Chinese wheat imports were down 57 percent year-on-year, while corn purchases plunged 81 percent. | File photo

China significantly reduces its wheat purchases

Canada is expected to easily replace the lost sales because of problems with the crop in Russia, Europe and Australia

SASKATOON — China’s grain imports plunged in September. Wheat imports were down 57 per cent year on year, while corn purchases plunged 81 per cent. Related stories: U.S. Grain/Oilseed Review: Corn moves upward, soybeans, wheat down New trade war would slash U.S. exports: report It is the second straight month of poor sales volumes for […] Read more

Russia’s proposal to create a new international grain exchange was recently approved by the BRICS group of countries at a summit in Russia. | Reuters photo

‘Wheat OPEC’ idea faces uphill battle

Analysts say proposed BRICS grain exchange is doomed to fail, comparing it to similar initiatives attempted in the past

SASKATOON — A BRICS grain exchange won’t work, say analysts. Russia’s proposal to create a new international grain exchange was recently approved by the BRICS group of countries at a summit in Russia. Related stories: Russia’s proposed grain exchange for BRICS countries may take years to launch BRICS grain cartel unlikely BRICS is an intergovernmental […] Read more

The wheat market will likely begin to reflect the concerns about the 2025 crop early in the new year. Until then, it will likely move relatively in step with corn futures.  |  File photo

Wheat markets continue to ignore poor global outlook

Crops are in trouble around the world, including in the United States, Russia, Europe, Australia and Argentina

Wheat markets have sold off during the past two weeks, and one would think that crop prospects have dramatically improved since last month. Have the Southern Hemisphere harvest prospects dramatically improved? Maybe the 2025 winter wheat planting conditions in the Northern Hemisphere have turned around the situation at the last minute. Neither situation has occurred, […] Read more


There has been "considerable discussion" about ratcheting up tariffs on U.S. imports of Chinese products. | Getty Images

New trade war would slash U.S. exports: report

Canola would be the Canadian crop most directly affected by a trade war because of its link with U.S. soybean prices

SASKATOON — Grain and oilseed prices would fall if a new trade war erupted between the United States and China, according to a new report. The American Soybean Association and National Corn Growers Association sponsored the report prepared by World Agricultural Economic and Environmental Services. Related stories: The groups said there has been “considerable discussion” […] Read more

Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain ships and ports. It recently shelled the Port of Odesa, killing one person and injuring eight others. | Screencap via x.com/@MamedovGyunduz

Market ignores Russian attacks on grain ships

Some think the market has been quiet due to large Aussie crop and infrequency of attacks; others say prices should rise

SASKATOON — Grain markets should be reinstating a Black Sea war risk premium, say analysts. “I’m very surprised that we haven’t started to push a bigger premium into the wheat market, especially soft wheats, because of what’s happening,” said MarketsFarm analyst Bruce Burnett. Related stories: Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain […] Read more



It appears that managed money funds are coming to the conclusion that wheat prices have dropped enough.  |  File photo

Is the big short in wheat coming to an end?

The lifting of the wheat short position by the funds can be seen as a positive sign for wheat prices in the coming months

If there has been one consistent factor in the wheat futures market over the past two years, it has been that managed money funds have held a net short position. The latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission report indicated that funds bought back 10,102 contracts during the week ending on Oct. 1 but remain short a […] Read more

The world's largest importer has struck a deal to buy 3.12 million tonnes of Black Sea wheat from November to April, according to Reuters. | Reuters photo

Egyptian purchase helps wheat rally

Major deal partly explains futures price hike despite Ag Canada adding 2.8 million tonnes to the country's wheat supply

SASKATOON — Egypt has set the tone for the 2024-25 wheat market. The world’s largest importer has struck a deal to buy 3.12 million tonnes of Black Sea wheat from November to April, according to Reuters. Related stories: Egypt’s General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) will be importing 510,000 tonnes per month from the region […] Read more


Markets Farm analyst Bruce Burnett says other factors are weighing more heavily on canola prices, including the recent rally in palm oil prices, with nearby futures setting two-year highs due to tight supplies of the commodity. | File photo

Canola price likely unaffected by Israel-Iran tension

SASKATOON — Canola growers are not likely to be huge beneficiaries of rising crude oil prices caused by mounting tensions in the Middle East, says an analyst. “It’s a supportive factor, but it can’t drive the oilseed sector higher just by itself,” said MarketsFarm analyst Bruce Burnett. Related stories: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil […] Read more

Russian farmers have only managed to seed 20.8 million acres of winter wheat, which is 11 per cent behind last year and the slowest pace in 11 years, according to SovEcon analyst Andrey Sizov. | Getty Images

Dryness delays winter wheat seeding in Russia

Poor soil moisture and limited rainfall mean the crop could enter dormancy in poor shape, resulting in lower yields

SASKATOON — Winter wheat planting is progressing slowly in the world’s largest exporting region. Russian farmers have only managed to seed 20.8 million acres of the crop, which is 11 per cent behind last year and the slowest pace in 11 years, according to SovEcon analyst Andrey Sizov. Related stories: Ukraine’s growers have planted 2.4 […] Read more