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Canola waffles, soy up

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Published: September 19, 2018

The ICE Futures canola platform was mixed at close Wednesday, taking support from United States futures.

Chicago Board of Trade soybean, oil and meal contracts were all higher, as trade war fears ebbed.

Statistics Canada released its updated production numbers this morning, using satellite data. The report pegged canola production at 21 million tonnes, which is sharply higher than the previous estimate of 19.2 million. Slow harvest progress in parts of Western Canada due to cold weather was supportive for the canola market.

About 15,324 canola contracts traded, which compares with Tuesday when 20,273 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 8,760 of the contracts traded.

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Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

U.S. grains: Corn futures lower as farmers sell, soy choppy

Chicago corn futures ticked lower on Tuesday on selling pressure as soybeans chopped up and down, though expectations of a bumper U.S. harvest limited the upside in prices, analysts said.

In the U.S. soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade finished the day higher. Soyoil and meal contracts were also stronger.

The market is recovering some of its losses from yesterday. Tariff fears had pressured the market down as the trade war between the U.S. and China heated up.

The private analytic firm Informa Economics estimated next year’s soybean acreage to be at 82.27 million acres, which is 7.7 per cent below this year.

The corn market finished the day higher. Ethanol numbers released this morning showed that last week production rose by 31,000 barrels per day to 1.051 million barrels per day. Ethanol stocks were at 22.7 million barrels, down from 22.9 million barrels the week before.
Two South Korean feed makers bought corn overnight, and it is likely that some of that corn is from the U.S. Rain is expected to continue across the Corn Belt during the next week. The long range forecast for the next two weeks is
calling for cool and wet weather across the Corn Belt.
Wheat futures in the U.S. finished the day higher. The Statistics Canada report this morning pegged spring wheat production at 22.91 million tonnes, up from the last estimate of 21.559 million tonnes. All wheat production was estimated to be at 31.019 million tonnes, up from the previous estimate of 28.988 million tonnes.
The wheat harvest has just begun in southern Brazil. The Russian wheat harvest in Siberia is running behind schedule due to bad weather, making for the slowest pace in the past five years. There is concern some crops will be left in the
fields if it snows this weekend.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up xx cents at US$71.44 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US77.40 cents, up from 0.36 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2920. 1/.7795

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Nov 18           487.00s          +0.60  +0.12%

Canola Jan 19            492.70s          +0.10  +0.02%

Canola Mar 19           497.60s          -0.30   -0.06%

Canola May 19          502.50s          unch   unch

Canola Jul 19 506.70s          +0.70  +0.14%

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 18      830-0s            +16-0 +1.97%

Soybeans Jan 19       843-6s            +15-6 +1.90%

Soybeans Mar 19      857-2s            +15-6 +1.87%

Soybeans May 19      870-2s            +15-4 +1.81%

Soybeans Jul 19        880-2s            +15-0 +1.73%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 18            306.4s            +5.9    +1.96%

Soybean Meal Dec 18           309.2s            +5.9    +1.95%

Soybean Meal Jan 19            310.0s            +5.5    +1.81%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 18   27.25s            +0.13  +0.48%

Soybean Oil Dec 18   27.50s            +0.13  +0.47%

Soybean Oil Jan 19   27.73s            +0.12  +0.43%

 

Corn Dec 18   345-6s            +2-4    +0.73%

Corn Mar 19  358-0s            +2-4    +0.70%

Corn May 19  366-4s            +2-4    +0.69%

Corn Jul 19    373-0s            +2-2    +0.61%

Corn Sep 19   378-4s            +2-4    +0.66%

 

Oats Dec 18   249-2s            +3-4    +1.42%

Oats Mar 19   253-6s            +3-4    +1.40%

Oats May 19  256-6s            +3-4    +1.38%

Oats Jul 19     259-4s            +3-4    +1.37%

Oats Sep 19   263-0s            +3-4    +1.35%

 

Wheat Dec 18            522-4s            +12-0 +2.35%

Wheat Mar 19           540-2s            +11-2 +2.13%

Wheat May 19           551-6s            +10-2 +1.89%

Wheat Jul 19 555-0s            +8-4    +1.56%

Wheat Sep 19            564-6s            +9-0    +1.62%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 18           588-0s            +7-6    +1.34%

Spring Wheat Mar 19           601-2s            +6-4    +1.09%

Spring Wheat May 19          608-4s            +5-2    +0.87%

Spring Wheat Jul 19 614-4s            +5-2    +0.86%

Spring Wheat Sep 19           618-6s            +4-4    +0.73%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 18      526-2s            +10-2 +1.99%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19      549-6s            +12-0 +2.23%

Hard Red Wheat May 19     563-0s            +11-6 +2.13%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19        562-4s            +10-4 +1.90%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19      572-4s            +10-4 +1.87%

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle (Pit) Oct 18         113.100s        -0.125 -0.11%

Live Cattle (Pit) Dec 18        117.975s        unch   unch

Live Cattle (Pit) Feb 19        121.850s        unch   unch

 

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Sep 18   155.525s        -0.300 -0.19%

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Oct 18    157.875s        -0.150 -0.09%

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Nov 18   157.725s        -0.100 -0.06%

 

Lean Hogs (Pit) Oct 18         60.000s          +0.825            +1.39%

Lean Hogs (Pit) Dec 18        57.900s          -0.075 -0.13%

Lean Hogs (Pit) Feb 19        65.950s          +0.150            +0.23%

About the author

Ashley Robinson

Ashley Robinson writes for MarketsFarm specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

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