Canola falls again even as bad weather continues

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Published: September 10, 2014

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Canola fell for the third day even though a heavy frost is expected overnight in large parts of Western Canada and the U.S. soybean market edged higher on bargain buying.

Snow has been falling in western and southern Alberta for the past couple of days flattening crops and creating headaches for farmers when harvest resumes in several days.

Temperatures are expected to fall to -6 to -7 C in many parts of Alberta’s central grain belt overnight. The frost will likely be less severe in central Alberta and Saskatchewan

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Detail from the front of the CBOT building in Chicago. (Vito Palmisano/iStock/Getty Images)

U.S. grains: Soybean futures set two-week high on US weather worry, soyoil rally

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures touched a two-week high on Friday on worries that heat may threaten U.S. crops and expectations that the country’s biofuel policy would boost demand for soyoil, analysts said.

But ideas that global oilseed supplies will be ample this year kept canola futures on the defensive. Falling palm oil futures, pressured by a rise in monthly Malaysian stocks, contributed to the downward pressure on canola, as did falling crude oil prices.

Soybeans and oil edged higher, mostly simply bouncing off of long term lows reached on Tuesday.

Soybeans got a bit of support from forecast for frost in the far northwestern Midwest on Friday and Saturday.

Soy meal prices fell to a five-year low.

Trade on U.S. markets was light ahead of the USDA supply and demand monthly report due Thursday. The report is expected to increase its forecasts of U.S. corn and soybean production.

Corn edged higher on bargain buying.

Wheat edged lower, partly on easing of tensions between Ukraine and Russia.

Ukrainian farms have started seeding for the 2015 grain harvest, the agriculture ministry said. Winter wheat area was likely to total 15.3 million acres, up from 15.07 million a year ago.

European forecasters pushed their crop estimates higher this week.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2014       414.70       -1.80       -0.43%

Canola Jan 2015       419.20       -2.10       -0.50%

Canola Mar 2015       424.20       -2.50       -0.59%

Canola May 2015       427.80       -3.00       -0.70%

Canola Jul 2015       431.10       -3.40       -0.78%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       197.00       +1.00       +0.51%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       203.00       +1.00       +0.50%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       212.00       +2.00       +0.95%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       288.80       +4.00       +1.40%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       294.80       +4.00       +1.38%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       295.80       +4.00       +1.37%

 

Barley Oct 2014       124.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2014       126.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2015       127.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Sep 2014       1071       -5.5       -0.51%

Soybeans Nov 2014       993.75       +1       +0.10%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1000.25       +1       +0.10%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1005.75       +0.75       +0.07%

Soybeans May 2015       1012.5       +1.25       +0.12%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1018.5       +1       +0.10%

 

Soybean Meal Sep 2014       442.8       -10.9       -2.40%

Soybean Meal Oct 2014       349       -3.4       -0.96%

Soybean Meal Dec 2014       337.2       -1.5       -0.44%

 

Soybean Oil Sep 2014       31.58       -0.01       -0.03%

Soybean Oil Oct 2014       31.63       +0.07       +0.22%

Soybean Oil Dec 2014       31.83       +0.11       +0.35%

 

Corn Sep 2014       338.75       +2.5       +0.74%

Corn Dec 2014       345.75       +1.5       +0.44%

Corn Mar 2015       358.5       +1.25       +0.35%

Corn May 2015       366.75       +1.25       +0.34%

Corn Jul 2015       374       +1.25       +0.34%

 

Oats Sep 2014       386.75       +7.75       +2.04%

Oats Dec 2014       356.75       +7.75       +2.22%

Oats Mar 2015       336.5       +5       +1.51%

Oats May 2015       327.5       +4.75       +1.47%

Oats Jul 2015       321.25       +0.25       +0.08%

 

Wheat Sep 2014       518.75       -8.75       -1.66%

Wheat Dec 2014       519.75       -7.75       -1.47%

Wheat Mar 2015       536       -8       -1.47%

Wheat May 2015       547.5       -7.5       -1.35%

Wheat Jul 2015       557.75       -6.75       -1.20%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       614       -10.25       -1.64%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       598.75       -6.5       -1.07%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       613.5       -6.25       -1.01%

Spring Wheat May 2015       623.75       -5.75       -0.91%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       632       -5       -0.78%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2014       605.25       -7.75       -1.26%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014       615.5       -7.5       -1.20%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       621.75       -7.5       -1.19%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       625       -6.75       -1.07%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       614.5       -5.75       -0.93%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $1.08 at $91.67 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 91.28 cents US, up from 90.81 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0955 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite fell 64.92 points or 0.42 percent to 15,471.89

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 54.42 points, or 0.32 percent, to 17,068.29.

The S&P 500 gained 7.31 points, or 0.37 percent, to 1,995.75.

The Nasdaq Composite added 34.24 points, or 0.75 percent, to 4,586.52.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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