ICE Canada Morning Comment: Canola sliding back

By Glen Hallick, MarketsFarm

WINNIPEG, Sept. 13 (MarketsFarm) – Canola futures on the Intercontinental Exchange were lower on Wednesday morning, due to continuing harvest pressure.

However, there’s support coming from gains in Chicago soybeans and soyoil, while soymeal slipped back. Increases in Malaysian palm oil and European rapeseed spilled over into canola. Small upticks in global crude oil prices help prop up the vegetable oils.

Manitoba Agriculture reported the provincewide harvest hit 51 per cent complete overall, with the canola at 35 per cent finished.

The United States Department of Agriculture issued its monthly supply and demand estimates on Tuesday, pegging Canadian canola production for 2023/24 at 18.2 million tonnes, down from its previous forecast of 19.0 million.

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Statistics Canada is scheduled to publish its update production numbers on Thursday. At the end of August, StatCan placed canola output at nearly 17.6 million tonnes. Some in the trade believe production could exceed 18.0 million tonnes.

The Canadian dollar was a pinch higher on Wednesday morning, with the loonie at 73.81 U.S. cents, compared to Tuesday’s close of 73.75.

About 11,650 contracts had traded as of 8:39 CDT.

Prices in Canadian dollars per metric tonne at 8:39 CDT:

                          Price      Change

Canola            Nov     747.20     dn  5.10                

                  Jan     756.20     dn  4.90

                  Mar     762.00     dn  4.70

                  May     767.90     dn  2.40

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