Canola crops are looking good in other parts of the world, such as in Australia, but prices will likely remain high without a big rebound in Canadian production. | Reuters/David Gray photo

Canola prices expected to stay high

New crop canola prices are more likely to head up than down, says a trader of the commodity. PI Financial broker Ken Ball says new crop canola is comfortably valued at $840 per tonne right now. “It’s certainly not likely to come crashing down even with a good crop in Canada, the European Union and […] Read more

The world is on edge as Russia builds up its military presence on Ukraine’s borders, and the grain industry worries the American response could include banning all Russian agricultural trade. | Reuters/Sergey Pivovarov photo

Wheat jumpy as war tensions rise

Twenty-three million tonnes might be taken off the market if a military conflict breaks out between Russia and Ukraine

Wheat prices could explode if the Russia-Ukraine standoff evolves into war, says an analyst. “If some kind of conflict starts, we’re telling clients we don’t know how high wheat would have to go,” said Dan Basse, president of AgResource Company. His contacts in the grain industry tell him the United States government is mulling over […] Read more

There’s still no shortage of wild cards clouding the outlook for North American fertilizer, warned Josh Linville, a market analyst with American consulting firm StoneX. | File photo

Plenty of clouds on horizon to threaten nitrogen outlook

North America’s red-hot fertilizer market is beginning to show signs of cooling — a welcome development for Canadian growers who still haven’t closed a deal on spring nitrogen supplies. But there’s still no shortage of wild cards clouding the outlook for North American fertilizer, warned Josh Linville, a market analyst with American consulting firm StoneX. […] Read more


The surge in China's grain imports last year was led by 28.3 million tonnes of corn, up from the previous record of 11.3 million tonnes in 2020. | File photo

China expected to remain major grain buyer

It’s thought 20 to 25 million tonnes of imported corn are used annually to replace table scraps previously fed to hogs

China doubled its grain purchases in 2021, helping spur the bull run in grain markets, but what’s in store for this year? Dan Basse, president of AgResource Company, thinks more of the same. China imported a record 65 million tonnes of grain last year, according to customs data published by the Dim Sums blog. That […] Read more

An elevator’s performance is based on how much grain it buys, which can lead to problems for staff when farmers don’t deliver on their contracts. | Robert Arnason photo

Know how grain companies think to avoid contract trouble

When farmers sign a grain contract, it’s vital that they understand what the grain company is trying to achieve. That could help avoid the nightmare so many farmers faced after 2021’s short crop. A farmer might see a grain contract as a means of locking in price and arranging a delivery window, but the company […] Read more


The soaring corn imports were partly the result of damage typhoons did to the Chinese corn crop in 2020, but that is not the only explanation. | File photo

China redoubles efforts to restore food self-sufficiency

I’ve written many columns about China’s importance to global food trade and sometimes I think I sound like a broken record, but then I see a new statistic that causes my jaw to drop. China’s grain and oilseed imports last year topped a staggering 167 million tonnes. Imports accounted for about 19 percent of its […] Read more

The United States exported 437,745 tonnes of beans between January and October 2021, up from 382,624 tonnes in the same period a year ago. | File photo

U.S. dry bean exports take significant jump

Producers harvested a 30 percent smaller crop last year, but global demand remains buoyant, partly due to COVID-19

Demand for American dry beans is exceptionally strong despite the small crop, says an industry official. Growers in the United States harvested 1.03 million tonnes of beans last year, down 30 percent from the previous year. Mexico is the biggest market for U.S. beans and they were very active buyers in 2020-21 due to a […] Read more

Urea prices in the United States careened lower in the first week of January and it is now the cheapest nitrogen fertilizer product in that market. | File photo

Signs point toward peak in nitrogen fertilizer prices

Correction catches observers off guard, pointing to the possible start of a softening trend as EU natural gas prices ease

Fertilizer markets appear to have reached a tipping point, says an industry analyst. Urea prices in the United States careened lower in the first week of January and it is now the cheapest nitrogen fertilizer product in that market. The sudden correction that caught many off guard appears to be the first sign of a […] Read more


WP livestock report

Hogs The U.S. national live price average for barrows and gilts was $56.76 Jan. 28. It was unavailable Jan. 21. U.S. hogs averaged $75.11 on a carcass basis Jan. 28, up from $62.69 Jan. 21. The U.S. pork cutout was $96.39 per hundredweight Jan. 28, up from $93.29 Jan. 21. The estimated U.S. weekly slaughter […] Read more

Canfax report

This cattle market information is selected from the weekly report from Canfax, a division of the Canadian Cattlemen’s Association. More market information, analysis and statistics are available by becoming a Canfax subscriber by calling 403-275-5110 or at www.canfax.ca. No U.S. interest in feds In the previous two weeks, western Canadian fed cattle prices averaged in […] Read more