It’s estimated Ukraine has 4.7 million tonnes of leftover exportable supplies from the 2021 crop, and some of it can be shipped to Romania using two small ports on the Danube River. | Getty Images

Hope remains for Ukrainian grain export season

Ukraine’s 2022-23 crop production is going to be reduced but with ample carryover, the country could have decent volumes to ship, says an analyst from the war-torn country. The Ukrainian government estimates farmers will plant 33.1 million acres of spring crops by April 1, which would be 8.4 million acres fewer than last year. But […] Read more

"When there is a ceasefire I think the reversal will be quite substantial," SovEcon managing director Andrey Sizov said in a recent webinar. | Reuters/ Valentyn Ogirenko photo

Wheat market outlook tied to war developments

Wheat markets are in for a rude awakening when the hostilities in Ukraine come to an end, according to a Black Sea grain analyst. “When there is a ceasefire I think the reversal will be quite substantial,” SovEcon managing director Andrey Sizov said in a recent webinar. He believes world wheat prices should be around […] Read more

The deal comes as shipments from Ukraine, the world's fourth biggest exporter of corn, are snarled following Russia's invasion. | File photo

China books biggest deal for U.S. corn since May 2021

CHICAGO, April 4 (Reuters) – Chinese buyers bought 1.084 million tonnes of U.S. corn, their biggest purchase of U.S. grain since May 2021, the U.S. government said on Monday. The deal comes as shipments from Ukraine, the world’s fourth biggest exporter of corn, are snarled following Russia’s invasion. China had been a big buyer of […] Read more


Colin Young, owner of Mid-West Grain Ltd., a chickpea processor near Moose Jaw, Sask., said Russia had been keeping kabuli prices in check early in the 2021-22 campaign. But Russia exited the market with the outbreak of war and that is making buyers anxious. | File photo

Kabuli chickpea prices on the rise

Kabuli chickpea prices have rapidly escalated in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Colin Young, owner of Mid-West Grain Ltd., a chickpea processor near Moose Jaw, Sask., said Russia had been keeping kabuli prices in check early in the 2021-22 campaign. “When we were offering chickpeas at $1,300 per tonne Russia was in there […] Read more



Demand for lentils hasn’t been as ravenous as originally anticipated. Exports started out on fire in September and October and then got real quiet. | File photo

Lentil demand lacklustre

Chuck Penner thought lentil prices might be heading for the stratosphere at the start of the 2021-22 crop year. He wondered if growers might see red lentil prices of 50 or 60 cents per pound and large green lentils in the 70- to 80-cent range. But demand hasn’t been as ravenous as first anticipated. Exports […] Read more

Ending stocks of yellow and green peas are each expected to be below 100,000 tonnes in Canada. | File photo

Bull market expected for peas

Yellow peas might have one last bull run before prices tail off in May, says an analyst. “I think there’s another opportunity yet this year to do some yellow pea pricing,” Chuck Penner, analyst with LeftField Commodity Research, recently told producers during the 2022 Winter Pulse Meeting hosted by Saskatchewan Pulse Growers. The main reason […] Read more

One way China may be able to cut back on soybean imports is if consumers reduced their meat consumption, but that is considered highly unlikely. | Reuters/Damir Sagolj photo

Soy imports called tough habit to break for China

Government takes steps to encourage more production, but low yields compared to corn may be a difficult obstacle

China is trying to wean itself off of its reliance on imported soybeans but that is wishful thinking, according to an analyst. The country spent US$53.6 billion on foreign soybeans in 2021, up 26 percent from the previous year, according to the Dim Sums blog. The only commodities it spent more on were petroleum, iron […] Read more


The U.S. hard red winter wheat region recently received much needed moisture, which could help ease food insecurity concerns. | Reuters/Jim Young photo

Weather conditions improving for some key global crops

Global food security concerns are top of mind because of the heart-breaking war in Ukraine so it is welcome news that some crops already in the ground are enjoying improved conditions. Brazil’s giant second corn crop is seeded and progressing with adequate moisture and parts of America’s hard red winter wheat region got some much-needed […] Read more

Eventually, the world’s markets find ways around shortfalls. High prices, substitution and new production do the trick, one way or another. But there are no commodity production miracles waiting to happen. | File photo

Have faith in commodity markets, but don’t expect miracles

If demand builds, supply will come. That’s a basic form of faith that applies to most markets. Most of us hold that faith in greater or lesser measures. But it’s dangerous to apply that sort of thinking to medium-term production shortfalls in critical commodities, as some are doing today. You can’t just create commodities that […] Read more