China says grain production is forecast to hit a record 700 million tonnes this year, which could partially
explain lower imports. | REUTERS PHOTO

China significantly reduces its wheat purchases

Canada is expected to easily replace the lost sales because of problems with the crop in Russia, Europe and Australia

SASKATOON — China’s grain imports plunged in September. Wheat imports were down 57 per cent year on year, while corn purchases plunged 81 per cent. It is the second straight month of poor sales volumes for the world’s largest wheat and corn importer. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has penciled in 12 million tonnes of […] Read more

Man. crop almost harvested

Harvest operations across Manitoba are nearly complete, with only sunflowers and corn left to come off the fields, according to the latest provincial crop report for the week ended Oct. 22. The total harvest hit 95 per cent complete, with the majority of fall field work also finished. Of the major crops, an estimated one […] Read more


The wheat market will likely begin to reflect the concerns about the 2025 crop early in the new year. Until then, it will likely move relatively in step with corn futures.  |  File photo

Wheat markets continue to ignore poor global outlook

Crops are in trouble around the world, including in the United States, Russia, Europe, Australia and Argentina

Wheat markets have sold off during the past two weeks, and one would think that crop prospects have dramatically improved since last month. Have the Southern Hemisphere harvest prospects dramatically improved? Maybe the 2025 winter wheat planting conditions in the Northern Hemisphere have turned around the situation at the last minute. Neither situation has occurred, […] Read more

“Topsoil moisture reserves are very low and in many regions wheat is entering the winter in the worst shape in recent years,” SovEcon analyst Andrey Sizov said in an email. | Reuters photo

Russian wheat exports to fall amid crop woes

Analysts forecast 80.1 million tonnes of production next year, down from the five-year average of 88.1 million tonnes

SASKATOON — Early indications are that Russia may harvest another disappointing wheat crop in 2025. SovEcon is forecasting 80.1 million tonnes of production, down from 81.5 million tonnes this year and the five-year average of 88.1 million tonnes. Related stories: Total wheat area is forecast to remain unchanged at about 70 million acres, with winter […] Read more

Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain ships and ports. It recently shelled the Port of Odesa, killing one person and injuring eight others. | Screencap via x.com/@MamedovGyunduz

Market ignores Russian attacks on grain ships

Some think the market has been quiet due to large Aussie crop and infrequency of attacks; others say prices should rise

SASKATOON — Grain markets should be reinstating a Black Sea war risk premium, say analysts. “I’m very surprised that we haven’t started to push a bigger premium into the wheat market, especially soft wheats, because of what’s happening,” said MarketsFarm analyst Bruce Burnett. Related stories: Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain […] Read more


Producers across the Prairies noticed this year that their spring wheat outyielded their canola.  |  File photo

Canola-wheat yield difference widens this year

Producers wonder if canola breeders need to focus more on finding a solution to heat stress and its impact on yields

WINNIPEG — The yield gap between spring wheat and canola is substantial this fall in western Manitoba. In some instances, the gap is 30 bushels per acre. The Manitoba Agriculture crop report for Oct. 2 says the average spring wheat yield in the northwest region of the province is 65 to 70 bu. per acre. […] Read more

The world's largest importer has struck a deal to buy 3.12 million tonnes of Black Sea wheat from November to April, according to Reuters. | Reuters photo

Egyptian purchase helps wheat rally

Major deal partly explains futures price hike despite Ag Canada adding 2.8 million tonnes to the country's wheat supply

SASKATOON — Egypt has set the tone for the 2024-25 wheat market. The world’s largest importer has struck a deal to buy 3.12 million tonnes of Black Sea wheat from November to April, according to Reuters. Related stories: Egypt’s General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) will be importing 510,000 tonnes per month from the region […] Read more