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Canola, wheat all up

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Published: January 23, 2019

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Winnipeg – ICE Futures canola contracts settled with small gains on Wednesday, after trading to both sides of unchanged in choppy activity.

Advances in Chicago Board of Trade soybeans and soyoil provided some spillover support for canola, while nearby technical signals were also said to be pointing higher.

However, canola already moved higher on Tuesday, when soybeans moved lower, and adjustments to the spreads between the two commodities saw canola lag to the upside on Wednesday.

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Concerns over Chinese demand and a firm tone in the Canadian dollar also tempered the upside in canola.

About 29,742 canola contracts traded on Wednesday, which compares with Tuesday when 26,127 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 21,242 of the contracts traded.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were higher on Wednesday, with dry weather in some key soybean growing regions of Brazil behind some of the buying interest.

Private forecasters Informa Economics released United States acreage projections for 2019 today, predicting soybean area to drop by nearly 3 million acres on the year, to 86.2 million.

Uncertainty over Chinese demand kept some caution in the market. While reports that the U.S. had cancelled trade talks with China were being denied today, the lack of information on that front tempered the upside.

CORN held relatively steady on the day, lacking any clear direction as the market remains stuck in a sideways trading range.

Brazilian weather concerns were also supportive for corn the corn market.

Informa forecast U.S. corn area would increase to 91.5 million acres this spring, which would be up by about 2.4 million on the year.

All three U.S. WHEAT markets were higher on the day, amid ideas that U.S. wheat is seeing more demand on the international market. Egypt, the world’s largest wheat importer, bought some U.S. wheat in its latest tender.

However, the lack of firm export data, given the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, kept some caution in the market.

Reports out of both Russia and Ukraine are pointing to a possible slowdown in wheat exports from the Black Sea region, which would open the door for more U.S. business.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was down 39 cents at US$52.62 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US74.92 cents, up from 74.96 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3348.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Mar 19  485.90s  +0.40  +0.08%

Canola May 19  494.40s  +0.90  +0.18%

Canola Jul 19  502.50s  +1.00  +0.20%

Canola Nov 19  500.80s  +2.10  +0.42%

Canola Jan 20  505.50s  +1.60  +0.32%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 19  915-0s  +5-6  +0.63%

Soybeans May 19  928-6s  +6-0  +0.65%

Soybeans Jul 19  941-6s  +6-0  +0.64%

Soybeans Aug 19  946-6s  +5-6  +0.61%

Soybeans Sep 19  949-2s  +5-6  +0.61%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 19  312.9s  -0.1  -0.03%

Soybean Meal May 19  316.6s  -0.1  -0.03%

Soybean Meal Jul 19  320.5s  +0.1  +0.03%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 19  29.38s  +0.32  +1.10%

Soybean Oil May 19  29.68s  +0.34  +1.16%

Soybean Oil Jul 19  29.98s  +0.34  +1.15%

 

Corn Mar 19  378-6s  -0-2  -0.07%

Corn May 19  387-2s  unch  unch

Corn Jul 19  395-2s  +0-2  +0.06%

Corn Sep 19  397-6s  +0-6  +0.19%

Corn Dec 19  402-2s  +1-4  +0.37%

 

Oats Mar 19  294-6s  -2-2  -0.76%

Oats May 19  293-4s  -1-0  -0.34%

Oats Jul 19  292-4s  unch  unch

Oats Sep 19  283-6s  +0-2  +0.09%

Oats Dec 19  278-2s  -1-2  -0.45%

 

Wheat Mar 19  526-0s  +4-6  +0.91%

Wheat May 19  531-6s  +4-6  +0.90%

Wheat Jul 19  537-4s  +4-6  +0.89%

Wheat Sep 19  545-6s  +4-4  +0.83%

Wheat Dec 19  558-4s  +4-0  +0.72%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19  575-4s  +3-4  +0.61%

Spring Wheat May 19  579-2s  +2-6  +0.48%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  585-6s  +2-6  +0.47%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  592-4s  +2-4  +0.42%

Spring Wheat Dec 19  604-4s  +1-6  +0.29%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  515-0s  +5-2  +1.03%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  524-2s  +5-4  +1.06%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  533-0s  +4-6  +0.90%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  544-2s  +4-2  +0.79%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19  559-2s  +4-0  +0.72%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Feb 19  125.550s  +0.425  +0.34%

Live Cattle Apr 19  126.500s  +0.425  +0.34%

Live Cattle Jun 19  116.850s  +0.425  +0.37%

 

Feeder Cattle Jan 19  143.025s  +1.975  +1.40%

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  143.650s  +2.150  +1.52%

Feeder Cattle Apr 19  144.675s  +1.725  +1.21%

 

Lean Hogs Feb 19  60.775s  -0.700  -1.14%

Lean Hogs Apr 19  64.850s  -1.250  -1.89%

Lean Hogs May 19  71.275s  -0.750  -1.04%

 

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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