Urea prices at New Orleans bottomed out at US$175 per ton f.o.b. and are now in the low-$180s.  |  File photo

Nitrogen prices thought to have hit bottom

Nutrien expects prices to begin increasing this fall after last year’s bad weather helped create a product glut for retailers

Nitrogen fertilizer prices have reached a low point and will be heading up this fall, says one of the leading manufacturers and retailers of the crop input. “We believe the bottom is in,” Nutrien chief executive officer Chuck Magro said in a recent presentation at a conference hosted by Bernstein. “We now believe that there […] Read more

Canadian National Railway moved record amounts of Canadian grain through the month of April and in the first quarter of the 2020 calendar year.  |  File photo

CN prepares for busy end to crop year

Canada’s largest railway company says it expects western Canadian grain to continue to move at a brisk pace in June and July after spring seeding operations have wrapped up. Canadian National Railway’s Sean Finn, executive vice-president of corporate services, says a combination of factors led to greater-than-expected grain volumes on CN’s Canadian freight network in […] Read more

Border success cannot be allowed to breed failure

The Canada-United States border is a quiet success story hidden behind all the awfulness that has come out of COVID-19. Despite the worst pandemic in a century and despite a U.S. president that is given to playing hardball with foreign neighbours, trade has kept flowing across the Canada-U.S. border, helping keep us all fed, many […] Read more


Canfax report

This cattle market information is selected from the weekly report from Canfax, a division of the Canadian Cattlemen’s Association. More market information, analysis and statistics are available by becoming a Canfax subscriber by calling 403-275-5110 or at www.canfax.ca. Fed prices strengthen Alberta direct cattle sales saw active trade early last week, and average prices firmed […] Read more

WP livestock report

Hogs The U.S. national live price average for barrows and gilts was $26.23 June 5, down from $28.54 May 29. U.S. hogs averaged $32.14 on a carcass basis June 5, down from $36.92 May 29. The U.S. pork cutout was $72.78 per cwt. June 5, down from $88.20 May 29. The estimated U.S. weekly slaughter […] Read more


Demand upon a $250,000 initial program was fully subscribed in less than a week, according to the B.C. agriculture department, so another $300,000 has been provided for a total of $550,000 under the province's Buy BC Partnership Program. | Screencap via buybc.gov.bc.ca

B.C. offers more funds for ag and food e-commerce

The vital part of the Buy B.C. campaign in British Columbia is the ability of sellers to reach consumers and e-commerce is one way to do that. The provincial government on June 5 put more money into a program to help farmers and food companies establish e-commerce and facilitate sales of B.C. products. Demand upon […] Read more

Let’s be hopeful, but not stupid, as COVID-19 wanes

There was shocking economic news today: U.S. non-farm payroll numbers increased by 2.5 million, rather than declining by expectations for more than seven million. Got that? The U.S. added jobs in May rather than continuing to fall into a hole dug by COVID-19. Is that number real? Is it a statistical aberration? Is it a […] Read more

A flax field southeast of Delisle, Sask. | Paul Yanko photo

Kazakhstan’s rise hits Canadian flax

Canada sold 67,000 tonnes to China in first two-thirds of 2019-20 compared to 268,000 tonnes in all of previous year

Kazakhstan continues to usurp Canada’s flax markets, say analysts. APK-Inform estimates that the country’s seeded area will reach 3.33 million acres this year, up 13 percent from the year before. Production is forecast to exceed one million tonnes, a 22 percent increase. By contrast, Statistics Canada is forecasting flat plantings in Canada, at about 941,000 […] Read more


The Ukrainian barley crop’s struggles are mildly good news for Canadian farmers, but it’s not expected to have a profound impact on prices. But it does mean there will likely be fewer choices in the global marketplace.  | Reuters/Valentyn Ogirenko photo

Ukrainian barley crop poised for sharp drop

The pace of spring seeding is much lower than last year — 2.64 million acres as of the end of April instead of 3.66 million

The world’s largest barley exporter is going to have a lot less crop to ship this year, according to a new production estimate. Irina Ozip, an analyst with APK-Inform, a Ukrainian agricultural consultancy, is forecasting 6.83 million tonnes of Ukrainian barley production, a 23 percent drop from 2019-20. That is due primarily to a 16 […] Read more

If analysts looked at futures curves, option spreads, volatility gauges, cash market basis and other readily available price data they could see further into the complexities of agricultural markets.
 | File photo

Analysts urged to mine more data for more accuracy

Ag economist says his colleagues should take the time to analyze futures curves, option spreads and cash market basis


Agricultural economists are ignoring much of the rich data readily available in crop markets, says one analyst. They should delve deeper into the prices and spreads between prices to better understand and analyze crop markets. “Hopefully this paper will inspire agricultural economists to expand their way of thinking and their toolkit when analyzing commodity prices […] Read more