Canola, soy rebound

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Published: October 2, 2018

 

WINNIPEG  – The ICE Futures canola platform
finished the day stronger, taking back all of us yesterday’s losses.
Chicago Board of Trade soybeans and oil contracts were stronger. Meal contracts jumped around in value during the day, but finished the trading session higher.
Slow harvest progress is supported the canola market. More snow fell in parts of Alberta overnight. Parts of Saskatchewan also received snow today, while there is snow and rain in the forecast for Manitoba in the upcoming days.

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Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

U.S. grains: Corn futures lower as farmers sell, soy choppy

Chicago corn futures ticked lower on Tuesday on selling pressure as soybeans chopped up and down, though expectations of a bumper U.S. harvest limited the upside in prices, analysts said.

The weekly crop report from Manitoba yesterday pegged the canola harvest at 87 per cent complete, which is ahead of Saskatchewan and Alberta.
The Canadian dollar was weaker today compared to its Untied States counterpart. It surged in value yesterday following news
of a new trilateral trade deal between Canada, the U.S. and Mexico being reached.
About 24,479 canola contracts traded, which compares with Monday when 21,642 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted
for 14,174 of the contracts traded.
In the U.S.
Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade finished the day higher. Soyoil contracts were also higher, while meal contracts

were weaker. The crop progress report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) yesterday pegged the U.S. soybean harvest
at 23 per cent complete, with four per cent of the crop above average in quality. This is below trade expectations as rains slowed harvest progress in the Delta region.
The USDA grain crushing report, also released yesterday, said that processors crushed 169.6 million bushels of soybeans in August, which was in line with trade expectations.

The corn market were stronger at market close.
Yesterday’s USDA crop progress report pegged the corn harvest at 26 per cent complete. This was up 10 per cent from the previous week and nine per cent ahead of the five-year average.
The USDA grain crushing report yesterday said ethanol plants used 479 million bushels of corn in August. This was less than expected, but the year-to-date total is still close to the USDA’s forecast for the 2017 crop.

Wheat futures in the U.S. closed higher.
The USDA crop progress report yesterday showed improving conditions for winter wheat seeding, with 43 per cent of the winter wheat crop planted. This is three per cent ahead of the
five-year average. Emergence is at 14 per cent, which is average for this time of year.
Yesterday’s provincial crop report for Manitoba pegged the spring wheat harvest at 95 per cent complete, which is unchanged from the previous week. The report also noted that winter cereal
seeding continues in the province with some of the earlier seeded crops already having emerged.

The wheat harvest in Russia is about 87 per cent complete, according to UkraGroConsult. In Ukraine the winter wheat crop is
57 per cent planted, also according to UkrAgroConsult.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was down seven cents at US$75.23 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US78.02 cents, down from 78.11 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2817.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Nov 18  497.70s  +3.10  +0.63%

Canola Jan 19  503.40s  +3.00  +0.60%

Canola Mar 19  508.00s  +2.20  +0.43%

Canola May 19  511.00s  +1.00  +0.20%

Canola Jul 19  513.30s  +1.20  +0.23%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 18  866-0s  +8-2  +0.96%

Soybeans Jan 19  880-0s  +8-2  +0.95%

Soybeans Mar 19  892-2s  +8-0  +0.90%

Soybeans May 19  905-2s  +8-0  +0.89%

Soybeans Jul 19  916-2s  +9-0  +0.99%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 18  311.2s  +0.7  +0.23%

Soybean Meal Dec 18  315.1s  +1.3  +0.41%

Soybean Meal Jan 19  315.5s  +1.6  +0.51%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 18  29.36s  +0.35  +1.21%

Soybean Oil Dec 18  29.66s  +0.35  +1.19%

Soybean Oil Jan 19  29.90s  +0.36  +1.22%

 

Corn Dec 18  367-4s  +1-6  +0.48%

Corn Mar 19  379-4s  +1-6  +0.46%

Corn May 19  387-2s  +2-0  +0.52%

Corn Jul 19  392-4s  +2-2  +0.58%

Corn Sep 19  395-6s  +2-0  +0.51%

 

Oats Dec 18  273-0s  +3-2  +1.20%

Oats Mar 19  270-2s  +3-0  +1.12%

Oats May 19  271-0s  +2-4  +0.93%

Oats Jul 19  272-6s  +2-4  +0.93%

Oats Sep 19  275-4s  +2-2  +0.82%

 

Wheat Dec 18  519-2s  +9-6  +1.91%

Wheat Mar 19  538-0s  +9-2  +1.75%

Wheat May 19  549-0s  +8-0  +1.48%

Wheat Jul 19  554-4s  +10-0  +1.84%

Wheat Sep 19  567-0s  +10-6  +1.93%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 18  591-4s  +14-2  +2.47%

Spring Wheat Mar 19  604-2s  +13-0  +2.20%

Spring Wheat May 19  611-4s  +12-2  +2.04%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  617-6s  +11-6  +1.94%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  622-6s  +11-2  +1.84%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 18  522-4s  +11-0  +2.15%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  546-4s  +10-6  +2.01%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  559-6s  +10-6  +1.96%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  563-6s  +11-6  +2.13%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  577-4s  +12-4  +2.21%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Oct 18  113.975s  +0.300  +0.26%

Live Cattle Dec 18  119.475s  +0.525  +0.44%

Live Cattle Feb 19  123.725s  +0.475  +0.39%

 

Feeder Cattle Oct 18  159.075s  +0.425  +0.27%

Feeder Cattle Nov 18  159.575s  +0.550  +0.35%

Feeder Cattle Jan 19  156.450s  +0.425  +0.27%

 

Lean Hogs Oct 18  66.425s  +1.675  +2.59%

Lean Hogs Dec 18  59.150s  -0.700  -1.17%

Lean Hogs Feb 19  67.800s  -0.025  -0.04%

 

About the author

Ashley Robinson

Ashley Robinson writes for MarketsFarm specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

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