Matt Makens of Makens Weather gives his detailed weather predictions for 2025 and beyond for beef producers at the Alberta Beef Conference in Calgary.

Transition to drought expected to be swifter this year

Fractions of a degree of change in ocean tempartures impacts weather patterns for ag producers in caring for their livestock and crops

Agriculture across the globe is closely linked to La Niña and El Niño when it comes to setting the weather stage for the next growing season.

Significant surface runoff and pooled water in many prairie growing regions gives the impression soils will get a decent recharge this spring. However, Phillip Harder, hydrological scientist and research director at Croptimistic Technology, said the late fall rains and freezing at the soil surface, combined with multiple midwinter melts, will likely restrict the amount of water that makes it into the soil. He said on many fields much of the snowmelt will run off or accumulate in field depressions, which will end up doing the heavy lifting when it comes to crop production if rains are sparse this summer.  |  Phillip Harder photo

Dry summer still indicated

SASKATOON — World Weather Inc. believes much of the United States and portions of the Canadian Prairies will experience drought in the summer of 2024. That forecast is based on an analysis of the 18-year lunar cycle. “I’ve looked at six analog years and all six of them have a drier and warmer bias for […] Read more


John Baranick, DTN's meteorologist, has determined that it will likely be a warmer-than-normal spring across the U.S., especially in the north. | Getty Images

Hot summer looms as El Nino moves to La Nina

HOUSTON, Texas — John Baranick has the unenviable task of coming up with a weather forecast for the United States during a period of uncertainty. The world will be transitioning from a super El Nino weather event to a La Nina event this spring and summer. Related stories: Volcanoes can have complex effect on weather […] Read more

While El Nino/La Nina can affect where pressure highs and lows are and how long they stay in place, I’m undecided about whether at this early point, we can make a prediction how the change will affect crop yields. | File photo

El Nino-La Nina oscillation impact not determinative

El Nino is on its way out and might be gone by the time crops are growing in Western Canada this summer. Some weather models suggest the waters of the southern Pacific could shift into La Nina by the time harvest arrives. I see media posts drawing attention to the decline of El Nino and […] Read more


The Panama Canal Authority has reduced the amount and weight of vessels passing through based on current and projected water levels in Gatun Lake, the rainfall-fed principal reservoir that floats ships through the canal’s lock system, Maersk, one of the world’s largest container shipping companies, said. | Screencap via pancanal.com

Maersk to use rail to bypass Panama Canal amid drought

Shipping companies are forced to find alternatives as drought and military conflict affect trade routes around the world

REUTERS — A.P. Moller-Maersk will use trains to avoid the drought-hit Panama Canal for some of its vessels, the Danish shipping giant said as low water levels continue to cause one of the world’s main maritime trade routes to reduce crossings. The Panama Canal Authority has reduced the amount and weight of vessels passing through […] Read more

Scientists say last year’s record-breaking global temperatures underline the need to act “extremely urgently” to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.  |  File photo

Climate change, El Nino make 2023 hottest year on record

BRUSSELS, Belgium (Reuters) — Last year was the planet’s hottest on record by a substantial margin and likely the world’s warmest in the last 100,000 years, said the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service. Scientists had widely expected the milestone, after climate records were repeatedly broken. Since June, every month has been the world’s hottest […] Read more

Production problems in Australia are expected to prompt wheat buyers, including China and Indonesia, to seek larger volumes of wheat from other exporters in North America, Europe and the Black Sea region.  |  File photo

Global food supplies expected to remain tight

Dry weather and export curbs continue to pressure supply but larger South American production should provide relief

REUTERS — High food prices in recent years have prompted farmers worldwide to plant more cereals and oilseeds, but consumers are set to face tighter supplies well into 2024 amid adverse El Nino weather, export restrictions and higher biofuel mandates. Global wheat, corn and soybean prices are headed for losses in 2023 amid easing Black […] Read more



Corn is harvested near Brasilia, Brazil, last August. Drought is now causing farmers to delay their fertilizer purchases, which has affected the global fertilizer system.  |  Reuters/Adriano Machado photo

Global fertilizer supply chain hits another snag

Drought in Brazil prompts producers there to use less fertilizer, denting sales in an industry already facing challenges

SAO PAULO, Brazil (Reuters) — Brazil’s drought is causing farmers there to delay fertilizer purchases for their upcoming corn-planting season, denting sales for global fertilizer suppliers in the world’s top corn-exporting country, executives told Reuters. Brazil’s soybean harvest is already delayed and that hold-up may push back planting for the main corn season that follows […] Read more