Overdone grain rally gives back profits on Tuesday

Profit taking after the recent run up in grain prices knocked grain markets lower on Tuesday.

Canola fell harder than soybeans, as weather in Canada is more conducive to good crop development than in the U.S., where heat and lack of rain are expected to stress soybean though August. Despite the stress, analysts still expect bumper crops in the U.S.

November canola closed at $508.10, down $9.70 or 1.87 percent. November beans were down about one percent.

Statistics Canada reports on the expected size of Canadian crops tomorrow. The trade anticipates a record-large 15.5 million tonne canola crop in 2013-14.

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Scouts on the annual Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour reported generally excellent yield potential in the eastern and western edges of the corn belt. They head into the central heartland of the Midwest in Iowa later this week. Final numrs will be released Friday afternoon.

ICE Futures Canada reports the best canola basis yesterday was $13 over the November contract.

The Statistics Canada crop condition assessment program, that uses satellite vegetation imaging, shows crop conditions in Canada are generally better than normal.

 

Drew Lerner of World Weather Inc. says there is a potential of frost in Western Canada in the first week to 10 days of September, with another chance in the last week of September.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2013         508.10         -9.70         -1.87%

 

Canola Jan 2014         513.30         -9.80         -1.87%

 

Canola Mar 2014         518.60         -9.80         -1.85%

 

Canola May 2014         523.20         -9.70         -1.82%

 

Canola Jul 2014         527.70         -9.70         -1.80%

 

 

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2013         252.00         -3.00         -1.18%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2013         257.00         -2.00         -0.77%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2014         262.00         -2.00         -0.76%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2013         289.00         unch         0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2013         294.00         unch         0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2014         304.00         unch         0.00%

 

 

Barley Oct 2013         189.00         unch         0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2013         194.00         unch         0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2014         194.00         unch         0.00%

 

 

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

 

Chicago

 

Soybeans Sep 2013         1309.25         -12.75         -0.96%

 

Soybeans Nov 2013         1290.5         -12.75         -0.98%

 

Soybeans Jan 2014         1291.75         -12         -0.92%

 

Soybeans Mar 2014         1271         -8         -0.63%

 

Soybeans May 2014         1245.5         -5.5         -0.44%

 

Soybeans Jul 2014         1244.75         -6.25         -0.50%

 

 

 

Soybean Meal Sep 2013         413.8         -6.5         -1.55%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2013         404.8         -2.8         -0.69%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2013         402         -2.2         -0.54%

 

 

 

Soybean Oil Sep 2013         42.88         -0.57         -1.31%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2013         42.94         -0.57         -1.31%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2013         43.18         -0.6         -1.37%

 

 

 

Corn Sep 2013         483.75         -9.5         -1.93%

 

Corn Dec 2013         475.5         -10         -2.06%

 

Corn Mar 2014         488.5         -9.25         -1.86%

 

Corn May 2014         496.5         -9         -1.78%

 

Corn Jul 2014         502.25         -8.5         -1.66%

 

 

 

Oats Sep 2013         382.25         -2.5         -0.65%

 

Oats Dec 2013         334.25         -2         -0.59%

 

Oats Mar 2014         337.5         -2         -0.59%

 

Oats May 2014         337.5         -2.5         -0.74%

 

Oats Jul 2014         341.75         -2.5         -0.73%

 

 

 

Wheat Sep 2013         634.25         -7.25         -1.13%

 

Wheat Dec 2013         646         -7.5         -1.15%

 

Wheat Mar 2014         657.5         -8.75         -1.31%

 

Wheat May 2014         664         -8.75         -1.30%

 

Wheat Jul 2014         661.75         -7.25         -1.08%

 

 

 

Minneapolis

 

Spring Wheat Sep 2013         735         -10.25         -1.38%

 

Spring Wheat Dec 2013         739         -6.5         -0.87%

 

Spring Wheat Mar 2014         750         -6.5         -0.86%

 

Spring Wheat May 2014         756.5         -5.25         -0.69%

 

Spring Wheat Jul 2014         759.25         -5.25         -0.69%

 

 

 

Kansas City

 

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013         696.75         -6.5         -0.92%

 

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013         699.25         -8         -1.13%

 

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014         706.75         -7         -0.98%

 

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014         710.5         -7         -0.98%

 

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014         700.75         -6.5         -0.92%

 

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $2.14 at $104.96 US per barrel.

 

The Canadian dollar at noon was 96.38 cents US, down from 96.77 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0

 

At the Toronto Stock Exchange gains in financial and resource shares offset concerns about the fate of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s stimulus program.

 

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 82.09 points, or 0.65 percent, at 12,670.11.

 

An earlier version of this story had incorrect closing U.S. stock index data. It should be the following:  The Dow Jones industrial average fell 7.75 points or 0.05 percent, to 15,002.99, the S&P 500 gained 6.29 points or 0.38 percent, to 1,652.35 and the Nasdaq Composite added 24.504 points or 0.68 percent, to 3,613.59.