

Canola Jan 2016       429.90       -6.90       -1.58%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       213.00       -4.00       -1.84%

Milling Wheat May 2015       216.00       -4.00       -1.82%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       219.00       -4.00       -1.79%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       363.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       353.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       343.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2015       195.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       197.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2015       970.25       -3.5       -0.36%

Soybeans May 2015       977.25       -4       -0.41%

Soybeans Jul 2015       983       -4       -0.41%

Soybeans Aug 2015       983       -4.25       -0.43%

Soybeans Sep 2015       969.25       -4.25       -0.44%

Soybeans Nov 2015       958.25       -4.5       -0.47%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       337.4       +0.8       +0.24%

Soybean Meal May 2015       329.9       +1.1       +0.33%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       327.6       +1.1       +0.34%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       30.34       -0.83       -2.66%

Soybean Oil May 2015       30.57       -0.8       -2.55%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       30.78       -0.79       -2.50%

 

Corn Mar 2015       373.25       -8       -2.10%

Corn May 2015       381.5       -8.25       -2.12%

Corn Jul 2015       389       -8       -2.02%

Corn Sep 2015       395.75       -7.75       -1.92%

Corn Dec 2015       404.25       -7       -1.70%

 

Oats Mar 2015       287.5       -1.75       -0.61%

Oats May 2015       290       -2.75       -0.94%

Oats Jul 2015       294.75       -2.5       -0.84%

Oats Sep 2015       299.5       -0.5       -0.17%

Oats Dec 2015       297.25       +0.25       +0.08%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       505.25       -13.75       -2.65%

Wheat May 2015       510.25       -12.75       -2.44%

Wheat Jul 2015       516       -12.75       -2.41%

Wheat Sep 2015       524.75       -12.5       -2.33%

Wheat Dec 2015       537.25       -11.75       -2.14%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       555       -11.5       -2.03%

Spring Wheat May 2015       562.75       -11       -1.92%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       571       -11.75       -2.02%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       579.75       -11       -1.86%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       590.5       -10       -1.67%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       535.75       -14.5       -2.64%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       541.75       -14       -2.52%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       547.25       -12.75       -2.28%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       559.5       -12.75       -2.23%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       573.75       -13       -2.22%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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