Crude oil prices are bouncing back as worries mount about a potential Middle East regional war with fighting escalating between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. | File photo

Prices of crops, oil bounce back from late summer lows

Weather issues and international tensions are lifting prices of several commodities off lows hit in late August and early September. Wheat production estimates and forecasts are down because of weather challenges in Russia, Argentina and elsewhere, helping to lift wheat futures. Crude oil prices are bouncing back as worries mount about a potential Middle East […] Read more

For months we’ve been wondering what would be the trigger for a short covering rally. Would it be a weather shock like a thaw-freeze that increases kill in winter seeded crops, or a deepening drought in South America or perhaps something related to the Russia-Ukraine war? So far, nothing has rattled the market. | Reuters photo

Trigger for short covering market rally remains elusive

For months, crop traders positioned themselves to profit from falling prices and now face risk if something happens to cause prices to rise. In market talk, the trade is net short and from a technical standpoint they are in oversold territory. It is a scenario that could trigger a sudden move higher if Mother Nature […] Read more


“We forecast commodity prices to rise by an average of two percent in 2024 and fall by four percent in 2025,” HSBC wrote in a note. | Getty Images

Commodity prices to stay high

REUTERS — HSBC said Jan. 2 that squeezed supply, improved Chinese demand and the global energy transition will keep commodity prices elevated in 2024 before falling in the following year. “We forecast commodity prices to rise by an average of two percent in 2024 and fall by four percent in 2025,” HSBC wrote in a […] Read more

As inflation cools, the central banks say they probably will not make further interest rate increases this summer, but will monitor the effect current rates have. However, no banks are talking about cutting rates, which are the highest in decades. | Getty Images

Worry about recession weighs down commodity markets

It seems markets have got into a funk worrying about the potential for a recession and are betting that demand for commodities, including crops, will be restrained. Crop markets have also replaced the panic caused by Russia invading Ukraine with a more calm assessment. Prices for most major crops have returned to levels similar to […] Read more