ICE Canada Review: Canola Down Ahead Of StatsCan

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Dec. 4, 2012
Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts were  lower as speculative and commercial liquidation ahead of Wednesday’s  Statistics Canada production report weighed on values.
General weakness in most outside markets, including CBOT soyoil  contributed to the softer tone in canola. The Canadian dollar was also  stronger on Tuesday, which cuts into crush margins.

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Statistics Canada releases updated production estimates on  Wednesday, December 5, and positioning ahead of the report was a  feature. Opinions are divided as to whether the canola number will  be revised higher or lower from the last report. There are ideas in  the market that yields didn’t live up to expectations in some areas.  However, a trader noted that any yield losses may be countered in the  production number by an increase in harvested acres.
A late turn higher in CBOT soybeans did help canola finish off  its lows for the day. Recent weakness in canola was also making the  commodity look more attractive to end use customers, according to a  broker. Scale down exporter pricing, along with a lack of significant  farmer selling, helped to provide underlying support.
Planting delays for the soybean crop in South America were also  somewhat supportive.
About 11,947 canola contracts were traded on Tuesday, which  compares with Monday when 13,332 contracts changed hands. Spreading  was a feature, accounting for about 9,134 of the contracts traded. Milling wheat futures were untraded, but were revised lower  after the close. Durum and barley futures were untraded and unchanged.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.Price      Change

Canola            Jan     589.80    dn 2.10

Mar     589.20    dn 2.30

May     588.30    dn 2.50

Milling Wheat     Dec     300.00    dn 0.60

Mar     308.00    dn 0.60

Durum             Dec     312.00    unch

Mar     316.00    unch

Barley            Dec     245.00    unch

Mar     248.00    unch

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