Canola futures rise with help from soy oil, funds

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Published: January 14, 2015

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Soy oil strength and a weak Canadian dollar helped lift canola futures on Wednesday.

Funds bought canola and that too supported the oilseed.

Soybeans bounced back a little after losses earlier this week but corn and wheat continued to fall.

News of additional soybean exports helped lift soybeans late in the trading day to close higher after being lower early in the day.

The Rosario grain exchange in Argentina trimmed its forecast for that country’s corn production by 500,000 tonnes to 54.5 million tonnes.

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But that didn’t stop corn from falling on ideas that although the USDA on Monday trimmed its forecast of U.S. year-end corn stocks the supply is still burdensome.

Wheat also fell on ideas that there is more than ample supply of the grain.

Also the World Bank today lowered its forecast for global growth.

The bank predicted the global economy would grow three percent this year, below a forecast of 3.4 percent made in June, Reuters reported.

World GDP growth will reach 3.3 percent in 2016, as opposed to a June forecast of 3.5 percent, before dipping to 3.2 percent in 2017, it said.

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite index fell 102.73 points of 0.72 percent to 14,084.43.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 187.84 points, or 1.07 percent, to 17,425.84, the S&P 500 lost 11.88 points, or 0.59 percent, to 2,011.15 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 22.18 points, or 0.48 percent, to 4,639.32.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose $2.59 to US$48.48 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US83.63 cents, down from 83.70 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.1958.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2015       454.00       +3.70       +0.82%

Canola May 2015       448.50       +1.60       +0.36%

Canola Jul 2015       443.50       -0.40       -0.09%

Canola Nov 2015       429.00       -1.20       -0.28%

Canola Jan 2016       430.20       -3.40       -0.78%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       214.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat May 2015       217.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       220.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       361.00       -4.00       -1.10%

Durum Wheat May 2015       351.00       -4.00       -1.13%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       341.00       -4.00       -1.16%

 

Barley Mar 2015       182.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       184.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       186.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2015       1009.25       +5.25       +0.52%

Soybeans May 2015       1014.5       +4.5       +0.45%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1020       +4.25       +0.42%

Soybeans Aug 2015       1019.25       +4.75       +0.47%

Soybeans Sep 2015       1003.75       +4.75       +0.48%

Soybeans Nov 2015       991.25       +4.5       +0.46%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       335.5       +1.9       +0.57%

Soybean Meal May 2015       330.2       +1.9       +0.58%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       329.8       +2.1       +0.64%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       32.82       +0.28       +0.86%

Soybean Oil May 2015       32.95       +0.27       +0.83%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       33.11       +0.25       +0.76%

 

Corn Mar 2015       381       -4.75       -1.23%

Corn May 2015       388.5       -5       -1.27%

Corn Jul 2015       395       -5.25       -1.31%

Corn Sep 2015       400.75       -4.75       -1.17%

Corn Dec 2015       408.5       -3.5       -0.85%

 

Oats Mar 2015       282.75       -10.5       -3.58%

Oats May 2015       285       -12       -4.04%

Oats Jul 2015       289.75       -11       -3.66%

Oats Sep 2015       291.75       -10.25       -3.39%

Oats Dec 2015       292.25       -9.75       -3.23%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       537.75       -10.25       -1.87%

Wheat May 2015       540.75       -11.25       -2.04%

Wheat Jul 2015       545.25       -12.25       -2.20%

Wheat Sep 2015       552.5       -12.5       -2.21%

Wheat Dec 2015       564.25       -12       -2.08%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       580.5       -8       -1.36%

Spring Wheat May 2015       587.25       -8.25       -1.39%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       595.5       -8       -1.33%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       602.25       -8       -1.31%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       610.5       -8.75       -1.41%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       575       -6.75       -1.16%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       578.5       -7.5       -1.28%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       583.25       -7.75       -1.31%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       594.25       -7.5       -1.25%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       608.25       -7.5       -1.22%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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