Plunging loonie pushes canola futures higher, but spring wheat futures lower

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Published: January 21, 2015

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Jan 21 (Reuters) – ICE Canada canola futures rose on Wednesday, with the March contract setting a six-month high as the Canadian dollar tumbled to its weakest since April 2009, making canola more attractive on the export market, traders said.

The currency fell after the Bank of Canada shocked financial markets with an interest rate cut aimed at countering the Negative economic impact of cheap crude oil prices.

The bank cut the overnight rate to 0.75 percent from one percent.

Farmer selling was noted in forward months including May and July, traders said.

Most-active March canola rose $3.10 to $458.80 per tonne on volume of 14,379 contracts.

May canola increased $2.20 to $449.80 per tonne on volume of 10,531 contracts.

U.S. soybean futures posted a mild rebound on a round of bargain buying after hitting their lowest since late October a day earlier, traders said.

Strength in soymeal futures lent support but gains were limited due to easing concerns about weather cutting into harvest yields in South American countries.

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Detail from the front of the CBOT building in Chicago. (Vito Palmisano/iStock/Getty Images)

U.S. grains: Soybean futures set two-week high on US weather worry, soyoil rally

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures touched a two-week high on Friday on worries that heat may threaten U.S. crops and expectations that the country’s biofuel policy would boost demand for soyoil, analysts said.

CIF and FOB values for soymeal rose on Wednesday for supplies delivered during February, with traders saying higher-than-expected prices for South American supplies raised export interest in U.S. offerings.

Soyoil futures dropped, pressured by technical selling.

The benchmark March soyoil futures contract turned lower

after failing to hold support above its 100-day moving average during overnight trading. It also dropped below its 30-day, 40-day and 50-day moving averages during the session.

A cold front has finally hit Brazil’s southeast and center-west agricultural areas, Somar meteorologists said, ending at least 20 days of unseasonably hot, dry weather.

U.S. wheat futures closed mostly lower, with the Minneapolis and Kansas City markets leading the way down as inter-market spreads corrected and the Canadian dollar plunged, traders said.

MGEX spring wheat fell as the Canadian dollar tumbled to its weakest since April 2009 after the Bank of Canada shocked financial markets with an interest rate cut. The currency move makes Canadian spring wheat more competitive than U.S. supplies.

MGEX spring wheat was also pressured by deliverable stocks in Duluth, Minnesota, rising to 18.1 million bushels, from 16.2 million a week earlier.

The premium for MGEX March spring wheat over K.C. March hard red winter wheat fell to 8-3/4 cents per bushel, retreating from a one-year high of 11-3/4 cents set a day earlier.

Storms crossing the southern United States this week should bring welcome moisture to a portion of the Plains hard red winter wheat crop. Winterkill risks remain low, the Commodity Weather Group said in a daily note.

CBOT wheat closed mostly lower but values were underpinned by bargain-buying and worries about renewed hostilities in the Black Sea grain region. Ukraine’s president accused Russia of sending 9,000 troops to back separatist rebels in the east of his country.

Corn futures reversed from an earlier one-week high to turn lower, pressured by ample global grain supplies and mostly favourable growing conditions for corn in South America, traders said.

Volume was light, with an estimated 170,000 trades the smallest since Jan. 2. Open interest has increased to the largest since November, with 1,908 new positions during the previous session of sharply higher prices suggesting investors were making new long or bullish bets, CME Group data showed.

U.S. cash corn markets were steady to higher as farmer sales were limited on hopes for higher prices later this year. Bids jumped as much as eight cents per bushel at an ethanol plant in Illinois.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up $1.31 to US$47.78 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US80.81cents, down from 82.75 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2374.

In unofficial tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite jumped 251.98 points or 1.76 percent to 14,560.42. The Toronto market was generally happy about the interest rate cut.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose nine points, or 0.5 percent, to close at 2,032 Wednesday. The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 39 points, or 0.2 percent, to 17,554. The Nasdaq gained 12 points, or 0.3 percent, to 4,667.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2015       458.80       +3.10       +0.68%

Canola May 2015       449.80       +2.20       +0.49%

Canola Jul 2015       443.00       +2.10       +0.48%

Canola Nov 2015       433.60       +3.20       +0.74%

Canola Jan 2016       435.90       +3.50       +0.81%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       214.00       -3.00

Milling Wheat May 2015       217.00       -3.00

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       220.00       -3.00

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       361.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       351.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       341.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2015       195.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       197.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2015       983.5       +1.5       +0.15%

Soybeans May 2015       989.5       +1.75       +0.18%

Soybeans Jul 2015       994.5       +1.5       +0.15%

Soybeans Aug 2015       994       +1.5       +0.15%

Soybeans Sep 2015       978       +0.5       +0.05%

Soybeans Nov 2015       965.75       -1       -0.10%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       330.5       +4       +1.23%

Soybean Meal May 2015       322.7       +3.4       +1.06%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       321.3       +2.7       +0.85%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       32.41       -0.43       -1.31%

Soybean Oil May 2015       32.58       -0.42       -1.27%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       32.76       -0.41       -1.24%

 

Corn Mar 2015       388       -2.25       -0.58%

Corn May 2015       395.75       -2       -0.50%

Corn Jul 2015       402.5       -1.5       -0.37%

Corn Sep 2015       408.25       -1.5       -0.37%

Corn Dec 2015       415.5       -1.5       -0.36%

 

Oats Mar 2015       290.75       +0.5       +0.17%

Oats May 2015       294       +1.25       +0.43%

Oats Jul 2015       298.75       +1.75       +0.59%

Oats Sep 2015       300.5       +1.5       +0.50%

Oats Dec 2015       297.75       unch       0.00%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       536.75       -0.25       -0.05%

Wheat May 2015       540       +0.25       +0.05%

Wheat Jul 2015       543.5       -0.75       -0.14%

Wheat Sep 2015       551.25       -1       -0.18%

Wheat Dec 2015       562.5       -1.25       -0.22%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       581       -8.5       -1.44%

Spring Wheat May 2015       587.25       -8.75       -1.47%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       595       -8.5       -1.41%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       602.25       -8       -1.31%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       611       -9       -1.45%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       572.25       -5.5       -0.95%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       576.25       -5       -0.86%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       579.5       -4       -0.69%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       590.25       -4.5       -0.76%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       604.75       -3.75       -0.62%

 

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