Minneapolis spring wheat futures hit their highs of the year at seeding time in spring, but a relatively favourable North American growing season and spillover from other markets saw values at their lowest levels since 2020 at the end of 2024. | File photo

Looking at market year by the numbers can reveal trends

A technical chart tells a story. It provides a map of what happened and hints about what may come. Canola There were certainly twists and turns to the canola trade in 2024. However, the path meandered in a sideways range and the market never actually went anywhere, finishing 2024 not far from where it started […] Read more

South American farmers are only just starting the seeding season, but forecasts expect a record large soybean crop if the region avoids drought.  |  Greg Berg photo

Record S. American soy forecast assumes drought ends

Market attention will soon turn to South America, where seeding has begun on the next soybean crop, which major forecasters expect will set a new record if the current soil moisture deficit is fixed by improved rain. Soybean and canola futures are weak as combines roll in North America, harvesting a forecasted record large soybean […] Read more


Statistics Canada’s new year-end canola stocks number of 3.09 million tonnes is the largest since 2019-20.  |  File photo

Canola price weakens on supply forecast, trade tension

Canada had almost 3.1 million tonnes of canola in stocks at the end of the crop year, which was more than expected, and once all the disposition numbers have been tallied, it looks like the 2023-24 crop was bigger than the official estimate. Every year, concurrent with the release of the July 31 stocks report, […] Read more

Canola production is 18.3 million tonnes according to the Production of Principal Field Crops report, based on a producer survey conducted Oct. 6 to Nov. 12. | File photo

Canola struggles from weak veg oil price and falling crude

Canola futures have fallen throughout autumn, weighed down by falling crude oil and vegetable oil prices and the latest Statistics Canada report that added close to a million tonnes to the production estimate. Canola production is 18.3 million tonnes according to the Production of Principal Field Crops report, based on a producer survey conducted Oct. […] Read more


A farmer scoops the last of a load of fertilizer from the tilted box of his farm truck.

Profitability has been squeezed but situation not terrible

If the world remains more concerned about a recession than it does about hunger and higher food prices, farmers might have to wait through some glum months of disappointing prices and high costs until there’s better profitability.
 But if those tightening stocks keep getting tighter, farmers’ profitability situation might get brighter in a hurry.