Weak Cdn dollar limits drop in oilseeds

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Published: November 13, 2018

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The ICE Futures canola platform were weaker at market close, following the lead of Chicago soyoil contracts.

The January contract has been finding some support around the C$480 mark, however it hasn’t been able to rally as weak soyoil contracts have it stuck there. Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean, meal and oil contracts were all down.
Large producer deliveries over the last month have put ample canola supplies in the commercial pipeline which pressured prices

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And international oilseed markets are also weighing on canola. South American weather has been mostly favourable and many traders expect there will be record soybean production there this year.

About 10,942 canola contracts traded, which compares with Friday when 12,854 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 4,738 of the contracts traded.
The United States Department of Agriculture will release its weekly crop progress report after market close today. It is expected that unfavourable weather in the U.S. Midwest will have led to a slower harvest pace for soybeans and corn. Soybeans could see more favourable harvest progress though, as many farmers switched over to harvesting corn last week due to the snow and rain that hit much of the Upper Midwest.
There was a bump in soybean trade early this morning after news that the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He talked about trade over the phone on Friday. The two could possibly meet ahead of expected talks between the their presidents later this month.
The last trading day for November Soybeans is tomorrow.

There have been reports there is another case of the swine virus in the central part of China, in Hubei province. And yesterday there was news that African swine fever was found in a large Chinese animal feed producer.
It looks like the French corn crop is expected to be steady at 12.25 million tonnes.
Wheat futures in the U.S. finished the day mostly lower.
Japan has said it will split its regular weekly tender this week between the U.S., Canada and Australia. And Russia exporters are saying that Russia is edging into the market in Iraq, which normally buys wheat from the U.S., Canada or Australia.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was down $4.24 at US$55.69 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.57 cents, down from 76.25 centsthe previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3233.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Nov 18  473.70s  -1.60  -0.34%

Canola Jan 19  480.80s  -1.60  -0.33%

Canola Mar 19  488.20s  -1.80  -0.37%

Canola May 19  495.70s  -1.90  -0.38%

Canola Jul 19  500.40s  -1.90  -0.38%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 18  867-2s  -4-4  -0.52%

Soybeans Jan 19  878-2s  -5-0  -0.57%

Soybeans Mar 19  891-6s  -5-0  -0.56%

Soybeans May 19  905-0s  -5-0  -0.55%

Soybeans Jul 19  918-0s  -5-2  -0.57%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 18  303.9s  -1.7  -0.56%

Soybean Meal Jan 19  305.8s  -1.7  -0.55%

Soybean Meal Mar 19  308.5s  -1.4  -0.45%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 18  27.55s  -0.16  -0.58%

Soybean Oil Jan 19  27.73s  -0.16  -0.57%

Soybean Oil Mar 19  28.02s  -0.15  -0.53%

Corn Dec 18  366-4s  -4-6  -1.28%

 

Corn Mar 19  377-6s  -4-4  -1.18%

Corn May 19  385-6s  -4-2  -1.09%

Corn Jul 19  393-2s  -4-0  -1.01%

Corn Sep 19  394-6s  -4-2  -1.07%

 

Oats Dec 18  284-4s  -0-4  -0.18%

Oats Mar 19  285-4s  +0-4  +0.18%

Oats May 19  287-4s  +1-2  +0.44%

Oats Jul 19  286-6s  +0-6  +0.26%

Oats Sep 19  281-0s  +0-2  +0.09%

 

Wheat Dec 18  507-6s  -12-0  -2.31%

Wheat Mar 19  517-6s  -8-6  -1.66%

Wheat May 19  526-4s  -7-4  -1.40%

Wheat Jul 19  535-2s  -6-2  -1.15%

Wheat Sep 19  547-2s  -5-6  -1.04%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 18  578-2s  -4-2  -0.73%

Spring Wheat Mar 19  580-0s  -5-6  -0.98%

Spring Wheat May 19  588-0s  -5-6  -0.97%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  595-6s  -5-4  -0.91%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  603-6s  -5-2  -0.86%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 18  486-4s  -7-0  -1.42%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  509-4s  -6-0  -1.16%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  523-0s  -5-4  -1.04%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  535-4s  -4-2  -0.79%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  549-2s  -4-4  -0.81%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Dec 18  115.375s  +0.450  +0.39%

Live Cattle Feb 19  118.750s  +0.750  +0.64%

Live Cattle Apr 19  120.625s  +0.450  +0.37%

 

Feeder Cattle Nov 18  148.975s  +0.600  +0.40%

Feeder Cattle Jan 19  146.975s  +3.250  +2.26%

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  144.125s  +2.400  +1.69%

 

Lean Hogs Dec 18  57.300s  +0.750  +1.33%

Lean Hogs Feb 19  62.175s  +0.650  +1.06%

Lean Hogs Apr 19  67.725s  +0.400  +0.59%

 

About the author

Ashley Robinson

Ashley Robinson writes for MarketsFarm specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

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