ICE Canada Review: Canola Down With Profit-Taking

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Dec. 6, 2012
Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts  closed lower on Thursday, as the market saw a correction amid ideas  the rally on Wednesday was overdone.
Profit-taking following Wednesday’s rally accounted for some  early weakness in canola. However, activity was choppy and prices did  manage to drift back towards unchanged at one point during the session  before dropping again right at the close.

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The futures were unable to hold above nearby support, and some  orders came forward in the final minutes to weigh on values.
Gains in CBOT soybeans did provide some underlying support,  although traders said canola was looking overpriced compared to  soybeans. Uncertainty over South American soybean production helped  underpin the canola market as well.
The overall trend is pointing higher from a chart perspective,  making any losses a good buying opportunity for the fund traders who  are holding large short positions, according to a broker.
This year’s smaller canola crop, and the need to ration demand  going forward, kept values supported as well.
About 13,117 canola contracts were traded on Thursday, which  compares with Wednesday when 21,439 contracts changed hands.  Spreading was a feature, accounting for about 8,922 of the contracts  traded.
Milling wheat futures were down in light commercial trade, as  participants exited the December contract. Durum and barley futures  were untraded and unchanged.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.Price      Change

Canola            Jan     599.40    dn 2.80

Mar     597.10    dn 2.90

May     595.50    dn 3.20

Milling Wheat     Dec     290.90    dn 5.10

Mar     303.60    dn 0.60

Durum             Dec     312.00    unch

Mar     316.00    unch

Barley            Dec     245.00    unch

Mar     248.00    unch

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