ICE Canola Down With Chart-Based Selling

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Nov. 5, 2012
Winnipeg – Canola contracts on the ICE Futures  Canada platform were weaker at 10:38 CST Monday, as bearish technical  signals weighed on values.
Losses in the CBOT soy complex provided the catalyst for the  speculative selling in canola, with the move below C$600 per tonne  in the most active January contract exaggerating the downward move.  Relatively favourable South American weather conditions for soybean  crops there were bearish for the oilseeds in general, according to  participants.

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While there was some scale-down end user demand, “buyers are not  standing in the way of this price correction,” said a canola broker.
Volumes were on the light side, as traders were awaiting a couple  of potentially market moving events later in the week including the  US election on Tuesday and the USDA’s latest supply/demand report on  Friday.
A lack of farmer selling provided some underlying support for  canola, as producers were said to be taking a step back from the  market, according to a broker.
Ongoing concerns over the size of the Canadian canola crop, and  the need to ration demand going forward, also helped limit the losses.
At 10:38 CST, about 5,600 canola contracts had changed hands.
Milling wheat, durum, and barley futures were all untraded and  unchanged.
Prices in Canadian dollars per metric ton at 10:38 CST:Price      Change

Canola            Jan     597.50    dn  5.60

Mar     593.50    dn  5.40

May     588.50    dn  4.40

Milling Wheat     Dec     308.50      unch

Mar     318.00      unch

Durum             Dec     312.40      unch

Mar     319.00      unch

Barley            Dec     250.00      unch

Mar     253.00      unch

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