While El Nino/La Nina can affect where pressure highs and lows are and how long they stay in place, I’m undecided about whether at this early point, we can make a prediction how the change will affect crop yields. | File photo

El Nino-La Nina oscillation impact not determinative

El Nino is on its way out and might be gone by the time crops are growing in Western Canada this summer. Some weather models suggest the waters of the southern Pacific could shift into La Nina by the time harvest arrives. I see media posts drawing attention to the decline of El Nino and […] Read more

Understanding El Niño and La Niña

Understanding El Niño and La Niña

What is El Niño, and why can it have such a profound impact on our weather? Simply put, El Niño is a change in ocean surface temperatures across the tropical and subtropical Pacific Ocean. This creates a change in the weather patterns. The Pacific Ocean covers half of our planet, so any large-scale change is […] Read more

The Prairies will likely remain mostly dry for the remainder of the fall, but normal precipitation and temperatures can be expected by mid-December.  |  Mike Sturk photo

La Nina continues to dominate crop weather into winter

Most North American grain and oilseed farmers would love to see fall rain to replenish drought affected or drier than normal soil. Their counterparts in Argentina are even more desperate for rain. They are in the Southern Hemisphere spring and winter wheat is shrivelling due to lack of rain and the fields that they will […] Read more


Weather models from the U.S. Climate Prediction Centre, the North American Multi-Model Ensemble and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are all predicting a dry October, November and December in the winter wheat growing region. | File photo

Conditions grim for U.S. winter wheat seeding

Conditions are rife for another poor start for the U.S. hard red winter wheat crop, but there could be a massive Brazilian soybean harvest next year, say analysts. La Nina is hanging around, and that likely means a third consecutive dry fall in the southern U.S. Plains. Weather models from the U.S. Climate Prediction Centre, […] Read more

La Nina years typically result in better-than-average monsoon rainfall for India, said Fahad Vaipei, vice president of Olam, a Singapore-based agribusiness company. However, according to Drew Lerner, president of World Weather Inc., this year's La Nina will be many times weaker than the previous two events. | Flickr/McKay Savage photo

Model behaviour

There are conflicting views on what impact a third consecutive La Nina weather event will have on crops in India and Australia. Many weather models anticipate ongoing La Nina conditions throughout 2022, according to presenters at the International Grains Council’s Grains Conference 2022. La Nina years typically result in better-than-average monsoon rainfall for India, said […] Read more


La Nina years typically result in better-than-average monsoon rainfall for India, said Fahad Vaipei, vice president of Olam, a Singapore-based agribusiness company. However, according to Drew Lerner, president of World Weather Inc., this year's La Nina will be many times weaker than the previous two events. | Flickr/McKay Savage photo

La Nina affect on Australia and India questioned

There are conflicting views on what impact a third consecutive La Nina weather event will have on crops in India and Australia. Many weather models anticipate ongoing La Nina conditions throughout 2022, according to presenters at the International Grains Council’s Grains Conference 2022. La Nina years typically result in better-than-average monsoon rainfall for India, said […] Read more

Brazil’s corn crop is expected to go in the ground on time this year, prompting analysts to forecast 118 million tonnes of production, a 37 percent increase over last year. | Reuters/Ueslei Marcelino photo

La Nina not expected to hurt Brazilian corn

The weather phenomenon had a disastrous impact on country’s corn crop last year but is not behaving the same this year

La Nina led to a disastrous Brazilian corn crop this year but that won’t be the case in 2022, says an analyst. The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says La Nina conditions have developed and there is an 87 percent chance they will remain in place in the December 2021 through February 2022 period. […] Read more

Canola prices have independent strength because of tight supply in Canada, but the influence of the wider oilseed market can’t be ignored, such as expectations for increased palm oil production from plantations like this one is Slim River, Malaysia. | Reuters/Lim Huey Teng photo

Oilseed outlook for next year contains plenty to consider

Assessing the outlook for the coming year’s oilseed market at this early stage is never easy but right now, for every factor that would support prices in 2022, there is another factor that would weigh down the market. The extreme tightness of Canadian canola supply gives that crop independent strength, but producers can’t ignore the […] Read more


Colder than normal winter forecast for most of Prairies

Colder than normal winter forecast for most of Prairies

AccuWeather bases prediction on formation of a moderate-to-strong La Nina, which tends to amplify the polar jet stream

Western Canadian farmers should be pulling their parkas out of storage, says a weather forecaster. “We think this could be one of the colder winters we’ve seen in quite a while,” said AccuWeather meteorologist Brett Anderson. He is forecasting the chilliest winter since 2013-14. Temperatures are expected to be 1.5 to 2 degrees C below […] Read more

Brazil is expected to export only 15 to 17 million tonnes of corn this year because of a La Nina, which is about half of the original forecast. World corn supplies could become uncomfortably tight if production is down again next year because of another La Nina. | Reuters/Marcelo Rodrigues Teixeira photo

Second La Nina threatens S. American crops

Back-to-back La Nina summers in Argentina and Brazil could have a profound impact on world corn and soybean markets

South America’s crops could suffer greatly if forecasts for a second consecutive La Nina weather event prove accurate, says an analyst. The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says there is a 70 percent chance of having a second La Nina in a row during South America’s summer growing season. Southern Brazil and Argentina typically […] Read more