Video: Soy meal soars 30% in Oct, lifts canola and rest of market

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: October 29, 2014

By D’Arce McMillan

Markets editor

Twitter @ darcemcmillan

Soy meal futures jumped six percent higher Wednesday and dragged canola, soybeans, corn and wheat higher.

It is the same story that played out repeatedly this week.

There is good demand for soy meal but American farmers are not rushing to deliver. Also, rail congestion is slowing the movement of soybeans to crushers and to export points.

Traders had early staked out positions on the short side of the market and now that the price is rising instead of falling, traders are liquidating those short positions. It’s called a short squeeze.

Soy oil also rose, supported by the rise in meal and stronger crude oil values as well as Malaysia’s plan to add more palm oil to its biodiesel program.

That helped November canola rise to a two and half month high, gaining $10.70 to $444.40 per tonne. Most traded January rose $6.50 TO $431.50.

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December corn rose about three percent, supported by soybeans, but also by weekly ethanol data showing production up and stocks down, indicating strong demand for the bio fuel.

Wheat was up, with Chicago leading the way. December Chicago climbed 1.4 percent and Minneapolis up one percent.

Corn helped lift wheat, but there is also concern about dry cold weather stressing the Russian winter wheat crop.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 78 cents at $82.20 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 89.80 cents US, up from 89.46 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1136 Cdn.

Gold and gold miner shares fell after the U.S. Federal Reserve ended its bond-buying program and expressed optimism about U.S. economic recovery.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 96.68 points, or 0.66 percent, at 14,527.57.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 31.44 points, or 0.18 percent, to 16,974.31, the S&P 500 lost 2.75 points, or 0.14 percent, to 1,982.3 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 15.07 points, or 0.33 percent, to 4,549.23.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2014         444.40         +10.70         +2.47%

Canola Jan 2015         431.50         +6.50         +1.53%

Canola Mar 2015         431.50         +6.80         +1.60%

Canola May 2015         433.60         +6.90         +1.62%

Canola Jul 2015         434.40         +7.20         +1.69%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2014         227.00         +2.00         +0.89%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015         233.00         +2.00         +0.87%

Milling Wheat May 2015         237.00         +3.00         +1.28%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2014         356.50         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015         357.50         unch         0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015         357.50         unch         0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2014         140.00         unch         0.00%

Barley Mar 2015         143.00         unch         0.00%

Barley May 2015         143.00         unch         0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2014         1043         +35         +3.47%

Soybeans Jan 2015         1049         +34         +3.35%

Soybeans Mar 2015         1056         +35         +3.43%

Soybeans May 2015         1062.75         +35         +3.41%

Soybeans Jul 2015         1069.25         +36         +3.48%

Soybeans Aug 2015         1067.75         +36.25         +3.51%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2014         397.2         +22.1         +5.89%

Soybean Meal Jan 2015         374.6         +16.9         +4.72%

Soybean Meal Mar 2015         352.2         +10.2         +2.98%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2014         34.18         +1.39         +4.24%

Soybean Oil Jan 2015         34.41         +1.39         +4.21%

Soybean Oil Mar 2015         34.68         +1.39         +4.18%

 

Corn Dec 2014         375.25         +10.75         +2.95%

Corn Mar 2015         388.5         +10.5         +2.78%

Corn May 2015         397         +10.25         +2.65%

Corn Jul 2015         403.5         +9.75         +2.48%

Corn Sep 2015         409.25         +8.75         +2.18%

 

Oats Dec 2014         350.5         -5.5         -1.54%

Oats Mar 2015         341.5         -1.5         -0.44%

Oats May 2015         334.5         -2         -0.59%

Oats Jul 2015         327.25         -1.5         -0.46%

Oats Sep 2015         330.5         -0.25         -0.08%

 

Wheat Dec 2014         538.25         +7.5         +1.41%

Wheat Mar 2015         551         +6.5         +1.19%

Wheat May 2015         558         +5.5         +1.00%

Wheat Jul 2015         565.75         +5.25         +0.94%

Wheat Sep 2015         576         +5.25         +0.92%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2014         582.5         +5.75         +1.00%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015         592.5         +6         +1.02%

Spring Wheat May 2015         601.25         +7         +1.18%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015         610.5         +7.5         +1.24%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015         618.5         +7.75         +1.27%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014         606.5         +4.75         +0.79%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015         611.25         +5.5         +0.91%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015         612.5         +6.75         +1.11%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015         606.25         +6.75         +1.13%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015         615.75         +6.75         +1.11%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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