Canola and wheat bounce back from recent declines

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Published: June 4, 2014

Canola rallied to close higher Wednesday with bargain buying and support from soy oil.

Wheat also rose on thoughts that recent declines were overdone.

Old crop soybeans were up slightly but new crop dipped on good Midwest growing weather.

Corn fell on good growing conditions in the U.S. Midwest.

Crusher buying and a slightly weaker loonie also supported canola. The Canadian dollar is down more than a half cent from where it was late last week.

Canola had dropped about 9.5 percent since mid May on seeding progress. Soy oil had also fallen sharply and is bouncing back a bit with unwinding of some long soymeal/short soyoil spreads.

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U.S. grains: Corn, soybeans extend losses as Midwest weather looks crop-friendly

Chicago Board of Trade corn futures extended session losses on Tuesday, weighed down by forecasts for crop-friendly rain in U.S. grain belts this week.

Another factor that might be at work is the forecast for cool mornings on Friday and Saturday particularly in the western Prairies, leading to the potential for frost in some places.

Also, southwestern Manitoba and southeastern Saskatchewan continue to struggle with the weather. Rain today made it hard to make progress and more rain is expected as the week progresses.

There were reports of an exceptionally heavy thunderstorm last night creating local flooding west of Assiniboia, Sask.

Heavy rain and storms in central and southern parts of the Midwest yesterday did some damage to young corn plants, but mostly the moisture was expected to benefit the crop.

It looks to be wet over the next three days in the southern part of the Midwest and eastern part of the U.S. Plains. The market generally thinks rain makes grain, but I wonder if it could increase disease pressure and hurt the quality of the red winter wheat crop?

Most reports from Russia and Ukraine say they expect excellent crops but some analysts continue to note that it has been dry in the western parts of Russia

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Jul 2014       460.60       +6.70       +1.48%

Canola Nov 2014       463.20       +4.40       +0.96%

Canola Jan 2015       469.10       +4.20       +0.90%

Canola Mar 2015       471.50       +4.20       +0.90%

Canola May 2015       473.30       +4.20       +0.90%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       204.00       +2.00       +0.99%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       205.00       +2.00       +0.99%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       208.00       +1.00       +0.48%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       251.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       242.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       244.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2014       145.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2014       145.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2014       147.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2014       1482.5       +1.25       +0.08%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1416.75       +2.25       +0.16%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1269.5       -3.75       -0.29%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1217.25       -4.5       -0.37%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1223.25       -4.5       -0.37%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1227.5       -4.25       -0.35%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       496.5       -3.1       -0.62%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014       467.5       -3.2       -0.68%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014       425.4       -5.4       -1.25%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       39.25       +0.9       +2.35%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014       39.36       +0.9       +2.34%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014       39.38       +0.85       +2.21%

 

Corn Jul 2014       456.25       -2       -0.44%

Corn Sep 2014       452.25       -1.75       -0.39%

Corn Dec 2014       453.5       -0.75       -0.17%

Corn Mar 2015       463.25       -0.25       -0.05%

Corn May 2015       469.5       -0.75       -0.16%

 

Oats Jul 2014       360.75       +1.75       +0.49%

Oats Sep 2014       340.75       -2.25       -0.66%

Oats Dec 2014       327.75       -5       -1.50%

Oats Mar 2015       320.5       -3.5       -1.08%

Oats May 2015       319.25       -1.5       -0.47%

 

Wheat Jul 2014       614.5       +2       +0.33%

Wheat Sep 2014       625       +2       +0.32%

Wheat Dec 2014       646.5       +1.25       +0.19%

Wheat Mar 2015       664       +0.75       +0.11%

Wheat May 2015       673.75       +1.25       +0.19%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       689.5       +5       +0.73%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       697.75       +4.5       +0.65%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       709       +4       +0.57%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       717.5       +3       +0.42%

Spring Wheat May 2015       722       +3.25       +0.45%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014       713.5       +5.75       +0.81%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014       720.5       +4.75       +0.66%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014       732.25       +5.5       +0.76%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015       737.5       +5.25       +0.72%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015       736.5       +4       +0.55%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped 2 cents at $102.64 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 91.43 cents US, down from 91.62 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0937 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite and major U.S indexes were higher at the close of trade. The closing index levels will be posted later.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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