Agriculture Canada is forecasting 2.35 million tonnes of exports for the 2021-22 durum crop. One grain analyst thinks that estimate is low. | File photo

Durum supply may be larger than estimates

A grain industry analyst thinks Agriculture Canada has underestimated Canada’s durum supply. Cliff Jamieson, Canadian grains analyst with DTN, wrote an article recently suggesting that the supply and demand numbers don’t add up. Agriculture Canada forecasts 2.35 million tonnes of exports for the 2021-22 crop. Jamieson noted that current licensed exports plus stocks in commercial […] Read more

Russia is forecast to produce 2.63 million tonnes of peas in 2022, second only to Canada’s 3.49 million tonnes, according to Stat Publishing. | Getty Images

War introduces pea market uncertainties

The world’s second largest pea producer is waging a war that could damage its ability to export the product. Russia is forecast to produce 2.63 million tonnes of the pulse crop in 2022, second only to Canada’s 3.49 million tonnes, according to Stat Publishing. That would be a big rebound for both countries after harvesting […] Read more



Some analysts believe Russia's proposed export restrictions will send fertilizer prices "orbitally higher" but Josh Linville, fertilizer analyst with StoneX, feels the market had already factored it in to some degree. "We had already kind of figured this is where we were going," he said. | File photo

Russia’s proposed ban adds fuel to fertilizer price fire

Russia’s trade and industry ministry has recommended that the country’s fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports. That will have big ramifications for all major fertilizers, says an industry analyst. “It takes a world that was already rather tightly supplied and low on inventories and it just makes it that much worse,” said Josh Linville, fertilizer analyst […] Read more

More than 95 percent of Ukraine's crop is winter wheat and it was already in the ground before the conflict began. The fate of that crop is more likely to be determined by spring rains than war, according to Rich Nelson, Allendale Inc.'s chief strategist. | Getty Images

Fate of Ukrainian wheat crop remains uncertain

Ukraine’s Maritime Administration has announced that the country’s ports will remain closed until the Russian invasion is over, putting a halt to old crop exports. That is stranding an estimated five million tonnes of old crop wheat that was destined for export, according to AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds. But what about looking further down the […] Read more


War is likely to at least temporarily halt Ukraine’s wheat, barley and corn exports, which could cause a 30 percent hike in wheat prices and a 20 percent increase in corn, according to an analysis published by Rabobank on Feb. 18th. | Reuters photo

Wheat set to soar as war erupts

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could drive up global wheat prices from 30 to 100 percent, according to a Rabobank analysis. War is likely to at least temporarily halt Ukraine’s wheat, barley and corn exports, which could cause a 30 percent hike in wheat prices and a 20 percent increase in corn, according to an analysis […] Read more

"It will be very hard for him (Chinese President Xi Jinping) to realize, especially in the agricultural arena, where China has such a small percentage of arable land," said Elizabeth Economy, a China scholar and adviser to the United States Department of Commerce. | Getty Images

Chinese food goal questioned

Chinese President Xi Jinping might want to be free of dependency on foreign food imports, but it will likely never be, says a noted China expert. “It will be very hard for him to realize, especially in the agricultural arena, where China has such a small percentage of arable land,” said Elizabeth Economy, a China […] Read more

American corn exports nearly doubled last year, reaching US$18.7 billion in value. This crop was delivered to a grain elevatorin Massillon, Ohio during last fall’s harvest. | Reuters/Dane Rhys photo

U.S. ag exports to set record

The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts another record year of U.S. agricultural exports in 2022. The country shipped out US$177 billion worth of agricultural commodities in 2021, an 18 percent increase over the previous year. The forecast for 2022 is for a new record of $183.5 billion. “This, ladies and gentlemen, is unprecedented, this is […] Read more


The average soybean price is forecast at $12.75 per bushel, down 25 cents from the current year but still $2.55 per bu. above the historic average. | File photo

Grain prices to drop but stay higher than average

Global wheat stocks expected to increase by 83 million bushels due to more seeded acres and anticipated average yields

Wheat, soybean and corn prices are expected to drop in 2022-23 but will remain well above their historic averages, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. It is forecasting a season-average farm price of $6.80 per bushel for wheat, down 50 cents per bu. from 2021-22 levels. That is due to an 83 million bu. […] Read more

Statistics Canada has pegged the country’s 2021-22 mustard production at 50,000 tonnes, nearly half of what was harvested the previous year because of severe drought on the Prairies. | Getty Images

Rising prices could lead farmers to grow more mustard

Countries that buy Canadian mustard are now looking elsewhere, such as the United States, to increase their own supply

Ongoing supply issues are driving up mustard seed prices. Yellow mustard in Western Canada has a high-delivered bid of $1.61 per pound, 10 cents higher than last month and $1.18 higher than last year, according to Prairie Ag Hotwire data. Over the past month, the high-delivered bid for brown mustard went up 34 cents to […] Read more